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AMCR vs SLGN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Amcor plc (AMCR) vs. Silgan Holdings (SLGN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AMCR and SLGN operate in the packaging sector, but they are executing markedly different strategies: Amcor is digesting its transformative Berry Global acquisition, while Silgan is restructuring its metal packaging business around the Trivium deal.
- Amcor's scale is substantially larger, generating roughly $23.5 billion in fiscal 2026 net sales versus Silgan's approximately $6.5 billion.
- Amcor is delivering strong earnings growth driven by acquisition synergies, while Silgan's growth is more modest and heavily weighted toward cost pass-throughs and recent strategic repositioning.
- Silgan's October 2026 Trivium announcement triggered a sharp positive share-price reaction, whereas Amcor's shares have recently cooled after a stronger prior year.
- Relative performance, market positioning, and momentum diverge, making the comparison a useful study in scale-led consolidation versus focused portfolio restructuring.
Introduction
Packaging stocks tend to attract investors seeking defensive, cash-generative businesses tied to essential consumer goods. Amcor plc (AMCR) and Silgan Holdings (SLGN) are two of the sector's most recognized names, yet they have taken very different paths over the past year. Amcor has completed one of the industry's largest combinations by acquiring Berry Global, dramatically expanding its revenue base. Silgan has instead moved to streamline and recapitalize its metal packaging operations through a joint venture with American Industrial Partners. This comparison is relevant for traders and investors evaluating scale, momentum, and catalysts within the same industry, as well as those weighing relative performance and market positioning between two structurally distinct business models.
AMCR Overview and Recent Performance
Amcor is a global leader in consumer packaging, producing flexible packaging, rigid containers, cartons, and closures for food, beverage, healthcare, and personal care markets. Its fiscal 2026 results have been shaped by the Berry Global acquisition, which closed in April 2025 and effectively doubled parts of the portfolio. In its most recent quarters, Amcor reported steep revenue growth—net sales of approximately $5.9 billion in the March quarter and $6.4 billion in the June quarter—driven largely by acquired sales and the pass-through of higher raw-material costs.
Earnings have benefited from accelerating integration. Amcor captured about $285 million in synergies during fiscal 2026, ahead of its initial target, and guided to a three-year goal of $650 million. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rose to $4.02 for the fiscal year, up 13%. However, the company lowered its free cash flow guidance, citing higher inventory levels held to protect customer service amid Middle East supply-chain uncertainty, and it continues to work down elevated net debt following the acquisition. Recent market activity has been comparatively soft, with shares pulling back from earlier highs even as the underlying business executes on integration and divestiture plans.
SLGN Overview and Recent Performance
Silgan Holdings is a leading supplier of rigid packaging, primarily dispensing and specialty closures, metal containers, and custom containers for food, beverage, fragrance, and personal care products. Unlike Amcor's acquisition-led expansion, Silgan's recent story centers on portfolio reshaping. In October 2026, the company announced an agreement to combine its metal container and closures operations with Trivium Packaging, forming a new business in which Silgan would retain a 60% controlling stake, with American Industrial Partners holding the remaining 40%.
The transaction is valued at approximately $3.4 billion for Trivium, is expected to deliver about $2.3 billion in cash proceeds for debt repayment, and is projected to close in mid-2027. Silgan anticipates roughly $225 million in annual synergies and at least 15% accretion to adjusted EPS and free cash flow. In recent quarters, Silgan's revenue growth has been driven largely by contractual pass-throughs of higher raw-material costs rather than volume expansion, with particular strength in pet food metal containers and fragrance dispensing products. The stock rallied sharply on the Trivium announcement, although it remains below its 52-week high as the market digests integration risk and softer demand in certain categories.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The core contrast between these two companies is one of business model and growth philosophy. Amcor is a diversified global packaging giant pursuing scale through the Berry acquisition, with a $20 billion-plus core portfolio spanning flexible and rigid formats and a footprint of roughly 400 locations across more than 40 countries. Silgan is a more focused North American and European operator concentrated in closures and metal containers, now unlocking value through a partnership structure rather than outright ownership of its metal business.
