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BP vs TTE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BP plc (BP) vs. TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BP plc (BP) and TotalEnergies SE (TTE) are major integrated energy companies with significant upstream, downstream, and low-carbon operations, both benefiting from elevated oil and gas prices in recent market activity.
- BP plc (BP) has delivered strong year-to-date gains amid higher refining margins and strategic investments in Iraq, though net debt has risen due to working capital pressures.
- TotalEnergies SE (TTE) maintains a diversified portfolio with emphasis on integrated power and renewables, often showing more stable earnings profiles compared to pure-play peers in volatile energy environments.
- Both stocks exhibit sensitivity to commodity price swings, geopolitical developments, and transition-related investments, with recent performance reflecting broader sector momentum from energy price rallies.
- Dividend yields differ notably, with BP plc (BP) offering a higher payout ratio relative to earnings, while TotalEnergies SE (TTE) balances growth in low-carbon segments with shareholder returns.
- Market sentiment for both has been influenced by Q1 and Q2 2026 earnings trends, including output guidance and impairment considerations amid fluctuating benchmark prices.
Introduction
BP plc (BP) and TotalEnergies SE (TTE) represent two leading players in the global energy sector, each with integrated operations spanning exploration, production, refining, and emerging low-carbon initiatives. This comparison examines their relative performance, business models, and positioning within the current market environment characterized by variable commodity prices and energy transition dynamics. Institutional investors, portfolio managers, and traders seeking exposure to energy equities may find this analysis relevant for evaluating sector allocation, risk-adjusted returns, and competitive positioning between these two major oil and gas companies.
BP Overview and Recent Performance
BP plc (BP) operates as a global integrated energy company with core activities in oil and gas exploration, production, refining, and marketing, alongside growing investments in renewables and low-carbon solutions. In recent weeks, the stock has shown resilience amid higher oil prices, with shares trading near $41.90 following gains that contributed to year-to-date returns exceeding 20%. Key influences include robust refining margins and a trading statement highlighting expected second-quarter strength from energy price environments. Strategic developments, such as expanded partnerships in Iraq with ConocoPhillips, have supported sentiment, though net debt levels rose to approximately $25-27 billion due to working capital builds. Broader market activity reflects the company's exposure to benchmark crude movements and upstream output trends aligned with prior guidance.
TTE Overview and Recent Performance
TotalEnergies SE (TTE) is an integrated energy major with operations in upstream oil and gas, downstream refining and chemicals, and a notable focus on power generation and renewables. Recent market activity has seen the stock maintain competitive positioning, with performance tied to similar commodity tailwinds as peers. The company has emphasized earnings stability through its diversified model, including integrated power segments that provide some insulation from pure upstream volatility. Factors influencing recent sentiment include broader energy price rallies and ongoing portfolio adjustments toward lower-carbon assets. Like its counterpart, TotalEnergies SE (TTE) has navigated output guidance and margin environments, with investor attention on dividend sustainability and growth in non-traditional energy areas during the past several weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In terms of business models, BP plc (BP) maintains a traditional emphasis on upstream production with significant refining capacity, while TotalEnergies SE (TTE) differentiates through greater integration in power and renewables, potentially offering different growth trajectories amid energy transition pressures. Recent momentum has favored both amid oil price strength, though BP plc (BP) has highlighted specific catalysts like regional investments and margin improvements, contrasting with TotalEnergies SE (TTE)’s focus on portfolio diversification. Risk factors include shared exposure to geopolitical tensions and commodity fluctuations, with BP plc (BP) showing higher debt sensitivity in recent quarters and TotalEnergies SE (TTE) managing more balanced earnings volatility. Sector exposure remains comparable within energy, yet market sentiment reflects subtle differences in analyst views on valuation multiples and dividend coverage, where BP plc (BP)’s higher yield trades against TotalEnergies SE (TTE)’s potentially more sustainable payout profile.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in recent market activity, relative stability in earnings drivers, and positioning within diversified segments, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a probabilistic edge to TotalEnergies SE (TTE) for its balanced approach to traditional and emerging energy areas. However, BP plc (BP) demonstrates notable momentum from refining and regional catalysts, suggesting either could perform competitively depending on sustained commodity levels and execution on transition strategies. This assessment remains data-driven and subject to ongoing market shifts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BP is a Hold and TTE is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTTE’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TTE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BP’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TTE’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BP’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TTE’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BP (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +3.19% price change this week, while TTE (@Integrated Oil) price change was +1.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +2.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.14%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.63%.
Reported Earning Dates
BP is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
TTE is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+2.41% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| BP | TTE | BP / TTE | |
| Capitalization | 115B | 196B | 59% |
| EBITDA | 35B | 46.6B | 75% |
| Gain YTD | 33.402 | 34.301 | 97% |
| P/E Ratio | 36.59 | 11.00 | 333% |
| Revenue | 195B | 196B | 99% |
| Total Cash | 35.8B | 31.7B | 113% |
| Total Debt | 74.2B | 62.7B | 118% |
BP | TTE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 44 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 55 Fair valued | 18 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 11 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 84 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 48 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TTE's Valuation (18) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BP (55). This means that TTE’s stock grew somewhat faster than BP’s over the last 12 months.
TTE's Profit vs Risk Rating (11) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (19). This means that TTE’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
TTE's SMR Rating (59) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (84). This means that TTE’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
BP's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as TTE (40). This means that BP’s stock grew similarly to TTE’s over the last 12 months.
TTE's P/E Growth Rating (48) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BP (99). This means that TTE’s stock grew somewhat faster than BP’s over the last 12 months.
| BP | TTE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 41% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 52% | 18 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 44% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 54% |
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TTE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TTE has been loosely correlated with E. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TTE jumps, then E could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TTE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTE | 100% | +0.95% | ||
| E - TTE | 65% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| SHEL - TTE | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.62% | ||
| CRGY - TTE | 60% Loosely correlated | +2.69% | ||
| BP - TTE | 57% Loosely correlated | +2.26% | ||
| EQNR - TTE | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.91% | ||
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