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BP vs EQNR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BP plc (BP) vs. Equinor ASA (EQNR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BP and EQNR are both integrated oil and gas majors with significant exposure to upstream production and refining.
- Over recent weeks, BP shares have traded near multi-month highs around $46.10 amid higher oil prices and a Moderate Buy analyst consensus.
- EQNR has delivered stronger year-to-date gains of approximately 85-90% compared to BP’s roughly 32-37% advance through mid-September 2026.
- Both companies reported solid second-quarter 2026 results, with BP highlighting earnings beats and debt reduction while EQNR emphasized production growth and expanded share buybacks.
- EQNR exhibits higher return on equity and operating margins in recent periods, though BP offers a higher dividend yield near 4.5%.
- Sector tailwinds from elevated energy prices have supported both stocks, with ongoing portfolio optimization and capital returns shaping investor sentiment.
Introduction
Integrated energy companies BP and EQNR operate in the same core sector yet differ in geographic focus, capital allocation priorities, and recent market momentum. This comparison examines their business profiles, recent performance trends, and relative positioning for investors and traders seeking exposure to oil and gas equities. Market participants evaluating energy sector allocations, dividend strategies, or momentum plays may find the analysis relevant when assessing diversification within the integrated oil space amid fluctuating commodity prices.
BP Overview and Recent Performance
BP plc is a global integrated energy company engaged in upstream exploration and production, downstream refining, and marketing. In recent market activity, shares have advanced toward the upper end of their 52-week range, reflecting gains of roughly 33% year-to-date as of early September 2026. Stronger oil realizations and improved trading results contributed to a second-quarter earnings beat, with the company reporting underlying replacement cost profit before interest and tax of $10.3 billion. Analysts have maintained a Moderate Buy rating and lifted price targets modestly, citing resilient cash flows and a 4% dividend increase. Net debt declined to $22.3 billion, supporting balance-sheet stability. Recent board changes, including a new chairman appointment, have also drawn attention while the firm continues portfolio adjustments and divestment activity.
EQNR Overview and Recent Performance
Equinor ASA focuses on upstream oil and gas operations with a significant presence on the Norwegian Continental Shelf and international assets. Shares have shown robust momentum in recent weeks, trading near $44.80 with year-to-date gains approaching 85-90% through mid-September 2026. Second-quarter results featured adjusted operating income of $11.5 billion, supported by higher liquids prices and production growth of 3% year-over-year. The company has expanded its 2026 share buyback program and continued disciplined capital returns. Recent developments include asset swaps, new North Sea discoveries, and a framework agreement with BP on the Bay du Nord project. Strong cash generation and operational regularity have underpinned the outperformance relative to broader energy peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BP maintains a broader downstream footprint and higher dividend yield, appealing to income-focused investors, while EQNR concentrates more heavily on upstream production with stronger recent profitability metrics such as higher return on equity. Both benefit from elevated energy prices, yet EQNR has posted materially larger year-to-date and one-year total returns. BP offers greater analyst coverage and a Moderate Buy consensus, whereas EQNR has emphasized aggressive buybacks and production expansion. Risk factors include commodity price volatility for both, with BP facing additional scrutiny around governance transitions and EQNR navigating Norwegian tax and regulatory dynamics. Market sentiment favors EQNR on momentum while BP provides relative stability and yield.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including stronger trend consistency, superior recent momentum, robust production growth, and expanded capital returns, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to EQNR over BP in a relative ranking. BP remains competitive on yield and analyst support, yet the data tilt toward EQNR’s positioning in the current environment. This assessment reflects historical patterns and recent metrics rather than forward guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BP is a StrongBuy and EQNR is a StrongBuy.
| BP | EQNR | BP / EQNR | |
| Capitalization | 118B | 106B | 111% |
| EBITDA | 39.8B | 46.2B | 86% |
| Gain YTD | 37.668 | 95.970 | 39% |
| P/E Ratio | 22.02 | 12.14 | 181% |
| Revenue | 217B | 114B | 190% |
| Total Cash | 37.2B | 23.7B | 157% |
| Total Debt | 72.7B | 32.4B | 224% |
BP | EQNR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 82 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 19 Undervalued | 24 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 12 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 74 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 12 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BP's Valuation (19) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (24). This means that BP’s stock grew similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (15). This means that EQNR’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's SMR Rating (45) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (74). This means that EQNR’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (42). This means that EQNR’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Integrated Oil industry is significantly better than the same rating for BP (99). This means that EQNR’s stock grew significantly faster than BP’s over the last 12 months.
| BP | EQNR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 74% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while EQNR’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- BP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- EQNR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EQNR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- EQNR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BP (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +5.23% price change this week, while EQNR (@Integrated Oil) price change was +6.44% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +2.94%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.63%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
BP is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
EQNR is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+2.94% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
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BP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BP has been closely correlated with SHEL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BP jumps, then SHEL could also see price increases.
EQNR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EQNR has been closely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EQNR jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EQNR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EQNR | 100% | -0.69% | ||
| BP - EQNR | 77% Closely correlated | +0.04% | ||
| XOM - EQNR | 72% Closely correlated | +0.46% | ||
| CVE - EQNR | 72% Closely correlated | -0.69% | ||
| SU - EQNR | 72% Closely correlated | -0.15% | ||
| SHEL - EQNR | 71% Closely correlated | +0.84% | ||
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