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ARMK vs EXPO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Aramark (ARMK) vs. Exponent (EXPO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ARMK has delivered stronger year-to-date returns of 22.68% compared to EXPO's approximately 11%, reflecting robust momentum in recent market activity.
- Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector but differ in scale, with ARMK's $11.85B market cap dwarfing EXPO's $2.99B.
- ARMK benefits from new contracts in hyperscale AI data centers, boosting growth prospects, while EXPO shows solid Q1 revenue beat but faces downward pressure on shares.
- EXPO offers a higher dividend yield at 1.99% versus ARMK's 1.06%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Analyst targets suggest upside: ARMK at $47.62 (5.7% potential) and EXPO at $86.67 (41% potential) from recent closes.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ARMK and EXPO, two Industrials sector players offering distinct exposure to business services and consulting. Aramark focuses on food and facilities management, while Exponent specializes in engineering analysis. Traders seeking relative performance insights in a volatile market, and investors eyeing growth drivers like AI-related contracts versus steady consulting demand, will find value here. Recent price behavior, sentiment shifts, and key metrics highlight trade-offs in momentum, valuation, and risk, aiding informed positioning in today's environment.
ARMK Overview and Recent Performance
Aramark (ARMK) provides food, facilities, and uniform services to education, healthcare, business, sports, and government clients across 16 countries. In recent weeks, shares have traded around $45, up 22.68% year-to-date and 18.76% over one year, outperforming in a choppy market. Sentiment has strengthened following the launch of an integrated hospitality platform for hyperscale AI data centers, securing a multi-year deal with a top global hyperscaler. This diversification into high-growth tech infrastructure has fueled optimism. Aramark also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.12 (1.06% yield), with shares near 52-week highs of $46.88. Quarterly revenue grew 6.10% year-over-year, though earnings dipped 9%, reflecting investment in expansion.
EXPO Overview and Recent Performance
Exponent (EXPO), formerly The Failure Group, delivers science and engineering consulting in biomechanics, materials, environmental health, and more, serving chemical, energy, tech, and transportation sectors. Shares hover near $61, with year-to-date gains around 11% and one-year returns at 19%, but down 22.82% over 52 weeks from a high of $81.95. Recent Q1 results showed revenue of $151.82M and earnings of $29.57M, beating estimates amid 10.50% quarterly revenue growth. A $0.31 quarterly dividend (1.99% yield, ex-June 5) supports income appeal. However, UBS lowered its target to $75, contributing to softer momentum versus broader indices, as shares test 52-week lows near $60.73.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ARMK and EXPO share Industrials sector exposure but contrast in business models: Aramark's asset-light services scale via contracts, while Exponent's expertise-driven consulting ties to litigation and R&D demand. Growth drivers diverge—ARMK leverages AI data center expansions amid tech boom, versus EXPO's steady revenue from engineering projects. Recent momentum favors ARMK with superior YTD gains and stability near highs; EXPO lags but boasts higher quarterly earnings growth (11% vs. -9%). Risk profiles differ: ARMK's beta of 1.16 signals higher volatility than EXPO's 0.78, though EXPO offers better yield and lower P/E (28.7 vs. 37.9). Market sentiment tilts toward ARMK's catalysts, but EXPO provides defensive positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors ARMK due to stronger trend consistency, recent positive catalysts like AI data center contracts, and superior relative YTD performance amid market uptrends. While EXPO exhibits stability and earnings beats, its weaker momentum and distance from highs suggest lower near-term probability of outperformance. Observable factors position ARMK ahead in current conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ARMK is a Hold and EXPO is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARMK’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileEXPO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ARMK’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- EXPO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARMK’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EXPO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARMK’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- EXPO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
ARMK (@Office Equipment/Supplies) experienced а +1.61% price change this week, while EXPO (@Engineering & Construction) price change was -4.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Office Equipment/Supplies industry was +3.51%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.30%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Engineering & Construction industry was +1.83%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.46%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.72%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARMK is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
EXPO is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Office Equipment/Supplies (+3.51% weekly)The industry produces equipment regularly used in offices by businesses and other organizations, and could range from items like Blank sheet paper, calendars, Label and adhesive paper, paper clips, janitorial supplies, to larger /higher cost products like computers, printers, photocopiers, office furniture and so on. Many businesses in the office supply industry have been expanding into related markets like business cards, plus printing and binding of high quality, high volume business and engineering documents. Some companies in this industry also offer shipping services, including packaging and bulk mailing. Herman Miller, Inc., Steelcase Inc. and HNI Corporation.
@Engineering & Construction (+1.83% weekly)Engineering & Construction includes companies that engage in non-residential construction and contract services, including ventilation, heating and air conditioning (HVAC) services. The level/value of construction & engineering activity is one of the potentially relevant indicators of the health of businesses, and hence of the overall economy. Some of the large-cap U.S. companies in this industry include Jacobs Engineering Group Inc,, AECOM and Quanta Services, Inc.
| ARMK | EXPO | ARMK / EXPO | |
| Capitalization | 14.3B | 2.77B | 516% |
| EBITDA | 1.35B | 127M | 1,059% |
| Gain YTD | 48.029 | -17.047 | -282% |
| P/E Ratio | 40.50 | 26.67 | 152% |
| Revenue | 19.4B | 603M | 3,217% |
| Total Cash | 476M | 119M | 400% |
| Total Debt | 6.42B | 81M | 7,928% |
ARMK | EXPO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 89 | 9 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 29 Undervalued | 29 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 67 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 28 | 80 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 35 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ARMK's Valuation (29) in the Restaurants industry is in the same range as EXPO (29) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that ARMK’s stock grew similarly to EXPO’s over the last 12 months.
ARMK's Profit vs Risk Rating (17) in the Restaurants industry is significantly better than the same rating for EXPO (100) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that ARMK’s stock grew significantly faster than EXPO’s over the last 12 months.
EXPO's SMR Rating (35) in the Engineering And Construction industry is in the same range as ARMK (67) in the Restaurants industry. This means that EXPO’s stock grew similarly to ARMK’s over the last 12 months.
ARMK's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Restaurants industry is in the same range as EXPO (62) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that ARMK’s stock grew similarly to EXPO’s over the last 12 months.
ARMK's P/E Growth Rating (28) in the Restaurants industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EXPO (80) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that ARMK’s stock grew somewhat faster than EXPO’s over the last 12 months.
| ARMK | EXPO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 59% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 48% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 56% | 5 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 59% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| BSVO | 28.96 | 0.37 | +1.31% |
| EA Bridgeway Omni Small-Cap Value ETF | |||
| TMFG | 30.93 | 0.05 | +0.16% |
| Motley Fool Global Opportunities ETF | |||
| YBIT | 19.30 | N/A | N/A |
| Yieldmax Bitcoin Option Income Strategy ETF | |||
| FXC | 69.90 | -0.10 | -0.14% |
| Invesco CurrencyShares® Canadian Dollar | |||
| JHCR | 25.22 | -0.06 | -0.24% |
| JHancock Core Bond ETF | |||
ARMK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARMK has been loosely correlated with MSA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ARMK jumps, then MSA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARMK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARMK | 100% | -0.48% | ||
| MSA - ARMK | 51% Loosely correlated | +0.25% | ||
| ARLO - ARMK | 50% Loosely correlated | +1.65% | ||
| EXPO - ARMK | 49% Loosely correlated | +0.81% | ||
| GHC - ARMK | 45% Loosely correlated | +1.55% | ||
| EFX - ARMK | 45% Loosely correlated | +2.59% | ||
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