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CAT vs SPYV
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CAT is a StrongBuy and SPYV is a Hold.
CAT in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026
CAT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 29 of 38 cases where CAT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CAT advanced for three days, in 277 of 376 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 197 of 306 cases where CAT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CAT as a result. In 37 of 73 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CAT turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 51%.
CAT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CAT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The 50-day moving average for CAT moved below the 200-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CAT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CAT's P/B Ratio (16.282) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.479). P/E Ratio (29.434) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.166). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.435) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. CAT's P/S Ratio (4.892) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.128).
SPYV in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on September 29, 2026
SPYV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 34 of 35 cases where SPYV's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPYV as a result. In 68 of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPYV just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where SPYV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 44 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
SPYV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SPYV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Following a +0.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPYV advanced for three days, in 294 of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SPYV moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 34 of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 76%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPYV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator for SPYV entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
CAT | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 62 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 27 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| CAT | SPYV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 89% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 84% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 7 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 63% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CAT’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while .
- CAT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CAT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish.
- CAT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CAT (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -5.99% price change this weekfor the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -1.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.64%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.43%.
Reported Earning Dates
CAT is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-1.72% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
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| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| CPSJ | 28.02 | N/A | N/A |
| Calamos S&P 500 Structured Alt Protection ETF July (CPSJ) | |||
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| Fidelity MSCI Materials Index ETF (FMAT) | |||
SPYV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPYV has been closely correlated with CAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SPYV jumps, then CAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SPYV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPYV | 100% | -0.56% | ||
| CAT - SPYV | 73% Closely correlated | -2.42% | ||
| CCL - SPYV | 69% Closely correlated | -3.58% | ||
| RHI - SPYV | 67% Closely correlated | +21.74% | ||
| BWA - SPYV | 63% Loosely correlated | -0.90% | ||
| CFG - SPYV | 62% Loosely correlated | -0.15% | ||
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