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ASML vs KLAC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) vs. KLA Corporation (KLAC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ASML and KLAC are essential providers of semiconductor manufacturing equipment, riding the wave of AI-driven chip demand.
- KLAC has demonstrated superior recent momentum, with approximately 19% gains over the past month compared to ASML's more modest 4-8% rise.
- KLAC year-to-date performance stands at around 49%, outpacing ASML's 23-35% advance.
- ASML benefits from its near-monopoly in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography but contends with U.S. export restriction risks.
- Valuations reflect growth premiums, with price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios near 46 for ASML and 56 for KLAC.
- Tickeron's AI analysis leans toward KLAC for its relative strength in current market conditions.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ASML Holding N.V. and KLA Corporation, two leaders in semiconductor equipment vital for advanced chip production amid surging AI and data center demand. Traders seeking exposure to the semiconductor supply chain and investors tracking sector rotation will find value in understanding their relative performance, growth drivers, and risks. In recent market activity, both stocks have navigated volatility from geopolitical tensions and cyclical recovery signals, offering insights into positioning for potential upside in high-tech manufacturing.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V., headquartered in the Netherlands, dominates the market for lithography systems, particularly extreme ultraviolet (EUV) tools essential for producing cutting-edge semiconductors at advanced nodes. The company reported strong quarterly earnings in recent weeks, beating expectations and raising full-year revenue guidance, yet shares experienced mixed reactions due to emerging competition and ongoing U.S. export restrictions to China. Stock behavior has been volatile, with weekly declines around 5% amid broader sector pressures, though monthly gains hover at 4-8% and year-to-date returns reach 23-35%. Sentiment reflects optimism for AI-driven bookings tempered by geopolitical risks influencing order visibility.
KLAC Overview and Recent Performance
KLA Corporation, a U.S.-based firm, specializes in process control, inspection, and metrology equipment that ensures yield and quality in semiconductor fabrication. Recent market activity has favored KLAC, with shares rallying on supply-chain improvements, an enlarged share buyback program, and anticipation for upcoming quarterly earnings showing expected revenue growth. Performance metrics highlight strength, including nearly 19% monthly gains, 49% year-to-date, and consistent outperformance against broader indices in recent sessions. Positive sentiment stems from robust demand in AI and logic chips, supporting steady momentum.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML and KLAC operate in complementary roles within the semiconductor ecosystem: ASML's lithography focus creates high barriers via technological moats, while KLAC's inspection services offer recurring revenue from aftermarket support. Growth drivers align on AI chip complexity, but KLAC shows more diversified exposure across nodes and end-markets. Recent momentum favors KLAC, with superior 1-month and YTD returns, contrasting ASML's volatility from policy risks. Risk factors include geopolitical tensions more acutely for ASML, versus KLAC's U.S. base stability. Market sentiment tilts positive for KLAC amid buyback support, while both command premium P/E ratios signaling growth trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors KLAC over ASML, based on stronger trend consistency, higher relative returns in recent months, and positive catalysts like buybacks and earnings outlook. While ASML holds long-term lithography leadership, KLAC's momentum and stability position it better probabilistically in the near term amid sector recovery.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASML is a StrongBuy and KLAC is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileKLAC’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- KLAC’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KLAC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KLAC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +13.51% price change this week, while KLAC (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was +13.16% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +17.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was +135.39%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
KLAC is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+17.31% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
| ASML | KLAC | ASML / KLAC | |
| Capitalization | 701B | 315B | 223% |
| EBITDA | 11.9B | 6.06B | 196% |
| Gain YTD | 75.030 | 98.987 | 76% |
| P/E Ratio | 62.47 | 68.30 | 91% |
| Revenue | 33.7B | 13.1B | 257% |
| Total Cash | 8.38B | 4.96B | 169% |
| Total Debt | 2.71B | 6.15B | 44% |
ASML | KLAC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 30 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 85 Overvalued | 91 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 2 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 13 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 3 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 9 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ASML's Valuation (85) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as KLAC (91). This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to KLAC’s over the last 12 months.
KLAC's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (15). This means that KLAC’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
KLAC's SMR Rating (13) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (19). This means that KLAC’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
KLAC's Price Growth Rating (3) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ASML (37). This means that KLAC’s stock grew somewhat faster than ASML’s over the last 12 months.
KLAC's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (10). This means that KLAC’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | KLAC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 66% | 15 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 79% |
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ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | -1.89% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +1.18% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +5.55% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 77% Closely correlated | +2.64% | ||
| NVMI - ASML | 71% Closely correlated | +4.19% | ||
| CAMT - ASML | 69% Closely correlated | +4.95% | ||
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