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CBOE vs CME
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) vs. CME Group (CME) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CBOE has outperformed CME recently, with year-to-date gains around 20% compared to CME's approximately 7%.
- Both stocks benefit from elevated trading volumes amid market volatility, with CBOE reporting record March ADV (average daily volume) in options and CME achieving record Q1 2026 revenue of $1.9 billion.
- CBOE reached a 52-week high near $310 in mid-April, reflecting strong momentum, while CME declined about 7.5% over the past month.
- CME's broader futures exposure contrasts with CBOE's options focus, both driving growth but exposing them to volatility and regulatory risks.
- Tickeron's AI tools highlight differing patterns, with CBOE showing superior trend consistency in recent market activity.
Introduction
Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) and CME Group (CME) are leading operators of derivatives exchanges, providing essential infrastructure for trading options, futures, and securities amid heightened market volatility. This comparison analyzes their recent performance, business drivers, and relative positioning, offering insights for investors seeking exposure to financial marketplaces. Traders focused on capital markets infrastructure, volatility plays, or long-term growth in trading volumes will find value in understanding how these peers stack up in the current environment.
CBOE Overview and Recent Performance
Cboe Global Markets operates a global network of exchanges offering trading, clearing, and investment solutions across equities, options, futures, FX (foreign exchange), and digital assets. In recent weeks, CBOE has demonstrated robust stock performance, hitting a 52-week high above $309 amid record trading activity. March volumes set new benchmarks, including record open outcry ADV of 2.2 million contracts and elevated European ADNV (average daily notional value) of €18.6 billion. Sentiment has been buoyed by options trading surges from volatility and strategic moves like selling Canadian and Australian exchanges to TMX Group for $300 million, streamlining focus on core operations. Year-to-date gains exceed 19%, outpacing broader markets.
CME Overview and Recent Performance
CME Group is the world's largest derivatives marketplace, facilitating futures and options trading across interest rates, equities, FX, energy, agricultural products, and metals, with integrated clearing services. Recent market activity has driven record Q1 2026 results, with revenue up 14% to $1.88 billion, net income rising 21% to $1.15 billion, and ADV surging 22% year-over-year. Equity index volumes hit quarterly records at 8.7 million contracts ADV. However, the stock has faced pressure, declining around 7.5% in the past month despite year-to-date gains of about 7%, influenced by post-earnings reactions and broader sector dynamics. High volatility continues to support volume growth across asset classes.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CBOE and CME thrive on trading volumes fueled by volatility, but differ in focus: CBOE emphasizes options and equities with global reach, while CME dominates futures across diverse assets like rates and commodities. Growth drivers include record volumes for both, yet CBOE's recent momentum—42% one-year returns versus CME's 11%—highlights superior price action. Risk factors overlap in regulatory scrutiny and competition, but CME's larger scale ($113B market cap vs. $30B) offers stability, trading at a premium P/E. Sector exposure favors CME's breadth amid economic uncertainty, while CBOE's options surge captures equity volatility. Market sentiment leans toward CBOE for short-term trades, CME for diversified resilience.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors CBOE over CME, driven by stronger trend consistency, recent highs, and volume records indicating sustained momentum in options trading. CME's impressive Q1 volumes provide a solid base, but relative underperformance suggests probabilistic edge to CBOE in the near term, contingent on volatility persistence.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CBOE is a Hold and CME is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CBOE’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCME’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CBOE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CME’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CBOE’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CME’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CBOE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CME’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CBOE (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а -17.83% price change this week, while CME (@Financial Publishing/Services) price change was -9.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -1.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.51%.
Reported Earning Dates
CBOE is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
CME is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-1.68% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
| CBOE | CME | CBOE / CME | |
| Capitalization | 29.8B | 91.3B | 33% |
| EBITDA | 1.91B | 6.1B | 31% |
| Gain YTD | 14.106 | -7.107 | -198% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.35 | 21.56 | 113% |
| Revenue | 4.79B | 6.76B | 71% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 2.52B | - |
| Total Debt | 1.59B | 3.42B | 46% |
CBOE | CME | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 61 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 36 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 43 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 38 | 55 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 69 | 75 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 3 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CME's Valuation (36) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CBOE (82). This means that CME’s stock grew somewhat faster than CBOE’s over the last 12 months.
CBOE's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as CME (43). This means that CBOE’s stock grew similarly to CME’s over the last 12 months.
CBOE's SMR Rating (38) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as CME (55). This means that CBOE’s stock grew similarly to CME’s over the last 12 months.
CBOE's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as CME (63). This means that CBOE’s stock grew similarly to CME’s over the last 12 months.
CBOE's P/E Growth Rating (69) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as CME (75). This means that CBOE’s stock grew similarly to CME’s over the last 12 months.
| CBOE | CME | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 42% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 47% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 36% | 2 days ago 38% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 34% | 2 days ago 39% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 61% | 18 days ago 47% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 33% | 3 days ago 41% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 54% |
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CBOE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CBOE has been loosely correlated with CME. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CBOE jumps, then CME could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CBOE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBOE | 100% | +3.45% | ||
| CME - CBOE | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.84% | ||
| ICE - CBOE | 40% Loosely correlated | -2.76% | ||
| MKTX - CBOE | 29% Poorly correlated | -0.16% | ||
| TW - CBOE | 29% Poorly correlated | +2.47% | ||
| ARBK - CBOE | 22% Poorly correlated | -5.43% | ||
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