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BP vs NFG
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BP is a Buy and NFG is a Buy.
BP in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026
BP moved above its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 26 of 38 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BP as a result. In 68 of 101 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BP just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where BP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Following a +1.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BP advanced for three days, in 213 of 355 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 189 of 282 cases where BP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
BP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 26, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 53 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.197) is normal, around the industry mean (1.689). BP has a moderately high P/E Ratio (23.590) as compared to the industry average of (11.356). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.058) is also within normal values, averaging (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.041) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.548) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
NFG's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for NFG moved out of oversold territory on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 15 of the 21 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NFG as a result. In 50 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NFG just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where NFG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
NFG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NFG advanced for three days, in 184 of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 34 of 74 cases where NFG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.
The 10-day moving average for NFG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 44%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NFG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 43%.
NFG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for NFG entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 26, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 55 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.921) is normal, around the industry mean (1.689). P/E Ratio (10.939) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.356). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.460) is also within normal values, averaging (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.028) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.993) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. NFG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
BP | NFG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 27 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 53 Fair valued | 55 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 29 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 74 | 48 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 68 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 94 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BP's Valuation (53) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as NFG (55). This means that BP’s stock grew similarly to NFG’s over the last 12 months.
BP's Profit vs Risk Rating (11) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as NFG (29). This means that BP’s stock grew similarly to NFG’s over the last 12 months.
NFG's SMR Rating (48) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (74). This means that NFG’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
BP's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as NFG (68). This means that BP’s stock grew similarly to NFG’s over the last 12 months.
NFG's P/E Growth Rating (94) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (96). This means that NFG’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
| BP | NFG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 53% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 10 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 8 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 39% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while NFG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NFG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NFG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NFG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BP (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +2.13% price change this week, while NFG (@Integrated Oil) price change was +3.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -0.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.39%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.38%.
Reported Earning Dates
BP is expected to report earnings on Oct 30, 2026.
NFG is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-0.21% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
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BP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BP has been closely correlated with SHEL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BP jumps, then SHEL could also see price increases.