MARA Holdings (MARA) Stock: Price, Chart & AI Analysis
MARA Holdings Inc leverages digital asset computing to support the energy transformation... Show more
Why MARA Holdings (MARA) Stock Is Down -37% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- MARA Holdings shares fell roughly 37% over the trailing 30 days, sliding from about $11.23 to near $7, as bitcoin-linked equities sold off sharply.
- The decline closely tracked a slide in bitcoin toward the $80,000 level, with MARA's sizable bitcoin holdings amplifying the downside.
- Reports that MARA sold roughly $81 million of bitcoin added to investor concerns about liquidity and asset-management strategy.
- A weak June-quarter result—revenue down 26.7% and a net loss of about $610 million—continued to pressure sentiment.
- Rising short interest and cautious analyst commentary, including a lowered price target, reinforced the bearish tone.
- For additional detail on this ticker's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast, explore Tickeron's dedicated pages.
- Explore Trending AI Robots to see how AI-driven trading strategies are positioned across the market.
MARA Holdings (MARA) Company Overview and Market Position
MARA Holdings, Inc. is an energy and digital infrastructure company that operates across North America, the Middle East, Europe, and Latin America. The company, formerly known as Marathon Digital Holdings, uses bitcoin mining and artificial intelligence compute to monetize excess energy and underutilized power, while also optimizing power management and supporting AI inference applications.
Although bitcoin mining remains its core revenue engine, MARA has increasingly positioned itself around a broader "energy first" strategy, acquiring data-center and power assets and pursuing AI-focused infrastructure projects. Investors follow the stock both as a leveraged proxy for bitcoin prices and as a speculative play on the company's expansion into high-performance computing.
MARA Holdings (MARA) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, MARA shares declined approximately 37%, falling from a closing level near $11.23 to around $7. The move was broad-based rather than event-driven in a single session, with steady selling pressure through most of October as bitcoin retreated and crypto-linked equities underperformed the broader market.
The quarterly picture is similarly weak. From the start of the period, when the stock traded near $11.75, MARA has lost roughly 40% of its value. The downtrend reflects both a weakening bitcoin price and persistent concerns about the company's heavy capital needs, operating losses, and bitcoin-backed borrowings, which have made the shares more sensitive to drawdowns than the wider S&P 500.
What Drove MARA Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The dominant driver was the decline in bitcoin, which fell toward the $80,000 level during October. MARA's management has stated that every $10,000 change in the price of bitcoin translates to a non-cash gain or loss of roughly $350 million, making the stock highly leveraged to cryptocurrency movements. Reports that MARA sold about $81 million of bitcoin added to concerns about its liquidity and asset-management approach.
Fundamental pressures compounded the selling. In its June-quarter report, MARA posted revenue of $175 million, down 26.7% year over year, and a net loss of approximately $610 million, including about $343 million in non-cash losses tied to the lower marked value of its digital assets. Over the trailing twelve months, the company's operating margin was deeply negative, and it has borrowed against its bitcoin, with a substantial share of its holdings pledged as collateral.
Sector sentiment also deteriorated as investors grew more cautious about bitcoin miners pivoting into AI infrastructure. Rising short interest and analyst actions—including a lowered price target and an Underweight rating from a major bank—further reinforced the negative momentum across the group.
What Drove MARA Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The multi-month decline reflects a broader reassessment of bitcoin miners that have expanded aggressively into AI and data-center infrastructure. MARA's pivot toward energy and digital infrastructure, including its pending acquisition of power assets such as Long Ridge, has required significant capital and added leverage to the balance sheet while revenue from mining remained tied to a falling bitcoin price.
Peer miners such as RIOT and IREN faced similar headwinds as AI-bubble concerns grew and short sellers increased their positions. For MARA, the combination of weaker crypto prices, heavy capital requirements, and uncertainty around when its power and AI businesses will generate meaningful, bitcoin-independent revenue has kept the stock under sustained pressure through the quarter.
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MARA Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Investors will be watching MARA's upcoming quarterly report for signs that revenue is stabilizing against a lower bitcoin price and for any update on whether the Long Ridge acquisition has closed. Bitcoin's price path remains the single largest swing factor given the company's exposure to digital-asset mark-to-market swings and its collateralized borrowings.
Other key factors include progress on signing power and AI-infrastructure leases, the pace of capital spending, and whether management can begin generating revenue that is not directly tied to bitcoin. Macro conditions—including interest rates and broader risk appetite for speculative assets—will also influence sentiment across the crypto-mining sector. These considerations are informational and should not be interpreted as investment recommendations.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Momentum Indicator for MARA turns negative, indicating new downward trend
MARA saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 01, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 79 of the 87 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
MARA moved below its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MARA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The 50-day moving average for MARA moved below the 200-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MARA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
The Aroon Indicator for MARA entered a downward trend on November 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for MARA's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 51 of 59 cases where MARA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MARA just turned positive on November 03, 2026. Looking at past instances where MARA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
Following a +7.46% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MARA advanced for three days, in 234 of 267 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
MARA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MARA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.367) is normal, around the industry mean (3.008). P/E Ratio (-0.626) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.695). MARA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.140) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (9.358) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.097) is also within normal values, averaging (16.899).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MARA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
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