Analysis and predictions AMZN vs MSFT
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMZN is a Hold and MSFT is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMZN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMSFT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AMZN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MSFT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMZN’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MSFT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMZN’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MSFT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AMZN (@Internet Retail) experienced а -5.20% price change this week, while MSFT (@Packaged Software) price change was -5.53% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Internet Retail industry was -4.11%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.40%, and the average quarterly price growth was +36.89%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -2.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.93%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMZN is expected to report earnings on Jul 25, 2024.
MSFT is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2024.
Industries' Descriptions
@Internet Retail (-4.11% weekly)The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.
@Packaged Software (-2.13% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
| AMZN | MSFT | AMZN / MSFT | |
| Capitalization | 1.86T | 3.16T | 59% |
| EBITDA | N/A | 121B | - |
| Gain YTD | 17.954 | 7.706 | 233% |
| P/E Ratio | 61.80 | 38.39 | 161% |
| Revenue | N/A | 228B | - |
| Total Cash | N/A | 81B | - |
| Total Debt | N/A | 88.4B | - |
AMZN | MSFT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 57 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 70 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 34 | 8 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 53 | 24 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 39 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MSFT's Valuation (70) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as AMZN (91) in the Internet Retail industry. This means that MSFT’s stock grew similarly to AMZN’s over the last 12 months.
MSFT's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as AMZN (34) in the Internet Retail industry. This means that MSFT’s stock grew similarly to AMZN’s over the last 12 months.
MSFT's SMR Rating (24) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as AMZN (53) in the Internet Retail industry. This means that MSFT’s stock grew similarly to AMZN’s over the last 12 months.
AMZN's Price Growth Rating (7) in the Internet Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MSFT (44) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that AMZN’s stock grew somewhat faster than MSFT’s over the last 12 months.
MSFT's P/E Growth Rating (39) in the Packaged Software industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMZN (96) in the Internet Retail industry. This means that MSFT’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMZN’s over the last 12 months.
| AMZN | MSFT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 42% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 44% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 47% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 70% | about 1 month ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 45% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 69% |
AMZN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMZN has been loosely correlated with CVNA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 48% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AMZN jumps, then CVNA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMZN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | 100% | -1.14% | ||
| CVNA - AMZN | 48% Loosely correlated | +2.88% | ||
| MELI - AMZN | 39% Loosely correlated | -1.98% | ||
| W - AMZN | 37% Loosely correlated | -0.02% | ||
| JMIA - AMZN | 29% Poorly correlated | +0.50% | ||
| GLBE - AMZN | 29% Poorly correlated | +0.78% | ||
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MSFT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MSFT has been loosely correlated with NOW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MSFT jumps, then NOW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MSFT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT | 100% | -1.84% | ||
| NOW - MSFT | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.69% | ||
| CDNS - MSFT | 57% Loosely correlated | -2.66% | ||
| COIN - MSFT | 56% Loosely correlated | +2.01% | ||
| CLSK - MSFT | 54% Loosely correlated | +8.78% | ||
| RIOT - MSFT | 53% Loosely correlated | +4.02% | ||
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