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BX vs TPG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Blackstone (BX) vs. TPG Inc. (TPG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both BX and TPG operate as leading alternative asset managers, with BX maintaining significantly larger assets under management (AUM).
- TPG has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) total returns of approximately 33% compared to roughly 21% for BX through early July 2026.
- Recent market activity shows BX trading near the lower end of its 52-week range amid broader sector volatility, while TPG has shown resilience with earnings beats.
- BX benefits from scale in private equity, real estate, and credit, offering diversified exposure, whereas TPG focuses on growth-oriented platforms with momentum in capital formation.
- Sector sentiment for alternative asset managers remains influenced by interest rate expectations and deal activity in recent weeks.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between BX's stability and TPG's higher growth trajectory in the current environment.
Introduction
Blackstone Inc. (BX) and TPG Inc. (TPG) represent two prominent players in the alternative asset management sector, making them relevant for investors seeking exposure to private markets, credit, and real estate strategies. This comparison examines their business models, recent stock performance, and market positioning to assist traders and portfolio managers evaluating relative value within the financial services industry. Both stocks appeal to those monitoring macroeconomic factors such as interest rates and deal flow, as well as institutional allocators focused on long-term capital appreciation through asset management franchises.
BX Overview and Recent Performance
Blackstone Inc. (BX) is the world's largest alternative asset manager, overseeing substantial assets under management (AUM) across private equity, real estate, credit, and infrastructure. In recent market activity, BX shares closed near $118.62 as of July 8, 2026, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) total return of approximately 21.43%. Performance has been shaped by ongoing capital deployment and realizations, with the stock trading closer to the lower end of its 52-week range amid sector-wide adjustments. Recent developments include a declared dividend and anticipation of upcoming quarterly results scheduled for late July, contributing to measured sentiment among investors focused on fee-related earnings and deployment metrics.
TPG Overview and Recent Performance
TPG Inc. (TPG) is a global alternative asset management firm with a diversified platform spanning private equity, growth equity, real estate, and credit. The stock has shown stronger momentum in recent weeks, posting a year-to-date (YTD) total return near 33% through early July 2026 and closing around the $41–42 level. Recent performance reflects positive capital formation trends and a first-quarter earnings beat reported in May, which exceeded analyst estimates. Market activity has been supported by franchise expansion and realizations, positioning TPG with notable resilience relative to broader financial sector movements during the period.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BX and TPG share core exposure to alternative assets but differ in scale and emphasis. BX leverages its position as a larger manager for broader diversification across asset classes, supporting more stable fee income, while TPG emphasizes growth platforms that have driven higher recent capital inflows and realizations. In terms of recent momentum, TPG has outperformed on a year-to-date basis, though BX offers greater liquidity and analyst coverage. Risk factors include sensitivity to interest rate shifts and private market valuations for both, with BX carrying larger AUM exposure potentially amplifying cyclical impacts. Market sentiment remains constructive on deal activity for the sector overall, creating contrasting opportunities based on investor preference for scale versus growth velocity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative positioning within the alternative asset sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic edge to TPG due to stronger year-to-date performance and positive capital formation signals. BX remains competitive through its scale and diversified platform, supporting potential stability in varied market conditions. This assessment reflects data-driven patterns rather than definitive forecasts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BX is a StrongBuy and TPG is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BX’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTPG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TPG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BX’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TPG’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TPG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
BX (@Investment Managers) experienced а +0.25% price change this week, while TPG (@Investment Managers) price change was +2.99% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was -0.43%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.28%.
Reported Earning Dates
BX is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
TPG is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (-0.43% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
| BX | TPG | BX / TPG | |
| Capitalization | 150B | 6.85B | 2,191% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | -18.467 | -31.392 | 59% |
| P/E Ratio | 31.56 | 185.52 | 17% |
| Revenue | 12.6B | 3.04B | 414% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 14.2B | 2.99B | 476% |
BX | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 71 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 29 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 86 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| BX | TPG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 79% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 69% | 19 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 81% |
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BX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BX has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BX jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.