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MUR vs OXY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Murphy Oil (MUR) vs. Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MUR and OXY are both mid-to-large cap exploration and production companies focused on oil and gas, with OXY maintaining a larger scale and diversified international operations.
- Year-to-date through late July 2026, OXY posted approximately 37-40% gains, outpacing MUR's roughly 30% advance, while both significantly exceeded the S&P 500's performance.
- Recent market activity for both stocks has been influenced by crude oil price volatility amid geopolitical developments and upcoming second-quarter earnings releases scheduled for early August 2026.
- MUR reported an offshore oil discovery in Côte d'Ivoire in June 2026, while OXY highlighted hedge impacts and leadership transitions in recent disclosures.
- Analyst consensus ratings remain predominantly Hold for both, with price targets reflecting balanced risk-reward assessments amid sector exposure to commodity prices.
- Relative positioning favors OXY for broader momentum and scale, while MUR demonstrates notable one-year outperformance and exploration upside.
Introduction
This comparison examines MUR (Murphy Oil Corporation) and OXY (Occidental Petroleum Corporation), two energy sector stocks with overlapping exposure to upstream oil and gas operations. Investors and traders seeking to evaluate relative performance within the exploration and production subsector may find this analysis relevant, particularly those focused on commodity-driven equities, recent momentum shifts, and positioning ahead of earnings seasons. The review emphasizes verifiable developments from recent weeks and broader market context without forward-looking projections.
MUR Overview and Recent Performance
Murphy Oil Corporation operates as an independent exploration and production company with assets primarily in the United States, Canada, and select international locations. In recent market activity, MUR shares advanced to close at $39.74 on July 31, 2026, reflecting a year-to-date gain of approximately 29.6% and a one-year return near 67%. Performance has been supported by exploration updates, including an oil discovery announced in June 2026 at the Bubale-1X well offshore Côte d'Ivoire. Sentiment in recent weeks has been shaped by analyst target adjustments, predominantly Hold ratings, and preparation for second-quarter 2026 results scheduled for release around August 6, 2026. Broader oil price fluctuations have contributed to volatility, with the stock trading near the upper end of its 52-week range.
OXY Overview and Recent Performance
Occidental Petroleum Corporation engages in oil and gas exploration, production, and related midstream activities across multiple basins, with a notable presence in the Permian and international operations. Recent market activity showed OXY closing at $57.07 on July 31, 2026, delivering a year-to-date increase of roughly 37-40% and outperforming broader indices. Developments influencing sentiment include a preview of second-quarter factors such as hedge impacts and share count details, alongside leadership changes and an upcoming earnings release on August 5, 2026. The stock has benefited from sector tailwinds in recent weeks, though production guidance updates and geopolitical oil price movements have introduced variability, with shares trading within a wide 52-week range.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both companies operate within the energy exploration and production sector, exposing them to similar commodity price cycles and operational risks, yet differences emerge in scale and focus. OXY maintains a larger market capitalization and more diversified global footprint compared with the more concentrated asset base of MUR. Recent momentum has favored OXY on a year-to-date basis, while MUR has shown stronger one-year gains. Risk factors include shared sensitivity to crude oil volatility, with OXY additionally managing hedging programs and MUR highlighting exploration catalysts. Market sentiment, reflected in analyst notes, remains cautious for both amid upcoming earnings, though OXY has drawn attention for leadership transitions and MUR for specific discovery announcements. Trade-offs center on OXY’s relative stability versus MUR’s potential for higher-beta exploration-driven moves.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including stronger year-to-date trend consistency, larger operational scale, and positioning within recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to OXY over MUR. This assessment incorporates relative momentum stability and sector exposure balance rather than definitive outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MUR is a Hold and OXY is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MUR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileOXY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MUR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OXY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MUR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OXY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MUR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- OXY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MUR (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -16.03% price change this week, while OXY (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -2.03% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -1.94%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.03%.
Reported Earning Dates
MUR is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
OXY is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-1.94% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| MUR | OXY | MUR / OXY | |
| Capitalization | 4.79B | 55.9B | 9% |
| EBITDA | 1.32B | 11B | 12% |
| Gain YTD | 8.845 | 37.245 | 24% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.52 | 16.49 | 100% |
| Revenue | 2.75B | 21.1B | 13% |
| Total Cash | 379M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 2.3B | 16.6B | 14% |
MUR | OXY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 76 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 35 Fair valued | 63 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 59 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 60 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 31 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 22 | 87 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MUR's Valuation (35) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as OXY (63). This means that MUR’s stock grew similarly to OXY’s over the last 12 months.
OXY's Profit vs Risk Rating (59) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MUR (70). This means that OXY’s stock grew similarly to MUR’s over the last 12 months.
OXY's SMR Rating (60) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MUR (90). This means that OXY’s stock grew similarly to MUR’s over the last 12 months.
OXY's Price Growth Rating (31) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MUR (51). This means that OXY’s stock grew similarly to MUR’s over the last 12 months.
MUR's P/E Growth Rating (22) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OXY (87). This means that MUR’s stock grew somewhat faster than OXY’s over the last 12 months.
| MUR | OXY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 73% | 18 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 73% | 5 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 71% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| CDC | 76.47 | 0.35 | +0.46% |
| VictoryShares US EQ Inc Enh Vol Wtd ETF | |||
| PUI | 45.34 | 0.20 | +0.43% |
| Invesco Dorsey Wright Utilities Momt ETF | |||
| VTP | 75.29 | 0.14 | +0.19% |
| Vanguard Total Inflation Protd Secs ETF | |||
| SCHO | 24.06 | 0.02 | +0.08% |
| Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF™ | |||
| EAOK | 28.15 | N/A | N/A |
| iShares ESG Aware 30/70 Cnsrv Allc ETF | |||
MUR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MUR has been closely correlated with CHRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MUR jumps, then CHRD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MUR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MUR | 100% | +1.00% | ||
| CHRD - MUR | 81% Closely correlated | -0.87% | ||
| APA - MUR | 79% Closely correlated | +3.01% | ||
| OVV - MUR | 76% Closely correlated | -0.84% | ||
| FANG - MUR | 75% Closely correlated | -0.84% | ||
| COP - MUR | 74% Closely correlated | +0.73% | ||
More | ||||
OXY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OXY has been closely correlated with DVN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OXY jumps, then DVN could also see price increases.