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APO vs TPG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Apollo Global Management (APO) vs. TPG Inc. (TPG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Apollo Global Management (APO) is a substantially larger and more diversified alternative asset manager, with roughly $938 billion in assets under management (AUM) versus TPG Inc. (TPG) at approximately $303 billion.
- Both firms delivered record fundraising and strong AUM growth in 2025, but APO draws additional stability from its Athene retirement-services and insurance franchise, while TPG remains a more concentrated, pure-play private-markets operator.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on relative scale, revenue diversification, and trend consistency, the AI currently favors APO in this head-to-head comparison.
- TPG offers a notably higher dividend yield and faster relative earnings growth, making it more appealing to income-oriented investors seeking a smaller, higher-growth profile.
- For deeper coverage, explore APO Major News and APO Today's Price Move, plus TPG Major News and TPG Today's Price Move.
- To see how AI-driven strategies are navigating this market, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Apollo Global Management and TPG Inc. are two prominent names in the alternative asset management industry, a sector that has captured significant investor attention as private credit, private equity, and real assets continue to grow. Comparing APO and TPG offers a useful lens on scale versus focus, diversified revenue versus concentrated growth, and stability versus yield. This stock comparison is relevant for investors evaluating the asset-management landscape, whether they prioritize the steadier, insurance-backed earnings of a diversified giant or the higher-growth, income-oriented profile of a smaller private-markets specialist. Understanding their market positioning and relative performance can help clarify which business model better aligns with different investment objectives.
APO Overview and Recent Performance
Apollo Global Management is a diversified alternative asset manager whose platform spans asset management and retirement services, the latter anchored by its Athene insurance business. The company ended 2025 with roughly $938 billion in total AUM, up about 24.9% year over year, supported by strong fundraising across institutional and wealth channels and its acquisition of Bridge Investment Group. In recent market activity, APO shares have pulled back from their 52-week high, reflecting broader pressure on financial and asset-management equities even as the firm posted record origination activity exceeding $300 billion for the year. Investor sentiment has been shaped by both robust fee-related earnings momentum and concerns around rising expenses and a mixed near-term earnings outlook, leaving the stock trading below recent valuation peaks despite its scale advantages.
TPG Overview and Recent Performance
TPG Inc. is a pure-play alternative asset manager operating six multi-strategy platforms across private equity, growth, impact investing, credit (via TPG Angelo Gordon), real estate, and market solutions. The firm reached a record $303 billion in AUM at the end of 2025, up 23% year over year, supported by $51.5 billion in capital raised and $51.9 billion deployed during the year. Over recent weeks, TPG shares have also retreated from their 52-week high, with the stock down double digits over the trailing year despite improved profitability. Sentiment has been influenced by strong fundraising and deployment momentum alongside a valuation reset and lingering concerns about the timing of performance-related earnings, while a comparatively high dividend yield has attracted income-focused investors to the name.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains a library of hundreds of AI-powered trading bots that collectively monitor thousands of different tickers, each applying its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance record, and set of traded securities. Because market conditions are always shifting, only a select group of bots that are best suited to the current environment earns a place in the curated Trending AI Robots section. These bots span a wide range of approaches, from short-term momentum and swing strategies to longer-horizon trend-following models, giving traders a diverse toolkit for evaluating stocks such as APO and TPG. Browsing the Trending AI Robots page can help investors identify which automated strategies are currently gaining traction.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The most striking contrast between APO and TPG is scale and business mix. Apollo's insurance-linked retirement services provide recurring, spread-based earnings that soften the cyclicality of performance fees, while TPG's model leans more heavily on fundraising, deployment, and performance allocations tied to its investment platforms. On growth, TPG has generated faster relative earnings expansion from a smaller base, whereas APO offers greater absolute earnings power and more diversified revenue streams. Risk factors differ as well: Apollo carries meaningful insurance-related liabilities and interest-rate sensitivity, while TPG faces concentration risk within private markets and greater reliance on carry (performance fees). In terms of market positioning, Apollo's size and diversification tend to support more stable valuations, while TPG's higher yield and growth trajectory appeal to a different investor segment.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing trend consistency, revenue diversification, stability, and relative market positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward APO in this comparison. The firm's larger AUM base, dual-engine earnings from asset management and retirement services, and more consistent fee-related income provide a steadier foundation than TPG's more concentrated, performance-driven model. That said, the verdict reflects observable factors rather than a definitive prediction: TPG's faster growth and higher dividend yield could make it the preferred choice for investors with a different risk-return orientation, and relative momentum between the two names may shift as market conditions evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is APO is a Hold and TPG is a Buy.
APO's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for APO turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where APO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where APO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on APO as a result. In 66 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +3.25% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where APO advanced for three days, in 247 of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
APO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The 50-day moving average for APO moved below the 200-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where APO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator for APO entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. APO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.489) is normal, around the industry mean (2.410). P/E Ratio (40.789) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.016). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.446) is also within normal values, averaging (1.319). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.272) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.062) is also within normal values, averaging (15.694).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
TPG's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for TPG moved out of oversold territory on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 23 of the 24 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TPG as a result. In 60 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TPG just turned positive on October 20, 2026. Looking at past instances where TPG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +7.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPG advanced for three days, in 232 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
TPG moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
TPG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TPG entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TPG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.296) is normal, around the industry mean (2.410). P/E Ratio (39.897) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.016). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.319). Dividend Yield (0.051) settles around the average of (0.272) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.203) is also within normal values, averaging (15.694).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TPG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
APO | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 51 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 88 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 69 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| APO | TPG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 71% | 5 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 69% | 20 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 75% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 67% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
APO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TPG’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- APO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TPG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
APO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TPG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- APO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TPG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
APO (@Investment Managers) experienced а +2.67% price change this week, while TPG (@Investment Managers) price change was +4.57% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was +2.53%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.44%.
Reported Earning Dates
APO is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
TPG is expected to report earnings on Feb 16, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (+2.53% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
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