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APA vs OXY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? APA Corporation (APA) vs. Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- APA Corporation (APA) has significantly outperformed Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) year-to-date (YTD), with gains of about 67% compared to OXY's 43%.
- APA trades at a lower price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of around 10 versus OXY's 43, suggesting relative undervaluation.
- Both stocks exhibit low beta values—APA at 0.37 and OXY at 0.17—indicating lower volatility relative to the broader market.
- OXY benefits from business diversification into chemicals and carbon capture, while APA focuses on pure exploration and production (E&P).
- Recent weeks have seen APA gain momentum with positive analyst revisions, amid oil price influences on both stocks.
- A leadership transition at OXY, with CEO Vicki Hollub retiring in June, introduces potential shifts in strategic focus.
Introduction
APA Corporation (APA) and Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) are prominent players in the energy sector, particularly in oil and natural gas exploration and production. Both companies hold significant assets in the Permian Basin, making them sensitive to crude oil prices, geopolitical events, and U.S. production dynamics. This comparison is relevant for energy-focused investors and traders navigating volatile commodity markets, assessing relative performance, valuation, and growth potential amid shifting supply-demand balances and energy transition pressures. By examining recent market activity and fundamentals, readers can gauge positioning in the current environment.
APA Overview and Recent Performance
APA Corporation is an independent energy company engaged in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Its diversified portfolio spans onshore assets in the Permian Basin (Texas), as well as offshore and international holdings in the U.K. North Sea, Egypt, and Suriname. In recent market activity, APA shares have shown resilience, with a year-to-date gain of approximately 67% and a one-year increase exceeding 150%. Despite a modest pullback over the past month amid fluctuating oil prices, the stock rose over 6% in the recent week, buoyed by positive earnings estimate revisions and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) rating. Sentiment has been supported by strong shareholder returns and positioning for upcoming quarterly results, with analysts setting an average price target around $41.
OXY Overview and Recent Performance
Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) operates as an international energy firm with a focus on oil and gas E&P, complemented by OxyChem (chemical manufacturing) and midstream/low-carbon ventures including carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS). Its premier assets are concentrated in the U.S. Permian Basin, the Middle East, and North Africa. Recently, OXY has delivered solid YTD returns of about 43%, though shares dipped over 3% in a recent session amid broader market pressures and the announcement of CEO Vicki Hollub's retirement on June 1, with COO Richard Jackson succeeding her. Performance reflects ongoing debt reduction efforts and operational efficiencies, despite oil price volatility. Analysts maintain a consensus price target near $64, with upcoming earnings anticipated to provide further clarity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
APA and OXY both derive core growth from Permian Basin E&P, but differ in scope: APA emphasizes geographic diversification (U.S., Egypt, North Sea), while OXY leverages business lines like chemicals (stable cash flow) and CCUS for energy transition exposure. Recent momentum favors APA with superior YTD returns and lower valuation (PE 10 vs. 43), though OXY’s larger market cap ($58B vs. $14B) signals scale advantages. Risk profiles are similar with low betas, but OXY faces CEO transition uncertainties, while APA contends with international exposure. Sector sentiment ties to oil prices, with APA showing stronger analyst optimism recently.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward APA over OXY, driven by superior recent trend consistency, undervaluation metrics, and positive estimate revisions amid stable oil positioning. While OXY offers diversification buffers, APA’s momentum and lower risk-adjusted returns present a probabilistically stronger near-term profile in the prevailing energy landscape.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is APA is a Hold and OXY is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
APA’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileOXY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- APA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- OXY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
APA’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OXY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- APA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- OXY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
APA (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -1.64% price change this week, while OXY (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -6.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -1.48%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was +14.83%.
Reported Earning Dates
APA is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
OXY is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-1.48% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| APA | OXY | APA / OXY | |
| Capitalization | 12.1B | 51.7B | 23% |
| EBITDA | 5.32B | 11B | 48% |
| Gain YTD | 42.095 | 27.205 | 155% |
| P/E Ratio | 7.97 | 70.27 | 11% |
| Revenue | 8.61B | 21.1B | 41% |
| Total Cash | 293M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 4.54B | 16.6B | 27% |
APA | OXY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 30 Undervalued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 56 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 37 | 61 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | 4 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
APA's Valuation (30) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OXY (80). This means that APA’s stock grew somewhat faster than OXY’s over the last 12 months.
OXY's Profit vs Risk Rating (56) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as APA (69). This means that OXY’s stock grew similarly to APA’s over the last 12 months.
APA's SMR Rating (37) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as OXY (61). This means that APA’s stock grew similarly to OXY’s over the last 12 months.
APA's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as OXY (59). This means that APA’s stock grew similarly to OXY’s over the last 12 months.
OXY's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as APA (33). This means that OXY’s stock grew similarly to APA’s over the last 12 months.
| APA | OXY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 5 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 5 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 5 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 5 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 5 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 5 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 74% | 20 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 70% | 5 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 5 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 5 days ago 58% |
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