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BP vs EQNR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BP p.l.c. (BP) vs. Equinor ASA (EQNR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Equinor ASA (EQNR) has delivered stronger year-to-date gains of 70.51% compared to BP p.l.c. (BP)'s 35.36%, reflecting superior momentum in recent market activity.
- Both stocks have benefited from elevated oil prices driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions, boosting upstream profitability.
- EQNR trades at a lower P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) of 20.47 versus BP's 37.73, suggesting relatively cheaper valuation.
- BP offers a higher dividend yield of 4.30% compared to EQNR's 3.93%.
- In the past 12 months, EQNR has outperformed BP with approximately 80% returns versus 65-72%.
- Recent weeks have seen modest pullbacks in both amid oil price volatility, with neutral technical sentiment.
Introduction
BP p.l.c. (BP) and Equinor ASA (EQNR) are prominent integrated energy companies navigating volatile oil markets and the energy transition. Both derive significant revenue from upstream oil and gas production while investing in renewables. This comparison is relevant for energy sector investors and traders seeking relative performance insights amid geopolitical-driven oil price swings and shifting market sentiment. By examining recent momentum, valuations, and sector exposures, readers can assess positioning in the current environment.
BP Overview and Recent Performance
BP p.l.c. (BP), a UK-based supermajor, operates across upstream exploration, downstream refining, and growing renewables. In recent market activity, BP shares traded around $46.41, near the upper end of their 52-week range of $27.99-$48.27, with a market cap of approximately $119.5 billion. Elevated oil prices above $112 per barrel, fueled by Middle East tensions, supported strong first-quarter profits and exceeded expectations, enhancing shareholder returns over 72% in the past year. However, sentiment has been tempered by reports of potential North Sea exit considerations and broader energy sector pullbacks, contributing to a roughly 2% decline in recent sessions. Year-to-date gains stand at 35%, with a beta of -0.22 indicating lower volatility relative to the market.
EQNR Overview and Recent Performance
Equinor ASA (EQNR), Norway's state-controlled energy firm, focuses on offshore oil and gas production alongside offshore wind and low-carbon solutions. Shares recently hovered near $39.71, within a 52-week range of $22.26-$43.46, supported by a $99 billion market cap. High oil prices from geopolitical volatility have bolstered trading results and upstream output, driving year-to-date performance to 70.51% and past-year gains around 80%. Recent weeks reflect a modest pullback of about 3%, aligning with neutral technical indicators and sector trends. A beta of -0.67 underscores reduced market sensitivity, while projects like Bay du Nord FEED signal long-term growth.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BP p.l.c. (BP) and Equinor ASA (EQNR) share integrated models blending fossil fuels with renewables, but EQNR emphasizes Norway's offshore expertise and state backing for stability, while BP offers broader global downstream exposure. Growth drivers diverge: EQNR leverages superior recent momentum and oil trading windfalls, contrasting BP's North Sea challenges. Risk factors include oil price volatility for both, though EQNR's lower beta signals less sensitivity. Sector-wise, both track energy trends, but EQNR shows stronger renewables positioning. Market sentiment favors EQNR's valuation edge, with analysts projecting moderate upside for each amid balanced trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward Equinor ASA (EQNR) over BP p.l.c. (BP), based on consistent outperformance in YTD returns, lower P/E valuation, and resilient trend positioning amid oil volatility. Factors like superior 12-month gains and dividend appeal add probabilistic edge, though both remain tied to energy catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BP is a Hold and EQNR is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileEQNR’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- BP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- EQNR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EQNR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- EQNR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
BP (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -4.35% price change this week, while EQNR (@Integrated Oil) price change was -4.06% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +0.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.22%, and the average quarterly price growth was +22.56%.
Reported Earning Dates
BP is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
EQNR is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+0.08% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| BP | EQNR | BP / EQNR | |
| Capitalization | 102B | 81.8B | 125% |
| EBITDA | 35B | 39.6B | 88% |
| Gain YTD | 17.353 | 42.401 | 41% |
| P/E Ratio | 32.18 | 14.87 | 216% |
| Revenue | 195B | 104B | 188% |
| Total Cash | 35.8B | 20.1B | 178% |
| Total Debt | 74.2B | 31.9B | 233% |
BP | EQNR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 51 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 25 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 31 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 84 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 13 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BP's Valuation (25) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (25). This means that BP’s stock grew similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
BP's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (31). This means that BP’s stock grew similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's SMR Rating (64) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (84). This means that EQNR’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
BP's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as EQNR (60). This means that BP’s stock grew similarly to EQNR’s over the last 12 months.
EQNR's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Integrated Oil industry is significantly better than the same rating for BP (99). This means that EQNR’s stock grew significantly faster than BP’s over the last 12 months.
| BP | EQNR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 59% | 21 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 51% | 6 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 47% |
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BP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BP has been closely correlated with SHEL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BP jumps, then SHEL could also see price increases.
EQNR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EQNR has been closely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EQNR jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EQNR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EQNR | 100% | +1.51% | ||
| BP - EQNR | 74% Closely correlated | +1.74% | ||
| SU - EQNR | 70% Closely correlated | +1.63% | ||
| XOM - EQNR | 70% Closely correlated | +0.48% | ||
| CVE - EQNR | 69% Closely correlated | +2.03% | ||
| SHEL - EQNR | 68% Closely correlated | +1.08% | ||
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