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CARG vs GOOGL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? CarGurus (CARG) vs. Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CARG has shown solid recent momentum with approximately 11-15% gains over the past month, driven by anticipation for upcoming earnings and strength in the used car marketplace.
- GOOGL delivered exceptional Q1 2026 results, with revenues up 22% year-over-year to $109.9 billion and Google Cloud surging 63% to over $20 billion, fueling a sharp rally.
- Analysts rate GOOGL a Moderate Buy with an average price target around $406-$423, implying further upside, while CARG holds a Hold consensus near $36-$38.
- GOOGL's AI and cloud momentum provides superior growth drivers compared to CARG's cyclical auto sector exposure.
- Year-to-date, GOOGL leads with over 24% returns versus CARG's slight decline, highlighting divergent market positioning.
- Tickeron's AI robots favor high-momentum tech plays like those in GOOGL's ecosystem amid current volatility.
Introduction
This stock comparison between CARG (CarGurus, Inc.) and GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.) evaluates their relative performance, business models, and market dynamics in the current environment. CarGurus operates as a leading online automotive marketplace, while Alphabet dominates in search, advertising, cloud computing, and AI. Traders seeking cyclical recovery plays may eye CARG, whereas growth-oriented investors favor GOOGL's tech ecosystem. This analysis draws on recent financial data, sector trends, and analyst insights to inform stock comparison decisions amid volatility in consumer discretionary and technology sectors.
CARG Overview and Recent Performance
CarGurus, Inc. (CARG) runs a multinational online automotive platform connecting buyers and sellers of new and used vehicles, primarily through its U.S. Marketplace and Digital Wholesale segments. The company boasts over 41 million monthly unique users and serves thousands of dealers with tools like AI-powered pricing and digital retailing.
In recent market activity, CARG stock has gained about 11-15% over the past month, approaching its 52-week high near $39.42 from a low of $25.41, with year-to-date returns slightly negative but one-year gains around 32-35%. Sentiment reflects optimism ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on May 7, following Q4 2025 beats on EPS ($0.63 vs. $0.58 expected) and revenue guidance for FY2026 growth of 10-13%. Broader used car market stabilization, institutional interest, and insider buying have supported performance, though the cyclical auto sector ties it to economic sensitivity.
GOOGL Overview and Recent Performance
Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) is a technology powerhouse encompassing Google Search, YouTube, Android, Google Cloud, and AI innovations like Waymo. Its diversified revenue streams are led by advertising (Google Services) and rapidly expanding cloud infrastructure.
Recent weeks have seen GOOGL surge, with shares hitting record highs above $388 amid a 29% monthly gain and year-to-date returns exceeding 24%, outpacing the S&P 500. Q1 2026 earnings showcased 22% revenue growth to $109.9 billion, net income up 81%, and Google Cloud up 63% to $20 billion, with backlog nearly doubling to $462 billion—driving post-earnings rallies and analyst upgrades. AI investments, including partnerships like Anthropic, and robust ad/search resilience have bolstered sentiment in a high-growth tech landscape.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CARG’s marketplace model relies on auto transaction volumes, vulnerable to economic cycles and interest rates, contrasting GOOGL’s scalable ad/cloud/AI ecosystem with recurring revenues and global reach. Growth drivers differ: CARG eyes used-car recovery (FY2026 revenue +10-13%), while GOOGL leverages AI/cloud acceleration (63% Cloud growth). Recent momentum favors GOOGL (YTD +24%, 1Y +137%), over CARG (YTD -2%, 1Y +35%). Risk factors include CARG’s consumer discretionary beta (1.32) versus GOOGL’s regulatory/AI capex pressures, though latter offers stability. Sector exposure: autos vs. tech/AI. Market sentiment tilts to GOOGL’s Moderate Buy (targets $406+), while CARG is Hold ($36-$38).
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors GOOGL due to superior trend consistency in AI/cloud growth, recent catalysts like Q1 beats and backlog expansion, and stronger relative positioning versus broader indices. CARG shows promise in auto recovery but trails in stability and momentum. Probabilistic edge leans to GOOGL amid tech sector tailwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CARG is a Hold and GOOGL is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CARG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileGOOGL’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- CARG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- GOOGL’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CARG’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GOOGL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CARG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
- GOOGL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CARG (@Automotive Aftermarket) experienced а -8.14% price change this week, while GOOGL (@Internet Software/Services) price change was -3.11% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Automotive Aftermarket industry was -3.70%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was -22.49%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Internet Software/Services industry was -5.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.43%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12.84%.
Reported Earning Dates
CARG is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
GOOGL is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Automotive Aftermarket (-3.70% weekly)The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).
@Internet Software/Services (-5.32% weekly)Companies in this industry typically license software on a subscription basis and it is centrally hosted. Such products usually go by the names web-based software, on-demand software and hosted software. Cloud computing has emerged as a major force in this space, making it possible to save files to a remote database (without requiring them to be saved on local storage device); as long as a device has access to the web, it can access the data and the software programs to run it. This has in many cases facilitated cost efficiency, speed and security of data for businesses and consumers. Alphabet Inc., Facebook, Inc. and Yahoo! Inc. are some well-known names in the internet software/services industry.
| CARG | GOOGL | CARG / GOOGL | |
| Capitalization | 2.47B | 4.52T | 0% |
| EBITDA | 283M | 219B | 0% |
| Gain YTD | -28.475 | 17.824 | -160% |
| P/E Ratio | 14.44 | 28.11 | 51% |
| Revenue | 938M | 422B | 0% |
| Total Cash | 72M | 127B | 0% |
| Total Debt | 188M | 90.5B | 0% |
CARG | GOOGL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 58 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 81 Overvalued | 38 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 99 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 21 | 24 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 19 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 25 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GOOGL's Valuation (38) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CARG (81) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that GOOGL’s stock grew somewhat faster than CARG’s over the last 12 months.
GOOGL's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is significantly better than the same rating for CARG (99) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that GOOGL’s stock grew significantly faster than CARG’s over the last 12 months.
CARG's SMR Rating (21) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as GOOGL (24) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that CARG’s stock grew similarly to GOOGL’s over the last 12 months.
GOOGL's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CARG (83) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that GOOGL’s stock grew somewhat faster than CARG’s over the last 12 months.
GOOGL's P/E Growth Rating (19) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is significantly better than the same rating for CARG (99) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that GOOGL’s stock grew significantly faster than CARG’s over the last 12 months.
| CARG | GOOGL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 1 day ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 72% | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 1 day ago 64% |
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CARG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CARG has been loosely correlated with MAX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CARG jumps, then MAX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CARG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARG | 100% | +0.22% | ||
| MAX - CARG | 54% Loosely correlated | +4.86% | ||
| ZG - CARG | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.65% | ||
| CPRT - CARG | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.62% | ||
| Z - CARG | 51% Loosely correlated | -2.42% | ||
| FVRR - CARG | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.39% | ||
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