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APO vs OWL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Apollo Global Management (APO) vs. Blue Owl Capital (OWL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Blue Owl Capital (OWL) has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at 31.88% compared to Apollo Global Management (APO)'s 9.51%.
- APO maintains a larger market capitalization (total value of all outstanding shares) of $75.2 billion versus OWL's $15.6 billion, reflecting greater scale.
- OWL provides a higher dividend yield of 9.22%, appealing to income-focused investors, compared to APO's 1.56%.
- Recent catalysts include OWL's first-quarter earnings beat fueled by SpaceX investment gains and APO's strategic $225 million investment in Pickleball Inc.
- Both stocks operate in the alternative asset management sector, with APO featuring a lower price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 23.55 versus OWL's 99.80.
Introduction
Apollo Global Management (APO) and Blue Owl Capital (OWL) are prominent players in the alternative asset management industry, focusing on private equity, credit, and real assets. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors and traders navigating the evolving private credit and asset management landscape amid interest rate shifts and economic uncertainty. By examining recent performance, business models, and market positioning, readers can assess relative strengths in growth potential, valuation, and momentum, aiding decisions in diversified portfolios or sector-specific strategies.
APO Overview and Recent Performance
Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) is a leading alternative asset manager with expertise in private equity, credit, infrastructure, and real estate investments. The firm targets opportunities across public and private markets, serving institutional and individual investors through diverse funds. In recent market activity, APO shares have exhibited resilience, trading around $130 with a year-to-date gain of 9.51%. Sentiment has been influenced by anticipation for first-quarter earnings, projected EPS (earnings per share) of $1.98, and a notable $225 million investment by Apollo Sports Capital in Pickleball Inc. Analyst updates, including Morgan Stanley's Overweight rating with a $165 price target, underscore confidence despite macroeconomic pressures.
OWL Overview and Recent Performance
Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) operates as an alternative asset manager, providing private financing, GP (general partner) strategic capital, and real estate solutions to middle-market companies and large asset managers. Its permanent capital vehicles support direct lending, credit, and net lease investments. Over recent weeks, OWL shares have surged, reaching about $10 following a first-quarter earnings beat with revenue of $699.88 million and EPS of $0.19. Key drivers include a 15% rise in assets under management (AUM) to $314.9 billion and significant gains from a SpaceX stake, boosting fee-related earnings. Despite earlier redemption pressures, the stock's rebound reflects improved sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both APO and OWL thrive in alternative assets, but APO's broader private equity and infrastructure exposure contrasts with OWL's emphasis on private credit and GP stakes. Growth drivers differ: OWL benefits from rapid AUM expansion and high-fee real assets, while APO leverages scale in distressed and opportunistic deals. Recent momentum favors OWL with its post-earnings surge, though APO shows steadier trends. Risk factors include redemption pressures in private credit for both, with OWL exhibiting higher volatility. Market sentiment tilts positive for OWL on specific catalysts, while APO appeals for valuation via lower PE.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward OWL with moderate confidence, driven by superior YTD returns, recent earnings momentum, and AUM growth amid private credit opportunities. However, APO remains competitively positioned through its larger scale, attractive valuation, and pending earnings catalysts, suggesting potential for relative outperformance based on trend consistency.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is APO is a StrongBuy and OWL is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
APO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileOWL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- APO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OWL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
APO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OWL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- APO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- OWL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
APO (@Investment Managers) experienced а -4.54% price change this week, while OWL (@Investment Managers) price change was -4.34% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was -0.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.19%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.54%.
Reported Earning Dates
APO is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
OWL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (-0.34% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
| APO | OWL | APO / OWL | |
| Capitalization | 71.7B | 6.55B | 1,095% |
| EBITDA | 7.72B | 951M | 812% |
| Gain YTD | -13.385 | -32.298 | 41% |
| P/E Ratio | 78.21 | 80.75 | 97% |
| Revenue | 31.5B | 2.94B | 1,071% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 13.4B | 3.86B | 347% |
APO | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 48 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 20 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| APO | OWL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 62% |
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APO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, APO has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if APO jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.
OWL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OWL has been closely correlated with ARES. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OWL jumps, then ARES could also see price increases.