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CCL vs NCLH
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Carnival Corporation (CCL) vs. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CCL and NCLH are leading cruise operators that have both faced notable price declines in recent market activity, driven by sector concerns including pricing pressures and fuel costs.
- CCL maintains a larger market capitalization of approximately $30 billion compared to NCLH’s roughly $6.5 billion, with CCL offering a dividend yield while NCLH does not.
- Recent performance shows both stocks trading near 52-week lows, with CCL down about 27-29% over the past year and NCLH down around 44%.
- CCL reports stronger trailing twelve-month earnings per share near $2.22 versus NCLH’s approximately $1.58-$1.61, reflected in respective price-to-earnings ratios around 10 and 8.5-9.
- Upcoming earnings for CCL are scheduled for late September 2026, while NCLH recently reported second-quarter results showing revenue growth and improved profitability.
- Market sentiment for both remains cautious amid broader travel sector dynamics, with relative positioning favoring larger scale for CCL and potential valuation support for NCLH.
Introduction
Carnival Corporation (CCL) and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) represent two prominent players in the global cruise industry, making them natural subjects for comparison among investors focused on the travel and leisure sector. Both companies operate large fleets serving millions of passengers annually and have navigated post-pandemic recovery alongside ongoing macroeconomic influences such as fuel prices and consumer spending patterns. This analysis appeals to traders and investors seeking to understand relative performance, business scale differences, and sector-specific catalysts within the consumer cyclical space. The comparison highlights observable metrics like market capitalization, earnings trends, and recent price behavior to inform portfolio positioning decisions.
CCL Overview and Recent Performance
Carnival Corporation (CCL) is one of the world’s largest cruise operators, with a diverse portfolio of brands offering voyages across multiple continents. In recent market activity, CCL shares have declined notably from earlier 2026 highs, trading near the lower end of their 52-week range amid concerns over Caribbean pricing softness and elevated fuel expenses. The stock has posted year-to-date losses exceeding 27% and one-year declines around 29%, reflecting broader sector headwinds. Market capitalization stands near $30 billion, supported by trailing twelve-month earnings per share of approximately $2.22 and a forward price-to-earnings ratio near 10. Recent weeks have seen elevated trading volumes as investors digest operational updates ahead of third-quarter earnings scheduled for September 29, 2026. Sentiment has been tempered by these factors, though the company’s scale provides a buffer compared to smaller peers.
NCLH Overview and Recent Performance
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) operates a fleet focused on freestyle cruising and premium segments through brands including Norwegian, Oceania, and Regent Seven Seas. Shares have similarly retreated in recent market activity, hovering near 52-week lows following a year-to-date decline of approximately 37% and a one-year drop near 44%. Market capitalization approximates $6.5 billion, with trailing earnings per share around $1.58-$1.61 and a price-to-earnings ratio in the 8.5-9 range. Second-quarter 2026 results showed revenue of $2.64 billion and net profit rising to $222.55 million, indicating year-over-year improvement in profitability. Recent price behavior reflects execution challenges and sector-wide pressures, with trading volumes remaining active as the company addresses capacity and deployment strategies.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CCL and NCLH share exposure to the cruise sector but differ markedly in scale and financial profile. CCL’s larger market capitalization and established dividend provide greater stability and income potential, while NCLH offers a smaller footprint with potentially higher volatility tied to its more concentrated brand focus. Recent momentum has been negative for both, though CCL has shown relatively milder percentage declines over the past year. Growth drivers center on post-pandemic demand recovery and capacity expansion for each, yet NCLH faces additional execution risks around deployment alignment. Risk factors include fuel cost sensitivity and pricing competition industry-wide, with CCL benefiting from broader diversification. Market sentiment remains aligned with travel sector trends, positioning the larger operator with a modest edge in resilience during periods of uncertainty.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative stability, and positioning within the sector, Tickeron’s AI models currently indicate a probabilistic preference for CCL over NCLH. The larger market capitalization, dividend support, and comparatively contained drawdowns in recent activity contribute to this assessment, though both stocks exhibit sensitivity to common industry catalysts. Continued monitoring of earnings trends and fuel-related metrics would be warranted to refine this view.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CCL is a StrongBuy and NCLH is a StrongBuy.
CCL | NCLH | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 56 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 87 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 40 | 28 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 82 | 90 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CCL's Valuation (25) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as NCLH (56). This means that CCL’s stock grew similarly to NCLH’s over the last 12 months.
CCL's Profit vs Risk Rating (87) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as NCLH (100). This means that CCL’s stock grew similarly to NCLH’s over the last 12 months.
NCLH's SMR Rating (28) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as CCL (40). This means that NCLH’s stock grew similarly to CCL’s over the last 12 months.
CCL's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as NCLH (62). This means that CCL’s stock grew similarly to NCLH’s over the last 12 months.
CCL's P/E Growth Rating (82) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as NCLH (90). This means that CCL’s stock grew similarly to NCLH’s over the last 12 months.
| CCL | NCLH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 78% | 12 days ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 71% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CCL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while NCLH’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CCL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NCLH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CCL’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NCLH’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CCL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NCLH’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CCL (@Consumer Sundries) experienced а +2.29% price change this week, while NCLH (@Consumer Sundries) price change was +2.84% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Consumer Sundries industry was +0.83%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.11%.
Reported Earning Dates
CCL is expected to report earnings on Dec 18, 2026.
NCLH is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Consumer Sundries (+0.83% weekly)Consumer sundries companies make products that usually do not have another classification, such as lawn and garden products, pest-control products, pet food and pet products like leashes, collars, and harnesses. Central Garden & Pet Company and Dogness (International) Corporation are examples of companies operating in this industry.
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NCLH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NCLH has been closely correlated with CCL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NCLH jumps, then CCL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NCLH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCLH | 100% | +0.52% | ||
| CCL - NCLH | 82% Closely correlated | +0.84% | ||
| RCL - NCLH | 75% Closely correlated | +0.30% | ||
| VIK - NCLH | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.02% | ||
| TNL - NCLH | 51% Loosely correlated | +0.02% | ||
| BKNG - NCLH | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.23% | ||
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