Advertisement
ASML vs MCHP
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASML is a Buy and MCHP is a Buy.
ASML's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for ASML moved out of oversold territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 21 of the 24 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 47 of 63 cases where ASML's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ASML as a result. In 67 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +4.65% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASML advanced for three days, in 227 of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
ASML may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 186 of 240 cases where ASML Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ASML turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.
ASML moved below its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ASML crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASML declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ASML’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 89 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ASML's P/B Ratio (29.264) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (6.788). P/E Ratio (65.364) is within average values for comparable stocks, (99.275). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.086) is also within normal values, averaging (0.832). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.008) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (15.175) is also within normal values, averaging (27.093).
MCHP in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026
The 10-day moving average for MCHP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 26, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MCHP as a result. In 62 of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MCHP just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where MCHP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
MCHP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +8.27% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCHP advanced for three days, in 194 of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCHP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
MCHP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for MCHP entered a downward trend on September 24, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 39 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MCHP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.703) is normal, around the industry mean (6.607). P/E Ratio (117.103) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.000). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.233) is also within normal values, averaging (3.761). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.446) is also within normal values, averaging (45.794).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MCHP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
ASML | MCHP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 13 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 89 Overvalued | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 86 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 82 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 39 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MCHP's Valuation (82) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (89) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MCHP’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (86) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (20) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (82) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MCHP (46) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for MCHP (95) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew significantly faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | MCHP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 68% | 7 days ago 76% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 71% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while MCHP’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MCHP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MCHP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MCHP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -0.71% price change this week, while MCHP (@Semiconductors) price change was +3.21% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +9.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -17.53%, and the average quarterly price growth was -23.59%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +7.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.77%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.43%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jan 27, 2027.
MCHP is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+9.17% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+7.77% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
Advertisement
ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +1.67% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 85% Closely correlated | +5.39% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 82% Closely correlated | +5.07% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 81% Closely correlated | +3.33% | ||
| NVMI - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +2.17% | ||
| ONTO - ASML | 74% Closely correlated | +4.44% | ||
More | ||||