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BP vs SHEL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BP p.l.c. (BP) vs. Shell plc (SHEL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both BP and SHEL have posted strong year-to-date gains exceeding 35% amid favorable energy sector conditions in recent market activity.
- BP has outperformed SHEL on a year-to-date basis with a return of approximately 37.7% compared to 35.3% for SHEL.
- SHEL trades at a lower trailing price-to-earnings ratio of about 10.6 versus roughly 22.1 for BP, indicating differing valuation profiles.
- SHEL maintains a larger market capitalization of approximately $277 billion compared to BP’s roughly $119 billion.
- Both companies operate as integrated oil and gas majors with global exposure to upstream production, refining, and downstream activities.
- Recent performance for both stocks reflects broader sector momentum driven by energy prices and operational updates in recent weeks.
Introduction
Integrated energy companies BP and SHEL represent two of the largest publicly traded players in the global oil and gas sector. This comparison examines their relative performance, business models, and market positioning to assist investors and traders evaluating exposure to energy equities. The analysis focuses on observable metrics such as recent returns, valuation multiples, and sector dynamics, providing context for those seeking to understand how these stocks have behaved amid evolving commodity markets and corporate strategies.
BP Overview and Recent Performance
BP p.l.c. is an international integrated energy company engaged in exploration, production, refining, and marketing of oil and gas, along with lower-carbon initiatives. In recent market activity, the stock has advanced to close near $46.10, delivering a year-to-date return of approximately 37.7% and a trailing twelve-month gain of about 40.6%. Performance in recent weeks has been supported by operational efficiency gains and sector tailwinds, with the share price trading within a 52-week range of $32.72 to $48.27. Market sentiment has reflected steady investor interest in the company’s upstream and refining segments.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc is a global integrated energy and petrochemicals company involved in the exploration, production, refining, and marketing of oil, natural gas, and related products. The stock has recently closed near $96.77, posting a year-to-date return of approximately 35.3% and a trailing twelve-month gain of about 39.4%. In recent market activity, the shares have benefited from portfolio management actions and broader energy market conditions, trading within a 52-week range of $68.62 to $96.99. Sentiment has remained constructive amid ongoing operational updates and cash return initiatives.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BP and SHEL share similar integrated business models spanning upstream exploration and production, downstream refining and marketing, and exposure to energy transition efforts. BP has delivered modestly higher year-to-date momentum, while SHEL offers a larger scale with a market capitalization nearly double that of BP. Valuation contrasts are notable: SHEL trades at a lower trailing price-to-earnings multiple, potentially appealing to value-oriented participants, whereas BP carries a higher multiple alongside a comparatively elevated dividend yield. Risk factors include commodity price volatility for both, with SHEL exhibiting a somewhat lower debt-to-equity profile in available data. Market sentiment has favored both amid sector strength, though relative positioning depends on investor preferences for growth momentum versus valuation support.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative returns, and positioning within the energy sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to BP due to its stronger year-to-date performance and recent momentum signals. However, SHEL’s lower valuation multiple and larger scale could support more balanced consideration depending on specific strategy parameters and timeframe preferences. This assessment reflects data-driven observations rather than definitive outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BP is a StrongBuy and SHEL is a StrongBuy.
BP | SHEL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 86 | 45 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 19 Undervalued | 37 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 4 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 74 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 83 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BP's Valuation (19) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (37) in the null industry. This means that BP’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the null industry is in the same range as BP (16) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's SMR Rating (58) in the null industry is in the same range as BP (74) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Price Growth Rating (40) in the null industry is in the same range as BP (42) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's P/E Growth Rating (83) in the null industry is in the same range as BP (99) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
| BP | SHEL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 48% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 44% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 47% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 7 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 55% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while SHEL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SHEL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHEL’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SHEL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BP (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -0.96% price change this week, while SHEL (@Integrated Oil) price change was +1.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -2.76%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.57%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.82%.
Reported Earning Dates
BP is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-2.76% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
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