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BTBT vs MARA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Bit Digital (BTBT) vs. MARA Holdings (MARA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on relative diversification, balance-sheet stability, and trend consistency, Tickeron's AI currently favors BTBT over MARA in this stock comparison.
- BTBT (Bit Digital) has pivoted toward an Ethereum (ETH) treasury and staking model while retaining AI infrastructure exposure through its majority stake in WhiteFiber.
- MARA (MARA Holdings) remains one of the largest public Bitcoin (BTC) miners and holders, now pivoting toward AI data centers through a Starwood Capital joint venture.
- MARA carries a much larger Bitcoin treasury and balance sheet, but its relative performance has been pressured by rising per-coin mining costs and heavy digital-asset markdowns.
- BTBT's yield-generating staking and cloud/colocation revenue offer a more diversified cash-flow profile than a concentrated mining model.
- For more on each name, explore BTBT Major News, BTBT Today's Price Move, MARA Major News, and MARA Today's Price Move.
- To see how AI-powered systems are positioning across the market, visit the curated Trending AI Robots page.
Introduction
Both BTBT and MARA are publicly traded digital-asset companies that have historically been grouped together as "crypto mining" stocks, yet they are now charting distinctly different strategic paths. This stock comparison is relevant for traders and investors seeking leveraged exposure to digital assets, as well as those evaluating how energy and compute infrastructure are reshaping the sector. Because both names carry elevated volatility and are closely tied to cryptocurrency price trends, understanding their relative performance, business models, and market positioning can help distinguish near-term momentum from longer-term structural shifts.
BTBT Overview and Recent Performance
BTBT (Bit Digital) has repositioned itself from a Bitcoin miner into what management calls a "Strategic Asset Company," concentrating capital in two areas: Ethereum as programmable financial infrastructure and AI compute through its majority ownership of WhiteFiber. Recent quarters have shown Ethereum staking revenue growing sharply as the company scaled its ETH holdings, while Bitcoin mining revenue has declined as legacy capacity is deliberately wound down. Cloud and colocation services have been the fastest-growing revenue lines, supported by WhiteFiber's consolidation following its 2025 initial public offering (IPO). Sentiment has been influenced by the broader pullback in cryptocurrency prices, but analyst coverage has remained broadly constructive, with several firms citing the yield from staking and the value of the WhiteFiber stake relative to the company's market capitalization.
MARA Overview and Recent Performance
MARA (MARA Holdings, formerly Marathon Digital Holdings) operates one of the largest Bitcoin mining fleets in the industry and holds one of the largest corporate Bitcoin treasuries. Recent market activity has been marked by a strategic pivot toward becoming an integrated energy and digital infrastructure company. The company announced a joint venture with Starwood Capital's digital infrastructure arm to develop AI and high-performance computing (HPC) data centers, targeting roughly 1 gigawatt of near-term IT capacity with a pathway beyond 2.5 gigawatts. Operationally, energized hash rate (a measure of computing power devoted to mining) has grown, but production has been pressured by rising network difficulty and higher per-Bitcoin energy costs. Financial results have swung significantly due to fair-value accounting of digital assets, reflecting the stock's sensitivity to Bitcoin's price.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively monitor and trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance statistics, and set of covered securities. Because no single approach fits every market regime, only the most suitable bots for current conditions are featured in the curated Trending AI Robots section. This selection process highlights bots whose recent performance and consistency align with prevailing market dynamics, giving traders a focused starting point rather than an overwhelming list. Whether you follow BTBT, MARA, or the broader market, reviewing the Trending AI Robots page can provide additional context on how AI-driven systems are currently positioning.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between the two companies is their choice of primary digital asset and their stage of transformation. BTBT has moved away from Bitcoin toward an Ethereum treasury that generates staking yield, layered with AI infrastructure exposure through WhiteFiber. This creates a more diversified revenue mix spanning staking, cloud, and colocation services. MARA, by contrast, remains deeply tied to Bitcoin, holding a much larger treasury that provides significant upside leverage if Bitcoin appreciates, but also amplifies downside during drawdowns. MARA's scale and energy assets are substantial, and its AI data-center ambitions are meaningful, yet its cost structure, substantial debt load, and fair-value earnings volatility represent additional risk factors. From a market-positioning standpoint, BTBT offers a smaller but more balanced profile, while MARA offers greater scale and Bitcoin beta (sensitivity to Bitcoin's price movements) with correspondingly higher execution and concentration risk.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing observable factors such as trend consistency, diversification, catalyst clarity, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI currently favors BTBT over MARA in this stock comparison. BTBT's transition toward a yield-generating Ethereum treasury and a consolidated AI infrastructure stake presents a comparatively more stable, less single-asset-dependent profile, while its losses and balance-sheet leverage are smaller in relative terms. MARA's larger Bitcoin treasury and energy footprint offer stronger upside leverage in a sustained crypto rally, but its recent earnings volatility, rising mining costs, and heavier debt introduce greater uncertainty. This is a probabilistic assessment of relative positioning rather than a forecast, and the outcome may shift as market conditions evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BTBT is a StrongBuy and MARA is a Hold.
