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BX vs TPG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Blackstone Inc. (BX) vs. TPG Inc. (TPG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Blackstone (BX) manages over $1.3 trillion in assets under management (AUM), far exceeding TPG's approximately $260 billion, providing greater scale and diversification.
- TPG (TPG) has outperformed with 29% year-to-date (YTD) gains compared to BX's 15%, driven by recent rallies.
- BX offers a more reasonable price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 33x versus TPG's elevated 99x, suggesting better relative valuation.
- Dividend yields are competitive, with TPG at 4.61% and BX at 3.67%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Recent weeks show TPG with stronger momentum, including a 17% one-month rally, while BX eyes recovery toward $140.
- Both face sector risks like private credit pressures, but BX's size offers more stability.
Introduction
Blackstone (BX) and TPG (TPG) are prominent players in the alternative asset management industry, specializing in private equity, credit, and real assets. This comparison is relevant for investors and traders seeking exposure to the private markets boom amid shifting interest rates and economic uncertainty. With both firms reporting robust AUM growth and navigating market volatility, understanding their relative performance, valuations, and catalysts helps in evaluating sector positioning and potential trade-offs in growth versus stability. Recent market activity highlights momentum differences, making this head-to-head analysis timely for portfolio decisions.
BX Overview and Recent Performance
Blackstone (BX), the world's largest alternative asset manager, oversees more than $1.3 trillion in AUM across private equity, real estate, credit, and hedge funds. In recent market activity, BX shares have climbed about 15% YTD, trading around $129 with a market cap exceeding $157 billion. Sentiment has improved on strong inflows, strategic realizations estimated at over $680 million in Q1, and an Oppenheimer upgrade to Outperform with a $154 target, pushing shares toward $140 amid recovery from earlier pullbacks. Private credit headwinds tempered gains, but diversified revenue streams and upcoming Q1 earnings on April 23 support positive positioning.
TPG Overview and Recent Performance
TPG (TPG) is a global alternative asset firm with around $260 billion in AUM, focusing on private equity, impact investing, and credit strategies. Shares have surged 29% YTD to about $45, with a $17 billion market cap, reflecting strong momentum including a 17% one-month rally and recent soars alongside peers like Invesco. Key drivers include a $100 million investment in student mobility firm Zum and solid Q4 revenue growth of 34% year-over-year, though a post-record-year 40% drawdown raised volatility concerns. Analyst targets average $57, with Q1 results due May 1 potentially influencing near-term sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both BX and TPG operate in alternative assets, but Blackstone's massive scale enables broader diversification across real estate and credit, contrasting TPG's agile focus on high-growth private equity and impact deals. Growth drivers differ: BX benefits from perpetual capital vehicles and realizations, while TPG leverages investments like Zum for upside. Recent momentum favors TPG with superior YTD and weekly gains (+17% vs. BX's +12%), yet BX shows better long-term stability. Risk factors include interest rate sensitivity and private credit pressures, amplified for smaller TPG amid higher volatility. Sector exposure overlaps in private markets, but BX's dominance fosters stronger market sentiment. Valuation trade-offs pit BX's attractive P/E against TPG's premium pricing, balancing growth potential with proven resilience.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward BX due to its superior scale, trend consistency in AUM growth, and relative stability amid sector headwinds. While TPG exhibits stronger short-term momentum, BX's lower valuation, dividend reliability, and catalysts like Q1 realizations position it probabilistically better for sustained outperformance in the current environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BX is a Buy and TPG is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BX’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTPG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TPG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BX’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TPG’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TPG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
BX (@Investment Managers) experienced а +7.44% price change this week, while TPG (@Investment Managers) price change was +2.78% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was -1.24%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.58%.
Reported Earning Dates
BX is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
TPG is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (-1.24% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
| BX | TPG | BX / TPG | |
| Capitalization | 145B | 6.7B | 2,164% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | -21.521 | -32.856 | 66% |
| P/E Ratio | 30.38 | 181.57 | 17% |
| Revenue | 12.6B | 3.04B | 414% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 14.2B | 2.99B | 476% |
BX | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 15 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 67 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 28 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 32 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| BX | TPG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 9 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 76% |
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BX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BX has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BX jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.