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ASML vs KLAC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding (ASML) vs. KLA Corporation (KLAC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASML and KLAC both occupy essential positions in the semiconductor equipment supply chain, yet they serve different stages of chipmaking — lithography versus process control and inspection.
- ASML delivered record net bookings and raised its full-year revenue outlook, while KLAC posted strong earnings growth but flagged near-term gross-margin pressure from rising memory component costs.
- Both stocks benefit from accelerating AI-driven investment, but ASML's unique position in EUV (extreme ultraviolet) lithography gives it a narrower competitive moat and concentrated catalyst profile.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on trend consistency, order momentum, and recent catalysts, Tickeron's AI would currently favor ASML over KLAC.
- For deeper coverage of each company's developments, explore ASML Major News and ASML Today's Price Move, as well as KLAC Major News and KLAC Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated systems are positioning across this and other pairs, browse the curated Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Semiconductor equipment makers have become a focal point for investors seeking exposure to the artificial intelligence buildout without betting on any single chip designer or foundry. This stock comparison examines ASML, the Dutch leader in lithography systems, and KLAC, the U.S. leader in process control and inspection. Both are capital-equipment franchises with recurring service revenue and deep ties to leading-edge logic and memory fabs. The comparison is most relevant to growth-oriented and technology-sector investors evaluating relative performance, market positioning, and risk exposure across two of the sector's highest-quality names.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V. is the world's sole supplier of EUV (extreme ultraviolet) lithography machines, the systems required to print the most advanced semiconductor patterns. Its customer base includes leading foundries and memory makers ramping AI-related capacity. In recent market activity, ASML reported record quarterly net bookings, with a substantial share tied to EUV tools, and full-year net sales and net income at all-time highs. Management guided for another growth year, citing stronger customer conviction around the durability of AI demand and accelerating transitions to advanced logic nodes and high-bandwidth memory. The company also raised its dividend and announced a multi-year share buyback program. Sentiment has been supported by these catalysts, tempered by a China exposure of roughly 20% of revenue and ongoing export-control considerations.
KLAC Overview and Recent Performance
KLA Corporation is the dominant provider of process control, metrology, and inspection equipment used to detect defects and ensure yields during chip fabrication. Its semiconductor process control segment accounts for the large majority of revenue, with meaningful exposure to both foundry/logic and memory customers. In recent weeks, KLAC has reported year-over-year revenue and earnings growth that exceeded analyst estimates, driven by leading-edge logic, high-bandwidth memory, and advanced packaging demand. Management indicated strong customer momentum and an expanding backlog, while cautioning that sharply higher DRAM memory chip prices used in its systems are creating a temporary gross-margin headwind. The company continues returning capital through buybacks and dividends, and analyst sentiment has generally remained constructive.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates hundreds of AI trading bots that monitor and trade thousands of different tickers, each built around its own strategy, timeframe, risk profile, and performance track record. Because not every bot suits every market condition, Tickeron curates the most relevant and best-performing systems into its Trending AI Robots section. These bots employ varying trading styles — from short-term momentum and swing strategies to longer-horizon trend-following approaches — and cover a wide universe of equities. The curated list helps traders identify automated strategies currently aligned with prevailing market dynamics rather than sifting through the full catalog manually. Exploring the Trending AI Robots page can offer a useful reference point for comparing systematic signals on names like ASML and KLAC.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ sharply in business model and competitive positioning. ASML holds an effective monopoly in EUV lithography, giving it pricing power but also a product lineup that is capital-intensive, expensive, and subject to geopolitical export rules. KLAC's portfolio spans inspection, metrology, and software, producing a broader, higher-margin revenue mix with less dependence on any single tool category. On growth drivers, both ride AI-led capital expenditure, but ASML's catalysts are concentrated in advanced-node logic and memory transitions, while KLAC benefits from rising process-control intensity and advanced packaging across a wider customer base. Risk profiles also diverge: ASML carries meaningful China and export-control exposure, whereas KLAC faces near-term cost inflation from memory components and a more cyclical, diversified product mix. In terms of relative performance and market sentiment, both have shown strength, with ASML's record order momentum providing a more visible forward catalyst.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing observable factors — trend consistency, order-book momentum, guidance direction, and the concentration of positive catalysts — Tickeron's AI would likely favor ASML in this comparison. ASML's record bookings, raised outlook, and unique EUV position offer a clearer near-term catalyst path than KLAC's more balanced but margin-constrained setup. That said, the verdict is probabilistic rather than definitive: KLAC's broader portfolio and recurring service revenue provide stability that may appeal under different market regimes. Traders should treat this as a relative positioning signal rather than a statement of absolute value.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASML is a Hold and KLAC is a StrongBuy.
ASML's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for ASML moved out of oversold territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 21 of the 24 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +11.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASML advanced for three days, in 226 of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
ASML may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ASML as a result. In 68 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ASML turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 70%.
ASML moved below its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ASML crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASML declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator for ASML entered a downward trend on November 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ASML’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ASML's P/B Ratio (25.074) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (5.670). P/E Ratio (56.004) is within average values for comparable stocks, (68.795). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.086) is also within normal values, averaging (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (15.175) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).
KLAC's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for KLAC moved out of oversold territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 12 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 11 of the 12 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +8.96% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KLAC advanced for three days, in 268 of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
KLAC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KLAC as a result. In 65 of 100 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KLAC turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 66%.
KLAC moved below its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for KLAC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KLAC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Aroon Indicator for KLAC entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KLAC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: KLAC's P/B Ratio (28.462) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (5.670). P/E Ratio (37.633) is within average values for comparable stocks, (68.795). KLAC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.809) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (16.260) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).
ASML | KLAC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 88 Overvalued | 88 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 34 | 55 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 15 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 9 | 47 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ASML's Valuation (88) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as KLAC (88). This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to KLAC’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Profit vs Risk Rating (34) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as KLAC (55). This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to KLAC’s over the last 12 months.
KLAC's SMR Rating (15) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (20). This means that KLAC’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Price Growth Rating (61) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as KLAC (64). This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to KLAC’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KLAC (47). This means that ASML’s stock grew somewhat faster than KLAC’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | KLAC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 4 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 4 days ago 87% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 4 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 4 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 4 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 4 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 12 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 69% | 5 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 4 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 4 days ago 65% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while KLAC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KLAC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KLAC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- KLAC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -0.84% price change this week, while KLAC (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was -12.30% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +0.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -24.09%, and the average quarterly price growth was -35.96%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jan 27, 2027.
KLAC is expected to report earnings on Feb 04, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+0.16% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
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KLAC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KLAC has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KLAC jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KLAC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLAC | 100% | +6.69% | ||
| LRCX - KLAC | 89% Closely correlated | +8.23% | ||
| AMAT - KLAC | 88% Closely correlated | +4.22% | ||
| NVMI - KLAC | 84% Closely correlated | +11.73% | ||
| ONTO - KLAC | 83% Closely correlated | +11.08% | ||
| ASML - KLAC | 82% Closely correlated | +5.02% | ||
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