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AU vs WPM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AngloGold Ashanti (AU) vs. Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AngloGold Ashanti (AU) is a diversified gold miner, while Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) is a streaming and royalty company that does not operate mines.
- Both stocks have benefited from sharply higher gold and silver prices, but their business models respond to those prices in fundamentally different ways.
- AU carries operational and cost risk, whereas WPM enjoys structurally higher margins with less operational exposure.
- WPM recently completed its largest-ever transaction, a $4.3 billion silver stream on the Antamina mine.
- Relative performance and valuation suggest AU trades at a lower earnings multiple, while WPM commands a premium for its lower-risk model.
Introduction
Gold and silver have been among the strongest-performing asset classes in recent market cycles, drawing attention to companies across the precious metals value chain. This stock comparison examines two prominent names with very different approaches to the same theme: AU, a global gold producer, and WPM, a precious metals streaming company. Traders and investors evaluating relative performance, market positioning, and risk profiles may find this comparison useful when deciding how to express a view on precious metals. Both stocks share exposure to metal prices, but their earnings drivers, cost structures, and volatility characteristics differ meaningfully.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) is a senior gold producer with mines across Africa, the Americas, and Australia. The company reported a sharp rise in profitability in recent quarters, driven by elevated gold prices. In the first half of 2026, EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) climbed roughly 82% year over year to about $4.3 billion, even as gold production dipped modestly following the sale of the Serra Grande mine and temporary disruptions at Obuasi and Iduapriem.
The stock has delivered strong returns over the past year, though it has pulled back from earlier highs in recent weeks as gold retreated from record levels. Management has emphasized capital returns, declaring an interim dividend and proposing a share repurchase program of up to $2 billion, while moving the balance sheet to a net cash position. Operational and cost pressures, including higher royalties linked to rising gold prices, remain a key risk to monitor. In recent market activity, AU has traded with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple in the low double digits, below the typical premium commanded by lower-risk precious metals business models.
WPM Overview and Recent Performance
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) operates a streaming model, providing upfront capital to miners in exchange for the right to purchase future production at low, fixed per-ounce prices. Because it does not operate mines, its cost structure is far less exposed to inflation, royalties, and labor than a traditional producer. This model translated into record results in the first quarter of 2026, with revenue of roughly $901 million, net earnings of about $582 million, and operating cash flow of approximately $766 million, all records for the company.
A defining catalyst for WPM has been its $4.3 billion silver streaming agreement with BHP on the Antamina mine in Peru, the largest transaction in the company's history. The deal expands WPM's silver exposure and diversifies its asset base, which now spans more than 20 operating mines. The company has also raised its quarterly dividend. While the stock has performed strongly over the past year, it has cooled from earlier highs in recent weeks, and the added debt used to fund the Antamina transaction is a factor investors are monitoring.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The core contrast between AU and WPM is the nature of their exposure to precious metals. As a producer, AU carries full operational risk — including mining, grade, labor, and permitting challenges — but also retains full upside leverage to metal prices and any cost-efficiency gains. Its recent momentum has been strong, yet it has faced operational setbacks that can weigh on sentiment even in a rising price environment.
In contrast, WPM captures precious metals exposure with much lower operating risk and structurally higher margins, since it pays fixed per-ounce prices. Its growth is driven primarily by acquiring new streams and royalties rather than by drilling or mining. This gives it a steadier earnings profile but also a higher valuation multiple. WPM is also more diversified across gold, silver, and other metals, whereas AU is concentrated in gold. From a risk standpoint, AU faces operational and geopolitical exposure across multiple jurisdictions, while WPM carries counterparty and concentration risk tied to its streaming partners.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability of earnings, margin structure, and recent catalysts, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward WPM in the current environment. The streaming model offers steadier, higher-margin cash generation with less operational risk, and the record results alongside the transformative Antamina transaction provide a clearer, more durable catalyst path. That said, AU's lower valuation and strong free cash flow generation could appeal to strategies emphasizing value and price leverage. In probabilistic terms, WPM currently presents a more favorable risk-adjusted profile for momentum and stability-oriented signals, while AU may suit those focused on valuation and operational turnaround potential.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AU is a StrongBuy and WPM is a StrongBuy.
AU in +4.48% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on October 16, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where AU advanced for three days, in 258 of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for AU's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 47 of 59 cases where AU's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
AU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AU as a result. In 61 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AU turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.
AU moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Aroon Indicator for AU entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AU’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 64 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.810) is normal, around the industry mean (1.927). P/E Ratio (11.389) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-15.408). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.040) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.345) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.307) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
WPM in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026
WPM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 36 of 41 cases where WPM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for WPM's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +3.55% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WPM advanced for three days, in 249 of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WPM as a result. In 47 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
WPM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for WPM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WPM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator for WPM entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WPM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.789) is normal, around the industry mean (1.927). P/E Ratio (27.354) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-15.408). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.400) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.345) among similar stocks. WPM's P/S Ratio (21.053) is slightly higher than the industry average of (7.321).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
AU | WPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 56 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 64 Fair valued | 78 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 33 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 22 | 41 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 87 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AU's Valuation (64) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (78). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (33). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
AU's SMR Rating (22) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (41). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (46). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
AU's P/E Growth Rating (76) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (87). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
| AU | WPM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 82% | 7 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 61% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AU’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while WPM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WPM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AU’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WPM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- WPM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AU (@Precious Metals) experienced а -6.97% price change this week, while WPM (@Precious Metals) price change was -7.23% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -5.92%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -20.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.45%.
Reported Earning Dates
AU is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
WPM is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-5.92% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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