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CHRD vs OXY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) vs. Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CHRD has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) gains of approximately 58% compared to OXY's 43%, reflecting robust momentum in recent market activity.
- Analyst consensus targets suggest greater upside potential for CHRD at $165 versus OXY's $64, indicating positive sentiment shifts.
- CHRD, a focused exploration and production (E&P) player in the Bakken shale, offers a higher dividend yield of 3.58% compared to OXY's 1.77%.
- OXY benefits from a larger market cap of $58 billion and lower beta of 0.17, providing greater stability amid energy sector volatility.
- Recent developments include OXY's CEO transition and CHRD's senior notes offering, influencing short-term price behavior.
- Systematic comparisons position CHRD as a stronger long-term buy relative to OXY.
Introduction
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) and Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) are key players in the oil and gas sector, with CHRD emphasizing upstream production in the Williston Basin and OXY offering a more integrated model including chemicals and midstream assets. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business drivers, and market positioning amid fluctuating oil prices and energy demand shifts. Traders seeking momentum opportunities and investors focused on dividends or stability in the energy space will find these insights valuable for evaluating relative performance and sector exposure.
CHRD Overview and Recent Performance
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) is an independent exploration and production (E&P) company primarily operating in the Bakken formation of the Williston Basin. In recent weeks, its stock has traded around $145, near the upper end of its 52-week range of $84 to $148, supported by a year-to-date gain exceeding 58%. Sentiment has been bolstered by analyst upgrades, with an average price target of $165 implying further upside, and a "Strong Buy" consensus. Key influences include an upsized $750 million senior notes offering for debt management and anticipation around first-quarter earnings, despite expected declines from prior highs. Broader oil price resilience and efficient operations have driven outperformance relative to the sector, with a market cap of $8.2 billion and a dividend yield of 3.58% attracting income-focused investors.
OXY Overview and Recent Performance
Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) is a diversified energy firm with significant assets in the Permian Basin, alongside chemical and midstream operations, backed by Berkshire Hathaway's substantial stake. Recently, shares have hovered near $59, down over 3% in a single session amid sector weakness, with a 52-week range of $39 to $67 and year-to-date returns of about 43%. A notable development is the CEO transition, with Vicki Hollub retiring and Richard Jackson assuming the role, contributing to short-term price pressure alongside falling energy stocks. Analysts maintain a moderate outlook with an average target of $64, while the company's $58 billion market cap and low beta of 0.17 underscore its stability. Performance reflects oil market dynamics, with a 1.77% dividend yield supporting long-term holders.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CHRD and OXY both thrive on oil production but differ in scale and structure: CHRD's pure-play E&P model in the Bakken offers nimble growth tied to shale efficiency, while OXY's integrated operations provide diversification through chemicals and midstream, tempered by higher debt (63.8% debt-to-equity versus CHRD's 18.7%). Recent momentum favors CHRD with superior YTD returns and analyst upside, contrasted by OXY's monthly pullback of 8%. Risk profiles highlight OXY's lower volatility (beta 0.17) and scale advantages against CHRD's higher growth potential but sensitivity to commodity swings. Sector exposure is Permian-heavy for OXY and Bakken-centric for CHRD, with market sentiment leaning toward CHRD's value metrics like lower price-to-book (1.02).
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently favor CHRD over OXY based on superior trend consistency, stronger relative YTD performance, and higher projected upside from analyst targets. Factors like recent rally stability and positive long-term buy signals outweigh OXY's scale, though energy sector catalysts could shift dynamics probabilistically in favor of either stock's positioning.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CHRD is a Hold and OXY is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CHRD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileOXY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CHRD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OXY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CHRD’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OXY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CHRD’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- OXY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CHRD (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -2.48% price change this week, while OXY (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -4.52% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -1.14%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.52%, and the average quarterly price growth was +14.61%.
Reported Earning Dates
CHRD is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
OXY is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-1.14% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| CHRD | OXY | CHRD / OXY | |
| Capitalization | 7.01B | 51.9B | 13% |
| EBITDA | 1.64B | 11B | 15% |
| Gain YTD | 36.830 | 27.647 | 133% |
| P/E Ratio | 201.57 | 70.27 | 287% |
| Revenue | 5.33B | 21.1B | 25% |
| Total Cash | 226M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 1.62B | 16.6B | 10% |
CHRD | OXY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 58 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 89 Overvalued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 56 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 61 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 4 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
OXY's Valuation (80) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as CHRD (89). This means that OXY’s stock grew similarly to CHRD’s over the last 12 months.
OXY's Profit vs Risk Rating (56) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as CHRD (57). This means that OXY’s stock grew similarly to CHRD’s over the last 12 months.
OXY's SMR Rating (61) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as CHRD (92). This means that OXY’s stock grew similarly to CHRD’s over the last 12 months.
CHRD's Price Growth Rating (55) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as OXY (59). This means that CHRD’s stock grew similarly to OXY’s over the last 12 months.
CHRD's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as OXY (4). This means that CHRD’s stock grew similarly to OXY’s over the last 12 months.
| CHRD | OXY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 73% | 21 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 64% | 6 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 58% |
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CHRD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CHRD has been closely correlated with OVV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CHRD jumps, then OVV could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CHRD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHRD | 100% | +1.06% | ||
| OVV - CHRD | 86% Closely correlated | +4.22% | ||
| MTDR - CHRD | 86% Closely correlated | +2.22% | ||
| MGY - CHRD | 86% Closely correlated | +2.73% | ||
| DVN - CHRD | 85% Closely correlated | +2.21% | ||
| PR - CHRD | 85% Closely correlated | +3.09% | ||
More | ||||
OXY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OXY has been closely correlated with APA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OXY jumps, then APA could also see price increases.