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ASO vs FND
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) vs. Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASO operates as a sporting goods and outdoor retailer with recent store expansions and a declared quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share.
- FND focuses on hard-surface flooring, reporting Q2 2026 sales growth of 3% amid a 2.1% comparable store sales decline, with pro segment strength.
- Both stocks trade in the consumer discretionary sector, with ASO showing a market capitalization near $2.8–3.0 billion and FND near $5.35 billion in recent market activity.
- ASO has maintained a 52-week range of approximately $41.29–$62.44, while FND has experienced notable year-to-date pressure from prior highs.
- Recent developments for ASO include multiple new store openings, whereas FND highlighted online penetration reaching 20.3% and tariff refund benefits in its latest reported quarter.
- Market sentiment reflects broader retail sector dynamics, with both companies pursuing expansion amid varying comparable sales trends.
Introduction
This comparison examines ASO and FND, two specialty retailers operating in adjacent consumer discretionary categories. ASO emphasizes sporting goods and outdoor recreation, while FND specializes in hard-surface flooring. The analysis targets institutional and individual investors seeking data-driven insights into relative performance, business models, and positioning within the current retail environment. It highlights verifiable metrics and recent developments to inform portfolio considerations without forward-looking speculation.
ASO Overview and Recent Performance
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (ASO) is a full-line sporting goods and outdoor retailer with hundreds of stores across multiple states. Its merchandise mix spans outdoor, sports and recreation, apparel, and footwear categories. In recent weeks, the company announced the opening of eleven new stores across six states in the third quarter and declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.15 per share payable in October 2026. Stock performance has reflected broader market activity, with shares trading near $44.94–$48.43 and a market capitalization of approximately $2.8–3.0 billion. The 52-week range stands at $41.29–$62.44, influenced by retail sector trends and store expansion initiatives. Sentiment has been shaped by ongoing growth in new locations and dividend continuity amid fluctuating consumer spending patterns.
FND Overview and Recent Performance
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) operates as a specialty retailer of hard-surface flooring products, serving both homeowners and professionals through a warehouse format. In recent market activity following its second-quarter 2026 earnings, the company reported total sales of $1.25 billion, representing 3% year-over-year growth, alongside a 2.1% comparable store sales decline that improved sequentially. Pro sales grew 4%, and online penetration reached 20.3%. Shares have traded around $50.23 with a market capitalization near $5.35 billion, within a 52-week range of approximately $42.64–$92.41. Performance has been influenced by tariff refund benefits, new store openings, and efforts to stabilize comparable sales amid housing market conditions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASO and FND differ in core business models, with ASO centered on sporting goods and outdoor merchandise across a broad assortment, while FND concentrates on flooring products with emphasis on professional and online channels. Growth drivers for ASO include store expansion and category-specific sales momentum in outdoor segments, contrasted with FND’s focus on pro sales growth and digital penetration amid softer comparable store metrics. Recent momentum shows ASO benefiting from new store contributions and dividend actions, whereas FND has highlighted earnings beats and liquidity improvements in its reported quarter. Risk factors encompass retail cyclicality for both, with ASO exposed to discretionary sporting goods demand and FND more tied to housing and renovation cycles. Sector exposure remains consumer discretionary, though sentiment varies with ASO displaying relatively contained valuation multiples compared to FND’s larger scale and prior price volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in store expansion for ASO and sequential improvement in comparable sales metrics for FND, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to ASO due to its recent operational catalysts and more stable positioning within the observed timeframe. This assessment draws from relative momentum indicators and sector resilience rather than definitive forecasts, reflecting the probabilistic nature of AI-driven evaluations in dynamic markets.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASO is a Hold and FND is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileFND’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ASO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FND’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FND’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- FND’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ASO (@Specialty Stores) experienced а +3.31% price change this week, while FND (@Home Improvement Chains) price change was -5.23% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Stores industry was +2.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.08%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Home Improvement Chains industry was -1.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.68%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.96%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASO is expected to report earnings on Sep 09, 2026.
FND is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Specialty Stores (+2.27% weekly)The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.
@Home Improvement Chains (-1.37% weekly)The home improvement chains industry sells home improvement merchandise and do-it-yourself repair and building goods. Customers include individual contractors or construction managers on one hand; on the other hand, there are retail consumers who’d either buy raw materials/items from the store to do a project on their own, or pay extra for installation services. Products sold include fencing supplies, lumber materials, hardware, lighting fixtures, plumbing supplies, home decor items, bathroom remodel items, roofing materials, tools and wallboard to name a few. The Home Depot Inc., Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. are some of the biggest home improvement retailing companies in the U.S. Allowing all types of customers the flexibility to choose or buy products both offline and online and then having the products shipped to the respective sites/homes are some of the potential drivers of a home improvement chain’s popularity. Many big-box home improvement chains are looking to expand their overseas presence. Supply-chain efficiency and distribution management are some of the key ingredients to grow/make profit in this industry.
| ASO | FND | ASO / FND | |
| Capitalization | 2.79B | 5.35B | 52% |
| EBITDA | 652M | 557M | 117% |
| Gain YTD | -9.520 | -17.507 | 54% |
| P/E Ratio | 7.94 | 23.47 | 34% |
| Revenue | 6.14B | 4.71B | 130% |
| Total Cash | 338M | 321M | 105% |
| Total Debt | 1.95B | 2.01B | 97% |
ASO | FND | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 26 Undervalued | 63 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 48 | 72 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 74 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 90 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ASO's Valuation (26) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FND (63) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that ASO’s stock grew somewhat faster than FND’s over the last 12 months.
ASO's Profit vs Risk Rating (80) in the null industry is in the same range as FND (100) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that ASO’s stock grew similarly to FND’s over the last 12 months.
ASO's SMR Rating (48) in the null industry is in the same range as FND (72) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that ASO’s stock grew similarly to FND’s over the last 12 months.
FND's Price Growth Rating (64) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as ASO (74) in the null industry. This means that FND’s stock grew similarly to ASO’s over the last 12 months.
ASO's P/E Growth Rating (64) in the null industry is in the same range as FND (90) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that ASO’s stock grew similarly to FND’s over the last 12 months.
| ASO | FND | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 85% | 4 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 76% | 7 days ago 80% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 81% |
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ASO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASO has been loosely correlated with FND. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ASO jumps, then FND could also see price increases.
FND and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FND has been closely correlated with HD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FND jumps, then HD could also see price increases.