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BKNG vs CCL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) vs. Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BKNG has delivered a year-to-date return of 15.65%, surpassing CCL's 10.62% amid ongoing travel demand.
- CCL boasts a superior one-year gain of 45.97% versus BKNG's 5.94%, reflecting cruise sector momentum.
- CCL trades at a lower P/E ratio of 11.97 compared to BKNG's 27.23, signaling relative value.
- Both stocks benefit from leisure travel recovery, but BKNG's recent 25-for-1 stock split has improved share accessibility.
- CCL reported record Q1 2026 bookings and earnings beat, while BKNG eyes Q1 results on April 28.
- CCL exhibits higher volatility with a beta of 2.48 versus BKNG's 1.20.
Introduction
Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) and Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) represent key players in the leisure travel sector, with BKNG dominating online accommodations and CCL leading in cruises. This comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance metrics, and sector dynamics amid sustained post-pandemic travel growth. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing value in cyclical industries will find insights into relative strengths, risks, and catalysts shaping their trajectories in the current environment.
BKNG Overview and Recent Performance
Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) operates a leading online travel platform including Booking.com, Priceline, and Agoda, facilitating hotel, flight, and rental bookings globally. In recent market activity, shares trade around $180 following a 25-for-1 stock split effective April 2, 2026, enhancing liquidity. Year-to-date performance stands at 15.65%, buoyed by robust revenue of $26.92 billion (TTM) and net income of $5.4 billion, though a recent 16% slump reflects valuation adjustments. Sentiment remains positive ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on April 28, with expectations of $5.5 billion revenue, driven by strong demand from family and Gen Z travelers in Asia.
CCL Overview and Recent Performance
Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL), the world's largest cruise operator with brands like Carnival Cruise Line and Princess Cruises, has capitalized on experiential travel resurgence. Shares hover near $27, with a 52-week range of $17.33 to $34.03 and market cap of $37.6 billion. Recent quarters show record bookings and a Q1 2026 earnings beat ($0.20 EPS vs. $0.18 expected), supporting a one-year return of 45.97% despite YTD fluctuations at 10.62%. Performance reflects yield management gains and expanding itineraries, though fuel costs pose headwinds.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BKNG’s asset-light digital model contrasts CCL’s capital-intensive fleet operations, offering scalability but exposure to booking cycles for the former and fuel/expansion risks for the latter. Growth drivers include broad travel demand, yet CCL edges in recent momentum with record yields versus BKNG’s premium pricing. Risk profiles differ: CCL’s higher beta amplifies volatility, while BKNG provides stability at larger scale ($140B vs. $37.6B market cap). Market sentiment favors CCL as a value play amid its recovery trajectory.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward CCL for its consistent trend strength, attractive valuation, record bookings, and superior one-year relative performance, positioning it probabilistically for continued outperformance in leisure travel amid economic normalization.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BKNG is a StrongBuy and CCL is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BKNG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCCL’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- BKNG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CCL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BKNG’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CCL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BKNG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- CCL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BKNG (@Consumer Sundries) experienced а -1.68% price change this week, while CCL (@Consumer Sundries) price change was +0.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Consumer Sundries industry was +0.24%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.52%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12.52%.
Reported Earning Dates
BKNG is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
CCL is expected to report earnings on Jun 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Consumer Sundries (+0.24% weekly)Consumer sundries companies make products that usually do not have another classification, such as lawn and garden products, pest-control products, pet food and pet products like leashes, collars, and harnesses. Central Garden & Pet Company and Dogness (International) Corporation are examples of companies operating in this industry.
| BKNG | CCL | BKNG / CCL | |
| Capitalization | 127B | 38.4B | 331% |
| EBITDA | 9.8B | 7.22B | 136% |
| Gain YTD | -23.078 | -8.223 | 281% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.63 | 12.22 | 177% |
| Revenue | 27.7B | 27B | 103% |
| Total Cash | 16B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 18.9B | 26.6B | 71% |
BKNG | CCL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 30 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 97 Overvalued | 34 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 90 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 87 | 74 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CCL's Valuation (34) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BKNG (97) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that CCL’s stock grew somewhat faster than BKNG’s over the last 12 months.
BKNG's Profit vs Risk Rating (29) in the Other Consumer Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CCL (90) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry. This means that BKNG’s stock grew somewhat faster than CCL’s over the last 12 months.
BKNG's SMR Rating (100) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as CCL (100) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry. This means that BKNG’s stock grew similarly to CCL’s over the last 12 months.
CCL's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as BKNG (62) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that CCL’s stock grew similarly to BKNG’s over the last 12 months.
CCL's P/E Growth Rating (74) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as BKNG (87) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that CCL’s stock grew similarly to BKNG’s over the last 12 months.
| BKNG | CCL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 71% | 15 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 76% |
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BKNG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BKNG has been closely correlated with EXPE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BKNG jumps, then EXPE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BKNG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKNG | 100% | +1.04% | ||
| EXPE - BKNG | 67% Closely correlated | +2.28% | ||
| ABNB - BKNG | 52% Loosely correlated | -2.29% | ||
| MMYT - BKNG | 44% Loosely correlated | -1.61% | ||
| CCL - BKNG | 42% Loosely correlated | +2.67% | ||
| TNL - BKNG | 40% Loosely correlated | +1.36% | ||
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CCL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CCL has been closely correlated with CUK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 93% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CCL jumps, then CUK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CCL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCL | 100% | +2.67% | ||
| CUK - CCL | 93% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| NCLH - CCL | 81% Closely correlated | +2.59% | ||
| VIK - CCL | 80% Closely correlated | +1.43% | ||
| RCL - CCL | 78% Closely correlated | +3.77% | ||
| LIND - CCL | 63% Loosely correlated | +4.11% | ||
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