BTBT in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026
The 10-day moving average for BTBT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BTBT as a result. In 86 of 97 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BTBT turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 89%.
BTBT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BTBT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
The Aroon Indicator for BTBT entered a downward trend on November 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for BTBT's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 59 of 68 cases where BTBT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
Following a +15.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BTBT advanced for three days, in 217 of 251 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
BTBT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 64 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.659) is normal, around the industry mean (3.008). P/E Ratio (-0.840) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.695). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (9.358) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.852) is also within normal values, averaging (16.899).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. BTBT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BTBT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
Momentum Indicator for MARA turns negative, indicating new downward trend
MARA saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 01, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 79 of the 87 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
MARA moved below its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MARA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The 50-day moving average for MARA moved below the 200-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MARA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
The Aroon Indicator for MARA entered a downward trend on November 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for MARA's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 51 of 59 cases where MARA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MARA just turned positive on November 03, 2026. Looking at past instances where MARA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
Following a +7.46% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MARA advanced for three days, in 234 of 267 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
MARA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MARA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.367) is normal, around the industry mean (3.008). P/E Ratio (-0.626) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.695). MARA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.140) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (9.358) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.097) is also within normal values, averaging (16.899).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MARA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
BTBT | MARA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 51 | 54 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 64 Fair valued | 95 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 99 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 91 | 88 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 98 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BTBT's Valuation (64) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as MARA (95) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that BTBT’s stock grew similarly to MARA’s over the last 12 months.
BTBT's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as MARA (100) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that BTBT’s stock grew similarly to MARA’s over the last 12 months.
BTBT's SMR Rating (98) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as MARA (99) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that BTBT’s stock grew similarly to MARA’s over the last 12 months.
MARA's Price Growth Rating (88) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as BTBT (91) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry. This means that MARA’s stock grew similarly to BTBT’s over the last 12 months.
MARA's P/E Growth Rating (98) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as BTBT (98) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry. This means that MARA’s stock grew similarly to BTBT’s over the last 12 months.
| BTBT | MARA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 89% | 5 days ago 90% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 87% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 88% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 86% | 10 days ago 88% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 89% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BTBT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while MARA’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- BTBT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MARA’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BTBT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MARA’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BTBT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- MARA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
BTBT (@Investment Banks/Brokers) experienced а -24.35% price change this week, while MARA (@Investment Banks/Brokers) price change was -18.00% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -5.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -22.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was -27.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
BTBT is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
MARA is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-5.38% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
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BTBT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BTBT has been closely correlated with CLSK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BTBT jumps, then CLSK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BTBT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTBT | 100% | -15.38% | ||
| CLSK - BTBT | 80% Closely correlated | -16.47% | ||
| MARA - BTBT | 78% Closely correlated | -14.48% | ||
| GLXY - BTBT | 77% Closely correlated | -7.09% | ||
| RIOT - BTBT | 76% Closely correlated | -3.97% | ||
| HIVE - BTBT | 75% Closely correlated | -10.44% | ||
More | ||||
MARA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MARA has been closely correlated with CLSK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MARA jumps, then CLSK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MARA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MARA | 100% | -14.48% | ||
| CLSK - MARA | 85% Closely correlated | -16.47% | ||
| RIOT - MARA | 78% Closely correlated | -3.97% | ||
| BTBT - MARA | 77% Closely correlated | -15.38% | ||
| GLXY - MARA | 74% Closely correlated | -7.09% | ||
| KEEL - MARA | 71% Closely correlated | -21.43% | ||
More | ||||
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