Analysis and predictions ASML vs TSM
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASML is a StrongSell and TSM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTSM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TSM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TSM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TSM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Semiconductors) experienced а -1.60% price change this week, while TSM (@Semiconductors) price change was -4.04% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +1.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.11%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Oct 18, 2023.
TSM is expected to report earnings on Oct 19, 2023.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+1.17% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ASML | TSM | ASML / TSM | |
| Capitalization | 231B | 427B | 54% |
| EBITDA | 9.22B | 1.57T | 1% |
| Gain YTD | 8.560 | 17.285 | 50% |
| P/E Ratio | 29.07 | 15.04 | 193% |
| Revenue | 25.9B | 2.23T | 1% |
| Total Cash | 6.35B | 1.52T | 0% |
| Total Debt | 4.52B | 945B | 0% |
ASML | TSM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 63 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 20 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 39 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 14 | 29 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 68 | 66 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TSM's Valuation (20) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ASML (82) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that TSM’s stock grew somewhat faster than ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as TSM (39) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to TSM’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (14) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as TSM (29) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to TSM’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's Price Growth Rating (61) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (62) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that TSM’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's P/E Growth Rating (66) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (68) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that TSM’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | TSM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 74% | 9 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 45% |
ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with AMAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then AMAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +0.86% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 86% Closely correlated | +0.72% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 85% Closely correlated | +1.10% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 84% Closely correlated | +1.43% | ||
| TER - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | -0.22% | ||
| MCHP - ASML | 78% Closely correlated | +1.30% | ||
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