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BMRC vs FCF
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BMRC is a Hold and FCF is a Hold.
BMRC's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for BMRC moved out of oversold territory on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 28 of the 39 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 72%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 40 of 61 cases where BMRC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Following a +1.11% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BMRC advanced for three days, in 150 of 261 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
BMRC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BMRC as a result. In 69 of 102 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BMRC turned negative on September 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 64%.
BMRC moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BMRC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Aroon Indicator for BMRC entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BMRC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 92 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.078) is normal, around the industry mean (1.237). P/E Ratio (-29.344) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.122). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.770) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.038) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. BMRC's P/S Ratio (7.315) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.738).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BMRC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock worse than average.
FCF in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on September 29, 2026
FCF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 30 of 45 cases where FCF's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FCF's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 37 of 57 cases where FCF's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FCF just turned positive on October 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where FCF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Following a +2.11% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FCF advanced for three days, in 171 of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FCF as a result. In 49 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
FCF moved below its 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FCF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FCF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
The Aroon Indicator for FCF entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FCF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 61 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.310) is normal, around the industry mean (1.237). P/E Ratio (12.327) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.122). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.280) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.028) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.006) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
BMRC | FCF | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 60 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 61 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 21 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 67 | 18 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 98 | 35 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FCF's Valuation (61) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BMRC (92). This means that FCF’s stock grew similarly to BMRC’s over the last 12 months.
FCF's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the Regional Banks industry is significantly better than the same rating for BMRC (100). This means that FCF’s stock grew significantly faster than BMRC’s over the last 12 months.
FCF's SMR Rating (18) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BMRC (67). This means that FCF’s stock grew somewhat faster than BMRC’s over the last 12 months.
FCF's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BMRC (55). This means that FCF’s stock grew similarly to BMRC’s over the last 12 months.
FCF's P/E Growth Rating (35) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BMRC (98). This means that FCF’s stock grew somewhat faster than BMRC’s over the last 12 months.
| BMRC | FCF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 65% | 5 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 58% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BMRC’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while FCF’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BMRC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- FCF’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BMRC’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FCF’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BMRC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- FCF’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BMRC (@Regional Banks) experienced а -0.97% price change this week, while FCF (@Regional Banks) price change was +2.26% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +0.49%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.80%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.68%.
Reported Earning Dates
BMRC is expected to report earnings on Oct 26, 2026.
FCF is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Regional Banks (+0.49% weekly)Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
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FCF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FCF has been closely correlated with UBSI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FCF jumps, then UBSI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FCF | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | 100% | +0.59% | ||
| UBSI - FCF | 87% Closely correlated | +0.19% | ||
| NWBI - FCF | 86% Closely correlated | +0.27% | ||
| PEBO - FCF | 85% Closely correlated | +0.27% | ||
| STBA - FCF | 84% Closely correlated | +0.64% | ||
| CPF - FCF | 84% Closely correlated | +1.05% | ||
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