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ASO vs FND
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) vs. Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASO operates in the sporting goods and outdoor retail sector with a focus on value-oriented merchandise, while FND specializes in hard-surface flooring and home improvement products targeted at both consumers and professionals.
- Recent market activity shows ASO delivering more stable year-to-date performance compared to broader market benchmarks, whereas FND has experienced greater volatility amid housing market softness.
- ASO recently declared a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share, providing an income component absent in FND’s current profile.
- FND reported softer comparable store sales in its most recent quarter, prompting lowered full-year guidance, while ASO has highlighted preliminary sales growth expectations.
- Both stocks trade in the specialty retail space with exposure to consumer discretionary spending, yet ASO demonstrates relatively lower valuation multiples on trailing earnings.
- Market sentiment for ASO reflects resilience in outdoor and recreational categories, contrasting with FND’s sensitivity to housing transaction volumes and renovation demand.
Introduction
Investors and traders often compare specialty retailers to assess relative positioning within the consumer discretionary sector. ASO and FND represent distinct niches—outdoor sporting goods versus flooring and home surfaces—yet both respond to similar macroeconomic drivers such as consumer spending patterns and housing trends. This comparison appeals to market participants seeking to evaluate business model resilience, recent price behavior, and sector-specific catalysts in the current environment. It provides factual context for those analyzing relative performance without implying directional recommendations.
ASO Overview and Recent Performance
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (ASO) is a retailer offering sporting goods, outdoor products, and apparel through a network of stores primarily in the southern and southeastern United States. In recent weeks, the stock has traded in a range reflecting modest year-to-date gains relative to broader equity benchmarks. Preliminary first-quarter sales indications pointed to growth in the mid-single digits, supporting a generally constructive tone around operational trends. Recent market activity includes the declaration of a quarterly cash dividend, which may appeal to income-focused observers. Sentiment has been influenced by steady demand in recreational categories amid broader retail variability.
FND Overview and Recent Performance
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) operates warehouse-format stores specializing in hard-surface flooring and related installation products, serving both do-it-yourself consumers and professional contractors. In recent market activity, the shares have shown sensitivity to housing market conditions, with first-quarter results reflecting lower comparable store sales driven by reduced transaction volumes. Management lowered full-year sales guidance following the report, citing ongoing softness in existing home sales and consumer sentiment. New store openings continue to expand the footprint, though near-term momentum appears tempered by discretionary spending caution. Overall positioning reflects exposure to renovation cycles.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASO and FND differ in core business models: the former emphasizes value-driven sporting and outdoor merchandise with broader recreational appeal, while the latter concentrates on specialized flooring and surfaces with significant professional contractor exposure. Growth drivers for ASO include steady participation in outdoor activities, contrasting with FND’s reliance on housing turnover and home improvement cycles. Recent momentum shows ASO maintaining comparatively steadier price behavior, whereas FND has faced sharper reactions to quarterly results and guidance adjustments. Risk factors include inventory management for both, with FND additionally sensitive to supply-chain and tariff considerations noted in recent filings. Sector exposure places both within consumer discretionary retail, yet ASO offers a dividend element that FND does not currently provide. Market sentiment reflects these trade-offs, with valuation multiples favoring ASO on earnings metrics amid differing growth trajectories.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to ASO due to its more stable recent performance profile and dividend support compared with FND’s greater sensitivity to housing-related catalysts. This assessment remains probabilistic and subject to evolving market data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASO is a Hold and FND is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileFND’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ASO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FND’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASO’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FND’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- FND’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ASO (@Specialty Stores) experienced а -1.43% price change this week, while FND (@Home Improvement Chains) price change was +12.51% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Stores industry was +7.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +15.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.56%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Home Improvement Chains industry was +7.54%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.14%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12.07%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASO is expected to report earnings on Sep 09, 2026.
FND is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Specialty Stores (+7.13% weekly)The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.
@Home Improvement Chains (+7.54% weekly)The home improvement chains industry sells home improvement merchandise and do-it-yourself repair and building goods. Customers include individual contractors or construction managers on one hand; on the other hand, there are retail consumers who’d either buy raw materials/items from the store to do a project on their own, or pay extra for installation services. Products sold include fencing supplies, lumber materials, hardware, lighting fixtures, plumbing supplies, home decor items, bathroom remodel items, roofing materials, tools and wallboard to name a few. The Home Depot Inc., Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. are some of the biggest home improvement retailing companies in the U.S. Allowing all types of customers the flexibility to choose or buy products both offline and online and then having the products shipped to the respective sites/homes are some of the potential drivers of a home improvement chain’s popularity. Many big-box home improvement chains are looking to expand their overseas presence. Supply-chain efficiency and distribution management are some of the key ingredients to grow/make profit in this industry.
| ASO | FND | ASO / FND | |
| Capitalization | 3.16B | 5.77B | 55% |
| EBITDA | 645M | 509M | 127% |
| Gain YTD | 2.391 | -12.399 | -19% |
| P/E Ratio | 9.01 | 28.99 | 31% |
| Revenue | 6.05B | 4.68B | 129% |
| Total Cash | 330M | 294M | 112% |
| Total Debt | 1.89B | 2.01B | 94% |
FND | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 65 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 16 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| ASO | FND | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 83% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 74% | 19 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 76% | 8 days ago 79% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 79% |
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FND and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FND has been loosely correlated with RH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FND jumps, then RH could also see price increases.