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AMD vs NVDA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) vs. NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has delivered substantially stronger year-to-date price performance than NVIDIA (NVDA), with gains exceeding 120% compared to NVDA’s approximately 17% advance.
- Both companies benefit from robust demand in artificial intelligence infrastructure, though NVDA maintains a dominant 70-80% share in the AI graphics processing unit (GPU) market.
- AMD reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of $11.5 billion, narrowly beating estimates, but shares declined following comments from major customers shifting preferences toward NVDA products.
- NVDA continues to demonstrate consistent revenue growth in data center segments, supported by its established ecosystem and high-margin software offerings.
- Analyst price targets for AMD have been raised significantly in recent weeks, reflecting optimism around its expanding data center presence and competitive positioning.
- Market sentiment shows divergence, with AMD exhibiting higher volatility and growth expectations while NVDA trades at a comparatively lower valuation multiple relative to earnings growth.
Introduction
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and NVIDIA (NVDA) represent two leading semiconductor companies central to the ongoing expansion of artificial intelligence and data center technologies. Investors and traders focused on technology sector exposure often evaluate these names together due to overlapping end markets and competitive dynamics in high-performance computing. This comparison examines recent stock behavior, business fundamentals, and relative positioning to assist market participants in assessing potential opportunities within the semiconductor industry amid evolving AI-driven demand.
AMD Overview and Recent Performance
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) designs and manufactures processors and accelerators primarily for computing, graphics, and data center applications. In recent market activity, the stock has posted strong gains exceeding 120% year-to-date, driven by accelerating adoption of its MI300 series products in hyperscale environments. Data center revenue doubled in the latest reported quarter, underscoring momentum in artificial intelligence infrastructure. Despite positive earnings results in early August, shares experienced pressure following customer commentary favoring competitor solutions. Broader analyst sentiment has improved, with several firms raising price targets amid expectations for sustained growth in server central processing units (CPUs) and accelerators.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVIDIA (NVDA) specializes in graphics processing units (GPUs), system-on-chips, and associated software platforms serving gaming, professional visualization, data center, and automotive markets. The company maintains leadership in AI accelerators, with recent trading activity showing the stock fluctuating near $224 amid broader sector movements. Year-to-date performance has been more measured compared to peers, reflecting a higher valuation base and market expectations already incorporating substantial growth. Data center revenue continues to expand at elevated rates, supported by recurring demand from cloud providers and enterprise customers. Recent market commentary highlights stable positioning, though short-term price action has reflected sector-wide volatility in technology equities.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and NVIDIA (NVDA) operate in the semiconductor sector with significant overlap in artificial intelligence accelerators, yet differ markedly in scale and market positioning. NVDA holds a commanding lead in AI GPUs with an estimated 70-80% share, benefiting from a mature software ecosystem and higher absolute revenue base. AMD, with a smaller starting point, has achieved faster recent revenue growth in data centers and captured incremental market share in server CPUs. Valuation metrics show NVDA trading at lower price-to-earnings ratios relative to its growth trajectory, while AMD commands a premium amid higher growth expectations. Risk factors include execution on product roadmaps for both, with NVDA facing potential increased competition and AMD exposed to customer concentration and adoption hurdles. Recent momentum favors AMD on price appreciation, though NVDA demonstrates greater stability in earnings consistency and cash generation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, relative stability, and positioning within the current market environment, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modest preference to NVIDIA (NVDA) over Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). Factors supporting this view include NVDA’s established market leadership, more predictable revenue streams from its data center franchise, and comparatively resilient technical indicators amid sector fluctuations. AMD exhibits stronger short-term price momentum and growth catalysts but carries elevated volatility that may temper algorithmic favorability in the near term. This assessment reflects probabilistic weighting of available data rather than a definitive outlook.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMD is a Buy and NVDA is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMD’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNVDA’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AMD’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMD’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
AMD (@Semiconductors) experienced а +0.18% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was +2.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +4.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was +46.15%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMD is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on Aug 26, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+4.66% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| AMD | NVDA | AMD / NVDA | |
| Capitalization | 788B | 5.43T | 15% |
| EBITDA | 8.09B | 193B | 4% |
| Gain YTD | 125.500 | 20.308 | 618% |
| P/E Ratio | 123.20 | 34.32 | 359% |
| Revenue | 37.5B | 253B | 15% |
| Total Cash | 12.3B | 80.6B | 15% |
| Total Debt | 3.87B | 12.3B | 31% |
AMD | NVDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 81 Overvalued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 78 | 12 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 32 | 90 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NVDA's Valuation (72) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMD (81). This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to AMD’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMD (15). This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to AMD’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (12) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for AMD (78). This means that NVDA’s stock grew significantly faster than AMD’s over the last 12 months.
AMD's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVDA (49). This means that AMD’s stock grew similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
AMD's P/E Growth Rating (32) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (90). This means that AMD’s stock grew somewhat faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| AMD | NVDA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 8 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 85% |
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AMD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMD has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMD jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD | 100% | +1.82% | ||
| LRCX - AMD | 75% Closely correlated | +4.72% | ||
| KLAC - AMD | 71% Closely correlated | +3.88% | ||
| FORM - AMD | 71% Closely correlated | +6.36% | ||
| ENTG - AMD | 71% Closely correlated | +7.24% | ||
| AMAT - AMD | 70% Closely correlated | +4.29% | ||
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NVDA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVDA has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NVDA jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVDA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 100% | +3.03% | ||
| LRCX - NVDA | 70% Closely correlated | +4.72% | ||
| KLAC - NVDA | 69% Closely correlated | +3.88% | ||
| AMAT - NVDA | 66% Closely correlated | +4.29% | ||
| AMKR - NVDA | 63% Loosely correlated | +2.38% | ||
| CAMT - NVDA | 63% Loosely correlated | +5.95% | ||
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