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APO vs OWL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Apollo Global Management (APO) vs. Blue Owl Capital (OWL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both APO and OWL operate as large alternative asset managers focused on private credit and related strategies, with APO maintaining significantly larger scale through over $1 trillion in assets under management (AUM).
- Recent market activity shows APO trading near $125.59 with volatility around its 52-week range of $99.56 to $153.29, while OWL closed at $10.30 amid a broader year-to-date decline.
- OWL reported second-quarter 2026 results with AUM reaching $319 billion and distributable earnings growth, accompanied by a $0.23 quarterly dividend declaration.
- APO is scheduled to release second-quarter 2026 earnings on August 4, 2026, with analyst expectations pointing to year-over-year revenue and earnings per share (EPS) increases.
- Sector exposure for both centers on alternatives and private markets, where fundraising dynamics, redemption activity, and fee-related earnings influence relative performance and investor sentiment.
- Market positioning highlights trade-offs in size, valuation multiples, and momentum, with APO offering broader diversification and OWL demonstrating recent earnings resilience.
Introduction
Apollo Global Management (APO) and Blue Owl Capital (OWL) represent two prominent players in the alternative asset management sector, both emphasizing private credit, real assets, and capital solutions for institutional and high-net-worth investors. This comparison examines their business models, recent stock behavior, and relative positioning in the current market environment. Professional traders and investors seeking to evaluate exposure within the financials sector—particularly those focused on fee-based revenue streams, AUM growth, and macroeconomic sensitivity—may find this analysis relevant for portfolio construction or tactical allocation decisions.
APO Overview and Recent Performance
Apollo Global Management (APO) is a diversified alternative asset manager with substantial scale, including more than $1 trillion in AUM as of recent reporting. The firm generates revenue primarily through management fees, performance fees, and investment income across private equity, credit, and real assets platforms. In recent market activity, the stock has exhibited volatility within a 52-week range of approximately $99.56 to $153.29, closing near $125.59 on July 31, 2026. Sentiment has been shaped by broader financial sector dynamics, regulatory considerations, and anticipation surrounding the upcoming second-quarter 2026 earnings release scheduled for August 4. Analyst forecasts anticipate year-over-year growth in both revenue and EPS, providing a near-term catalyst for price discovery.
OWL Overview and Recent Performance
Blue Owl Capital (OWL) operates as an alternative asset manager with a focus on private credit, real assets, and GP strategic capital, serving institutional and individual investors through permanent capital vehicles. As of June 30, 2026, the firm reported AUM of $319 billion. The stock closed at $10.30 on July 31, 2026, following the release of second-quarter results on July 30 that highlighted revenue beats and a declared quarterly dividend of $0.23 per share. Recent performance reflects a year-to-date decline amid industry-wide pressures on private credit fundraising, though the earnings report underscored steady distributable earnings growth and expectations for accelerating management-fee expansion in subsequent periods.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business model terms, Apollo Global Management (APO) benefits from greater scale and diversification across multiple alternative strategies, supporting a larger market capitalization compared with Blue Owl Capital (OWL), which maintains a more concentrated emphasis on direct lending and credit solutions with a permanent capital base. Growth drivers for both include AUM expansion and fee-related earnings, yet APO faces upcoming earnings scrutiny while OWL recently delivered revenue outperformance. Recent momentum favors relative stability at APO within its wider trading range, whereas OWL contends with steeper year-to-date drawdowns amid sector redemption pressures. Risk factors encompass interest rate sensitivity and private market liquidity for both, though APO’s size may offer greater resilience. Market sentiment remains tied to alternative asset demand, with neither stock showing uniform outperformance in recent weeks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as scale advantages, upcoming earnings catalysts, and positioning within a broader trading range, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probability of relative favor to Apollo Global Management (APO) over Blue Owl Capital (OWL) in trend consistency and near-term positioning assessments. This probabilistic evaluation draws from comparative stability metrics and sector exposure without implying definitive outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is APO is a StrongBuy and OWL is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
APO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileOWL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- APO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OWL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
APO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OWL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- APO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
- OWL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
APO (@Investment Managers) experienced а +1.47% price change this week, while OWL (@Investment Managers) price change was +15.24% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was +2.79%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.01%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.36%.
Reported Earning Dates
APO is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
OWL is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (+2.79% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
| APO | OWL | APO / OWL | |
| Capitalization | 73.4B | 18.5B | 397% |
| EBITDA | 7.72B | 941M | 821% |
| Gain YTD | -11.233 | -17.067 | 66% |
| P/E Ratio | 45.35 | 98.92 | 46% |
| Revenue | 31.5B | 2.99B | 1,054% |
| Total Cash | 253B | 169M | 149,704% |
| Total Debt | 14.2B | 4.35B | 327% |
APO | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| APO | OWL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 6 days ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 73% | 7 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 5 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 63% |
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APO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, APO has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if APO jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.