Growth drivers also differ. Amcor's near-term earnings growth is being powered by cost, procurement, and operational synergies, offset in part by softer organic volumes and higher working capital. Silgan's growth leans on pet food, fragrance, and healthcare dispensing demand, tempered by cost inflation and pockets of weaker end-market volume. Risk profiles diverge accordingly: Amcor carries substantially higher leverage following its acquisition and must demonstrate successful deleveraging, while Silgan faces execution and regulatory risk around closing its Trivium transaction. On market sentiment, Silgan recently enjoyed a positive catalyst-driven move, whereas Amcor's shares have cooled amid softer recent trading despite strong fundamental execution.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely give the current edge to SLGN on near-term momentum and catalyst clarity. The Trivium announcement provides a discrete, positive event that has produced a strong directional move, clearer deleveraging visibility, and a consensus analyst outlook skewed toward "Strong Buy." Amcor's trend consistency is strong on a fundamental basis, with accelerating synergies and double-digit earnings growth, but its recent share-price action has been more mixed and its elevated leverage introduces additional execution complexity. That said, the verdict is probabilistic rather than definitive: Amcor's scale, diversified portfolio, and synergy pipeline make it a structurally resilient compounder, while Silgan's appeal rests more on its recent restructuring catalyst. A trend-following AI would plausibly favor Silgan's improving momentum in the current environment, while a stability-weighted model might prefer Amcor's broader diversification.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMCR is a StrongBuy and SLGN is a StrongBuy.
AMCR in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026
AMCR moved above its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 28 of 43 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AMCR's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AMCR as a result. In 57 of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMCR just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where AMCR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 24 of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
Following a +0.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMCR advanced for three days, in 126 of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMCR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
AMCR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AMCR entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMCR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 56 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.724) is normal, around the industry mean (1.179). P/E Ratio (18.389) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.274). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.991) is also within normal values, averaging (1.023). AMCR has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.059) as compared to the industry average of (0.034). P/S Ratio (0.828) is also within normal values, averaging (1.259).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMCR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
SLGN in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026
SLGN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 20 of 32 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SLGN as a result. In 51 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SLGN just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where SLGN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Following a +6.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SLGN advanced for three days, in 159 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for SLGN moved below the 200-day moving average on September 24, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SLGN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
SLGN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for SLGN entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SLGN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.779) is normal, around the industry mean (1.179). P/E Ratio (15.710) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.274). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.789) is also within normal values, averaging (1.023). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.612) is also within normal values, averaging (1.259).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SLGN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
AMCR | SLGN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 35 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 56 Fair valued | 63 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 87 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 65 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 54 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 75 | 45 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMCR's Valuation (56) in the null industry is in the same range as SLGN (63) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to SLGN’s over the last 12 months.
SLGN's Profit vs Risk Rating (87) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as AMCR (100) in the null industry. This means that SLGN’s stock grew similarly to AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
SLGN's SMR Rating (65) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as AMCR (73) in the null industry. This means that SLGN’s stock grew similarly to AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
AMCR's Price Growth Rating (50) in the null industry is in the same range as SLGN (54) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to SLGN’s over the last 12 months.
SLGN's P/E Growth Rating (45) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as AMCR (75) in the null industry. This means that SLGN’s stock grew similarly to AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
| AMCR | SLGN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 58% | 9 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 42% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMCR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while SLGN’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AMCR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SLGN’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMCR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SLGN’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMCR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SLGN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AMCR (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а +7.09% price change this week, while SLGN (@Containers/Packaging) price change was +12.17% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was +2.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.86%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMCR is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
SLGN is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (+2.02% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
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AMCR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMCR has been closely correlated with SW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMCR jumps, then SW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMCR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMCR | 100% | +1.77% | ||
| SW - AMCR | 67% Closely correlated | +0.86% | ||
| AVY - AMCR | 63% Loosely correlated | +1.46% | ||
| GEF - AMCR | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.93% | ||
| CCK - AMCR | 61% Loosely correlated | -0.63% | ||
| SLGN - AMCR | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.40% | ||
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SLGN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SLGN has been loosely correlated with BALL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SLGN jumps, then BALL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SLGN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLGN | 100% | -0.40% | ||
| BALL - SLGN | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.50% | ||
| AMCR - SLGN | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.77% | ||
| SW - SLGN | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.86% | ||
| OI - SLGN | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.17% | ||
| AVY - SLGN | 55% Loosely correlated | +1.46% | ||
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