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BTI vs PM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? British American Tobacco (BTI) vs. Philip Morris International (PM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BTI boasts a higher dividend yield of 5.75% compared to PM's 3.58%, attracting income-focused investors.
- BTI trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.33 versus PM's 23.09, suggesting relative value.
- Year-to-date (YTD), BTI has returned 4.09% compared to PM's 3.28%, with BTI showing stronger one-year gains of nearly 45%.
- Recent market activity reveals PM facing headwinds from regulatory scrutiny on its Zyn pouches, leading to a lowered full-year earnings outlook.
- Both stocks exhibit defensive qualities in the tobacco sector, but BTI benefits from pricing power and positive analyst sentiment.
- BTI's lower beta of 0.12 indicates greater stability versus PM's 0.45 (beta measures volatility relative to the market).
Introduction
This BTI vs. PM stock comparison examines two leading tobacco giants navigating regulatory pressures and a shift toward reduced-risk products. Both offer reliable dividends and defensive positioning amid market volatility, making them appealing for income-oriented investors and those seeking value in consumer staples. Recent performance highlights contrasts in momentum and sentiment, helping traders assess relative positioning in the current environment.
BTI Overview and Recent Performance
British American Tobacco p.l.c. (BTI) is a global tobacco leader with brands like Lucky Strike and Vuse, emphasizing combustibles alongside next-generation products. Trading around $58 per share with a market cap of $126 billion, BTI recently experienced mild cooling after strong gains, down slightly over the past month but up 4% YTD and nearly 45% over the past year. Sentiment remains buoyed by its robust 5.75% dividend yield, pricing power in key markets, and attractive valuation, as noted in recent analyst views positioning it favorably despite sector challenges.
PM Overview and Recent Performance
Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) focuses on international markets with IQOS heated tobacco and Zyn nicotine pouches, post its U.S. spin-off to Altria. At approximately $164 per share and a $256 billion market cap, PM has traded flat to slightly down over recent weeks, with YTD gains of 3.3% and minimal one-year appreciation. Q1 results showed smoke-free growth and pricing strength, but a lowered full-year EPS (earnings per share) forecast due to U.S. regulatory hurdles for Zyn has tempered sentiment, contributing to price pressure below key moving averages.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, BTI maintains broader combustibles exposure with growing vapor products, while PM aggressively pivots to smoke-free (over 40% of net revenue). Growth drivers favor PM's international expansion, yet recent Zyn setbacks contrast BTI's steady pricing leverage. Momentum tilts to BTI with superior YTD and annual returns, versus PM's consolidation. Risk factors like regulation loom equally, but BTI's lower beta offers stability. Sector exposure is similar in tobacco defensives, though PM shows higher profit margins (26.7%). Market sentiment leans positive for BTI's dividends amid PM's guidance trim.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward BTI based on consistent upward trends, superior relative performance, higher yield, and undervaluation metrics. While PM holds long-term smoke-free potential, near-term catalysts appear muted by regulatory noise, positioning BTI more favorably in probabilistic terms for stability and income.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BTI is a Buy and PM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BTI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePM’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- BTI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BTI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PM’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BTI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BTI (@Tobacco) experienced а -3.35% price change this week, while PM (@Tobacco) price change was +0.51% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was -0.93%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.58%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.50%.
Reported Earning Dates
BTI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
PM is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Tobacco (-0.93% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
| BTI | PM | BTI / PM | |
| Capitalization | 128B | 278B | 46% |
| EBITDA | 14.1B | 17.9B | 79% |
| Gain YTD | 7.009 | 12.146 | 58% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.74 | 25.10 | 51% |
| Revenue | 25.6B | 41.5B | 62% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 5.45B | - |
| Total Debt | N/A | 51.9B | - |
BTI | PM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 9 Undervalued | 20 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 13 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 3 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 94 | 64 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BTI's Valuation (9) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as PM (20). This means that BTI’s stock grew similarly to PM’s over the last 12 months.
BTI's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as PM (13). This means that BTI’s stock grew similarly to PM’s over the last 12 months.
PM's SMR Rating (3) in the Tobacco industry is significantly better than the same rating for BTI (98). This means that PM’s stock grew significantly faster than BTI’s over the last 12 months.
PM's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as BTI (47). This means that PM’s stock grew similarly to BTI’s over the last 12 months.
PM's P/E Growth Rating (64) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as BTI (94). This means that PM’s stock grew similarly to BTI’s over the last 12 months.
| BTI | PM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 48% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 48% | 4 days ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 42% | 4 days ago 53% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 43% | 4 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 26 days ago 61% | 6 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 45% | 8 days ago 48% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 53% |
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