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AU vs IAG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AngloGold Ashanti (AU) vs. IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AU boasts a larger market cap of $46B and global operations across 10 countries, contrasting IAG's $9.5B cap focused on Canada and Burkina Faso.
- Both stocks have delivered strong 1-year returns around 136-143%, driven by gold price rallies, but AU shows higher YTD gains at 8% vs. IAG's 2.6%.
- AU offers a 4.6% dividend yield with superior profitability (ROE 34% vs. 19%), while IAG trades at a lower forward P/E of 7.2.
- Recent developments include AU's Arthur Gold Project (4.9M oz reserve) and debt tenders; IAG released its 2025 ESG report ahead of Q1 earnings.
- AU exhibits lower volatility (beta 0.62) compared to IAG (beta 2.21), appealing to stability-focused investors.
- Tickeron's AI bots highlight gold miners amid sector volatility, with some achieving 50-60% annualized returns.
Introduction
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) and IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) are prominent gold miners benefiting from sustained gold price strength amid geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns. This stock comparison evaluates their business models, recent performance, and market positioning in the current environment. Traders seeking exposure to precious metals through established producers, or investors eyeing growth in mining amid sector rotation, will find insights into relative momentum, risk profiles, and catalysts. With gold's safe-haven appeal driving sector gains, understanding contrasts in scale, operations, and financial health aids informed relative performance decisions.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) is a global gold producer with operations in Africa, Australia, and the Americas, producing 3.09 million ounces of gold in 2025 alongside silver and by-products. Its portfolio includes flagship assets like the Geita mine in Tanzania. In recent market activity, AU shares have traded around $90-93, reflecting volatility from gold price swings and operational updates. The stock surged over 136% in the past year but pulled back amid debt tender activities and Ghana localization pressures, down about 9% in recent weeks. Key influences include a pre-feasibility study for the Arthur Gold Project in Nevada, declaring a 4.9 million ounce probable reserve, bolstering long-term growth sentiment. Strong Q4 2025 results with record free cash flow of $2.9B and EPS growth have supported resilience, though broader market gains occasionally outpaced it. Profitability remains robust with 26.7% margins and ROE (return on equity) of 34%.
IAG Overview and Recent Performance
IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) operates as a mid-tier gold producer and developer primarily in Canada and Burkina Faso, with its flagship Côté Gold project in Ontario driving expansion. Recent weeks saw shares hover near $16, down amid profit-taking after a 143% one-year rally fueled by gold's ascent. YTD performance lags at 2.6%, reflecting higher sensitivity to commodity fluctuations. Sentiment has been shaped by the 2025 sustainability report emphasizing ESG (environmental, social, governance) progress and upcoming Q1 earnings. Financials show solid quarterly revenue growth over 130% YoY (year-over-year), with 23% profit margins and ROE of 19%, supported by Côté ramp-up. No dividend currently, but lower debt levels and positive analyst targets around $26 signal growth potential, balanced against operational risks in key regions.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates the top performers from hundreds of AI trading bots that analyze thousands of tickers using advanced financial learning models. Only the most suitable for prevailing conditions—like volatility in gold and sector rotations—earn a spot among the 25 trending bots out of 351 total. These bots deliver impressive stats: annualized returns from 23% to 162%, win rates of 51-88%, and profit factors up to 11.7 across strategies like trend trading and multi-agent systems. Timeframes range from 5 minutes to 60 minutes, covering sectors including precious metals with gold/silver miners bots posting 54-61% annualized returns and 56-58% win rates. Diverse styles suit swing traders to day traders. Explore these high-performing bots to enhance your strategy in dynamic markets.
Head-to-Head Comparison
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) and IAMGOLD (IAG) both capitalize on gold's rally but differ in scale and exposure. AU's diversified model spans continents with higher production (9.9B revenue TTM), contrasting IAG's focused growth via Côté (2.85B revenue). Growth drivers for AU include Nevada's Arthur project; IAG emphasizes Canadian assets for lower geopolitical risk. Recent momentum favors AU YTD, but IAG edges on forward valuation (P/E 7.2 vs. 11). Risk factors: AU's Africa exposure vs. IAG's higher beta (2.21), amplifying swings. Sector-wise, both pure gold plays, but AU offers dividends and cash ($2.9B), while IAG prioritizes reinvestment. Sentiment tilts positive for both amid gold strength, with trade-offs in stability vs. upside potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors AU due to trend consistency from diversified reserves, superior stability (low beta), and catalysts like the Arthur project amid gold's positioning. IAG shows promise via growth metrics and valuation, but higher volatility tempers short-term edge. Probabilistic analysis suggests AU better aligned for relative outperformance in prevailing conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AU is a Hold and IAG is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AU’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileIAG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AU’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- IAG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AU’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IAG’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- IAG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
AU (@Precious Metals) experienced а +14.77% price change this week, while IAG (@Precious Metals) price change was +16.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +4.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +12.01%, and the average quarterly price growth was +55.61%.
Reported Earning Dates
AU is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
IAG is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+4.29% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AU | IAG | AU / IAG | |
| Capitalization | 52.8B | 11B | 480% |
| EBITDA | 5.76B | 1.96B | 293% |
| Gain YTD | 24.394 | 15.464 | 158% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.32 | 11.13 | 138% |
| Revenue | 11.2B | 3.41B | 329% |
| Total Cash | 3.15B | 551M | 572% |
| Total Debt | 2.29B | 651M | 351% |
AU | IAG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 67 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 6 Undervalued | 73 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 27 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 21 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | 6 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 49 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AU's Valuation (6) in the Precious Metals industry is significantly better than the same rating for IAG (73). This means that AU’s stock grew significantly faster than IAG’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Profit vs Risk Rating (27) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AU (28). This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to AU’s over the last 12 months.
AU's SMR Rating (21) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as IAG (36). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to IAG’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as IAG (41). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to IAG’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AU (33). This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to AU’s over the last 12 months.
| AU | IAG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 83% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 74% | 10 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 85% |
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