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CBOE vs CME
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) vs. CME Group (CME) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) and CME Group (CME) both operate major derivatives exchanges, with CBOE focused on equity options and volatility products while CME emphasizes futures across asset classes including interest rates and commodities.
- Recent market activity shows CBOE shares trading in the $273–$278 range amid mixed daily moves and solid longer-term outperformance relative to broader benchmarks over multi-year periods.
- CME maintains a larger scale with diversified futures exposure, contributing to generally more stable trading volumes tied to macroeconomic factors.
- Both companies benefit from structural demand for hedging and trading tools, though sector-specific catalysts such as equity market volatility influence CBOE more directly than CME.
- Valuation and earnings momentum remain key differentiators, with recent quarterly results highlighting operational resilience for both operators.
- Relative performance over recent weeks reflects broader market sentiment toward financial infrastructure stocks amid evolving regulatory and economic conditions.
Introduction
Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) and CME Group (CME) represent two leading U.S. exchange operators whose stocks attract attention from investors seeking exposure to the financial infrastructure sector. This comparison examines their business models, recent price behavior, and market positioning to assist portfolio managers, institutional traders, and individual investors evaluating relative value within the capital markets ecosystem. The analysis draws on observable performance metrics and sector dynamics without offering forward-looking projections.
Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) Overview and Recent Performance
Cboe Global Markets operates global exchanges specializing in equity options, index products, and volatility instruments such as the VIX. In recent market activity, shares have fluctuated within a narrow band near $273–$278, reflecting typical intraday volatility consistent with options-related trading volumes. Year-to-date returns stood at approximately 9.43% as of mid-July 2026, modestly ahead of the S&P 500 benchmark. Longer-term metrics indicate strong cumulative gains over three- and five-year horizons. Recent sentiment has been supported by record quarterly earnings reported earlier in the year and anticipation surrounding the second-quarter release scheduled for later in July, alongside steady industry options volume.
CME Group (CME) Overview and Recent Performance
CME Group runs the world’s largest futures exchange, offering contracts on interest rates, equities, foreign exchange, energy, and agricultural commodities. The stock has exhibited measured price movement in recent weeks, supported by consistent trading volumes driven by macroeconomic hedging demand. As a larger-scale operator with broader asset-class coverage, CME tends to display lower relative volatility compared with more equity-options-centric peers. Performance over the trailing twelve months has tracked broader market trends, with emphasis on earnings stability and dividend consistency. Market participants continue to monitor interest-rate futures activity as a barometer of overall positioning.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) derives a larger proportion of revenue from equity and volatility derivatives, creating greater sensitivity to equity-market sentiment and options trading volumes. In contrast, CME Group (CME) benefits from diversified futures exposure across fixed income and commodities, which can provide more consistent volume during periods of macroeconomic uncertainty. Recent momentum for CBOE has been influenced by strong options activity and earnings beats, while CME’s positioning reflects steadier interest-rate and energy contract flows. Risk considerations include regulatory developments affecting derivatives clearing for both firms, though CME’s scale may offer greater resilience. Sector exposure differs notably: CBOE aligns more closely with equity volatility themes, whereas CME tracks broader hedging demand. Market sentiment toward each remains tied to overall trading volumes rather than company-specific catalysts alone.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in options-related volumes and recent earnings stability, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) over CME Group (CME) for short-term tactical positioning. This assessment rests on relative momentum in equity derivatives activity and valuation context rather than definitive outperformance expectations.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CBOE is a Buy and CME is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CBOE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileCME’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CBOE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- CME’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CBOE’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CME’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CBOE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- CME’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CBOE (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а +4.26% price change this week, while CME (@Financial Publishing/Services) price change was +4.19% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -3.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12.93%.
Reported Earning Dates
CBOE is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
CME is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-3.25% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
| CBOE | CME | CBOE / CME | |
| Capitalization | 29.8B | 92.2B | 32% |
| EBITDA | 1.91B | 6.1B | 31% |
| Gain YTD | 14.094 | -5.638 | -250% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.34 | 21.65 | 112% |
| Revenue | 4.79B | 6.76B | 71% |
| Total Cash | 2.17B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 1.59B | 3.42B | 46% |
CBOE | CME | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 18 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 37 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 40 | 61 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 38 | 55 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 71 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CME's Valuation (37) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CBOE (82). This means that CME’s stock grew somewhat faster than CBOE’s over the last 12 months.
CBOE's Profit vs Risk Rating (40) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as CME (61). This means that CBOE’s stock grew similarly to CME’s over the last 12 months.
CBOE's SMR Rating (38) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as CME (55). This means that CBOE’s stock grew similarly to CME’s over the last 12 months.
CBOE's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as CME (58). This means that CBOE’s stock grew similarly to CME’s over the last 12 months.
CME's P/E Growth Rating (71) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as CBOE (76). This means that CME’s stock grew similarly to CBOE’s over the last 12 months.
| CBOE | CME | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 50% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 26 days ago 33% | 29 days ago 41% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 1 day ago 40% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 40% | 1 day ago 32% |
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CBOE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CBOE has been loosely correlated with CME. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CBOE jumps, then CME could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CBOE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBOE | 100% | +0.07% | ||
| CME - CBOE | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.39% | ||
| MKTX - CBOE | 29% Poorly correlated | +2.08% | ||
| TW - CBOE | 29% Poorly correlated | -0.02% | ||
| ICE - CBOE | 27% Poorly correlated | +1.80% | ||
| ARBK - CBOE | 22% Poorly correlated | -1.14% | ||
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CME and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CME has been loosely correlated with TW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CME jumps, then TW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CME | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CME | 100% | +0.39% | ||
| TW - CME | 45% Loosely correlated | -0.02% | ||
| ICE - CME | 45% Loosely correlated | +1.80% | ||
| MKTX - CME | 35% Loosely correlated | +2.08% | ||
| NDAQ - CME | 31% Poorly correlated | +1.85% | ||
| SNEX - CME | 23% Poorly correlated | -0.80% | ||
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