Advertisement
AMD vs NVDA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) vs. NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AMD has been the stronger momentum story in 2026, surging roughly 190% year to date and crossing a $1 trillion market capitalization for the first time.
- NVDA remains far larger and more profitable, with data center revenue alone dwarfing AMD's total quarterly sales.
- AMD's rally has been backed by large multi-year AI deployment commitments from OpenAI, Meta, and Oracle, signaling real hyperscaler diversification.
- NVIDIA's growth has accelerated while its valuation has compressed, leaving it trading at a significantly lower forward earnings multiple than AMD.
- The two stocks represent contrasting trade-offs: AMD offers higher growth expectations at a richer valuation, while NVDA offers scale and a lower multiple.
Introduction
Advanced Micro Devices and NVIDIA are the two most closely watched names in the market for artificial intelligence (AI) computing hardware, making their stock comparison a central question for investors tracking the AI infrastructure buildout. NVIDIA has long been the dominant supplier of AI accelerators, while AMD has recently emerged as the most credible full-stack challenger. Over recent months, these two rivals have traded in markedly different ways, with AMD capturing strong relative performance even as NVIDIA's underlying business grew faster. This comparison is relevant for both long-term investors weighing growth against valuation and active traders monitoring momentum, sector rotation, and shifting market sentiment across the semiconductor space.
AMD Overview and Recent Performance
AMD designs central processing units (CPUs), graphics processing units (GPUs), and data center systems. In recent weeks, the stock has been among the strongest performers in the AI sector, rising roughly 190% in 2026 and recently crossing a $1 trillion market cap for the first time. That momentum has been driven less by sentiment than by concrete customer commitments. AMD disclosed large-scale agreements with OpenAI, Meta, and Oracle for its Instinct MI450 GPUs and Helios rack-scale systems, and it completed an $8.2 billion acquisition of World Labs to extend its AI software stack. In its most recent quarter, revenue reached a record $11.5 billion, with data center sales up more than 100% year over year. However, AMD's rapid advance has lifted its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio well above NVIDIA's, and the stock now trades close to the average analyst price target.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVDA remains the world's most valuable semiconductor company, with a market capitalization above $5 trillion. Its most recent quarter showed revenue of roughly $96 billion, up more than 100% year over year, with the data center segment contributing about $89 billion and gross margins near 75%. NVIDIA also authorized one of the largest share-repurchase programs in corporate history, reflecting strong cash generation. Yet the stock's gains in 2026 have been more modest than AMD's, in the range of 20% to 28%. This reflects several factors: customer concentration among a small number of hyperscalers, an effective pause on data center chip sales to China, and large forward supply commitments. At the same time, management has guided for continued strong growth, and the upcoming Vera Rubin platform is widely viewed as the next catalyst for the company's accelerator and CPU businesses.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains a large library of AI Trading Bots that collectively monitor and trade thousands of different tickers across the market. Because each bot uses its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, and performance profile, only a select group earns placement in the curated Trending AI Robots section. This section highlights the bots best suited to current market conditions, featuring measurable statistics such as historical win rates, trade frequency, and profit factors so traders can evaluate them objectively. For investors comparing momentum-heavy names like AMD and NVDA, reviewing these bots can offer a data-driven way to monitor trend consistency and timing. Explore the Trending AI Robots page to see which strategies are currently leading the field.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between the two is scale. NVIDIA generates more than eight times AMD's quarterly revenue, and its data center segment alone is roughly eight times AMD's total sales. NVIDIA also produces far higher profit and gross margins. On the other hand, AMD's valuation now embeds much faster expected growth, reflecting the market's view that it can capture a larger share of AI infrastructure spending as hyperscalers seek a second supplier. In terms of recent momentum, AMD has clearly outperformed, while NVIDIA's relative performance has been more subdued. Risk profiles differ as well: NVIDIA faces customer-concentration and China-export constraints, while AMD carries execution risk tied to ramping its supply chain and converting large commitments into shipped revenue. Sector exposure is similar—both are heavily levered to AI data center spending—but AMD retains a broader CPU franchise, whereas NVIDIA is expanding from GPUs into CPUs and networking.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, stability, and catalyst positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor NVDA in the current environment, though not without qualification. NVIDIA's uptrend, while slower than AMD's, is supported by accelerating revenue growth, superior profitability, a lower forward valuation multiple, and a clear next-generation product catalyst in Vera Rubin. AMD's trend is more powerful on a price basis but also more extended, with a richer valuation and greater sensitivity to execution and supply-chain outcomes. Probabilistically, the AI assessment would lean toward NVIDIA for trend stability and valuation support, while acknowledging that AMD's stronger near-term momentum could continue to reward risk-tolerant traders during periods of risk appetite.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMD is a Hold and NVDA is a Hold.
AMD sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
AMD saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 09, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 45 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AMD moved out of overbought territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 33 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 80%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMD as a result. In 62 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
AMD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
AMD moved above its 50-day moving average on September 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AMD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Following a +3.62% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMD advanced for three days, in 244 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 202 of 256 cases where AMD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. AMD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (14.771) is normal, around the industry mean (7.975). P/E Ratio (155.069) is within average values for comparable stocks, (165.532). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.619) is also within normal values, averaging (3.761). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.007) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (20.450) is also within normal values, averaging (45.794).
NVDA in -1.80% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on October 12, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where NVDA declined for three days, in 189 of 274 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NVDA moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 60%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 57%.
NVDA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NVDA as a result. In 64 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
NVDA moved above its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.26% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in 296 of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 303 of 343 cases where NVDA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 88%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (24.155) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (7.975). P/E Ratio (28.933) is within average values for comparable stocks, (165.532). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.478) is also within normal values, averaging (3.761). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.007) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.212) is also within normal values, averaging (45.794).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
AMD | NVDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 90 | 42 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 86 Overvalued | 76 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 5 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 70 | 13 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 88 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NVDA's Valuation (76) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMD (86). This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to AMD’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (5) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMD (7). This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to AMD’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMD (70). This means that NVDA’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMD’s over the last 12 months.
AMD's Price Growth Rating (5) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (38). This means that AMD’s stock grew somewhat faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
AMD's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for NVDA (88). This means that AMD’s stock grew significantly faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| AMD | NVDA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 76% | 9 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 88% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMD’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while NVDA’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AMD’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AMD (@Semiconductors) experienced а -6.76% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was -4.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -11.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.10%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMD is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on Nov 25, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-11.25% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
Advertisement