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CCL vs RCL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Carnival Corporation (CCL) vs. Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Carnival Corporation (CCL) and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) are leading cruise operators whose stocks have shown divergent recent performance amid industry recovery and macroeconomic influences.
- CCL stock has traded lower year-to-date, with recent volatility offset by a new quarterly dividend announcement that prompted a short-term price increase.
- RCL has demonstrated relatively stronger year-to-date gains and analyst price targets compared with CCL, reflecting differences in scale, growth trajectories, and market positioning.
- Both companies operate in the same sector with exposure to consumer discretionary spending, fuel costs, and global travel demand, creating shared risk factors alongside company-specific catalysts.
- Analyst consensus ratings remain Buy for both, though forward targets suggest greater implied upside potential for RCL based on recent estimates.
- Market sentiment for cruise stocks has been influenced by earnings expectations, dividend policies, and broader economic indicators over recent market activity.
Introduction
Carnival Corporation (CCL) and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) represent the two largest publicly traded cruise operators, making them natural benchmarks for investors evaluating the cruise sector. This comparison examines their relative performance, business models, and positioning within the current market environment. The analysis is particularly relevant for traders and investors focused on consumer discretionary stocks, sector rotation strategies, or exposure to post-pandemic travel recovery themes. By contrasting observable metrics such as recent price behavior and analyst expectations, the review provides context for assessing trade-offs between the two names without favoring either outright.
CCL Overview and Recent Performance
Carnival Corporation (CCL) is the world’s largest cruise company by passenger capacity, operating multiple brands across contemporary, premium, and luxury segments. In recent market activity, CCL shares have experienced downward pressure year-to-date, trading well below the 52-week high while remaining sensitive to broader travel and fuel price fluctuations. A recent quarterly dividend declaration of $0.15 per share generated positive short-term momentum, with the stock recording an intraday gain following the announcement. Sentiment has also reflected ongoing operational updates, including fleet expansion initiatives and responses to industry-wide challenges such as data security matters earlier in the period. Overall, performance has been shaped by a combination of macroeconomic factors and company-specific developments rather than isolated events.
RCL Overview and Recent Performance
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) operates a portfolio of premium and luxury cruise brands with a focus on larger, more innovative vessels. Over recent market activity, RCL shares have posted modest year-to-date gains and traded closer to the upper end of their recent range relative to peers. The company has maintained analyst attention ahead of its scheduled second-quarter 2026 earnings release on July 28. Price movements have been influenced by positive analyst commentary, including upward revisions to price targets, alongside sector-wide factors such as demand trends and capital return programs. Performance reflects a balance of operational execution and external variables affecting the cruise industry as a whole.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both Carnival Corporation (CCL) and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) generate revenue primarily from cruise operations, exposing them to similar drivers such as occupancy rates, ticket pricing, and onboard spending. However, RCL has historically delivered higher earnings growth rates and stronger shareholder returns over multi-year periods, while CCL trades at comparatively lower valuation multiples. Recent momentum has favored RCL on a year-to-date basis, supported by higher analyst price targets, whereas CCL has contended with greater relative price declines amid dividend-related news. Risk factors overlap in areas including fuel costs, geopolitical events affecting travel, and consumer spending sensitivity, though differences in fleet composition and geographic exposure create distinct operational profiles. Market sentiment for both remains tied to sector recovery narratives, with RCL positioned for potentially steadier trend consistency in recent observations.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including relative price stability, analyst target differentials, and consistency of recent performance trends, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probabilistic weighting to Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) over Carnival Corporation (CCL). This assessment reflects RCL’s stronger year-to-date positioning and upcoming earnings visibility rather than any absolute prediction. Outcomes remain subject to evolving market conditions and company-specific catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CCL is a Hold and RCL is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CCL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileRCL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CCL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- RCL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CCL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RCL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CCL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- RCL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CCL (@Consumer Sundries) experienced а -4.26% price change this week, while RCL (@Consumer Sundries) price change was -2.77% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Consumer Sundries industry was -2.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.93%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.45%.
Reported Earning Dates
CCL is expected to report earnings on Sep 17, 2026.
RCL is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Consumer Sundries (-2.10% weekly)Consumer sundries companies make products that usually do not have another classification, such as lawn and garden products, pest-control products, pet food and pet products like leashes, collars, and harnesses. Central Garden & Pet Company and Dogness (International) Corporation are examples of companies operating in this industry.
| CCL | RCL | CCL / RCL | |
| Capitalization | 36.7B | 75.3B | 49% |
| EBITDA | 7.22B | 7.39B | 98% |
| Gain YTD | -11.201 | 4.373 | -256% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.09 | 17.58 | 69% |
| Revenue | 27B | 18.4B | 147% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 512M | - |
| Total Debt | 26.6B | 21.8B | 122% |
CCL | RCL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 69 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 33 Fair valued | 41 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 28 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 35 | 20 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 72 | 85 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 27 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CCL's Valuation (33) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as RCL (41). This means that CCL’s stock grew similarly to RCL’s over the last 12 months.
RCL's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is significantly better than the same rating for CCL (100). This means that RCL’s stock grew significantly faster than CCL’s over the last 12 months.
RCL's SMR Rating (20) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as CCL (35). This means that RCL’s stock grew similarly to CCL’s over the last 12 months.
RCL's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as CCL (62). This means that RCL’s stock grew similarly to CCL’s over the last 12 months.
CCL's P/E Growth Rating (72) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as RCL (85). This means that CCL’s stock grew similarly to RCL’s over the last 12 months.
| CCL | RCL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 76% | 16 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 82% |
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CCL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CCL has been closely correlated with NCLH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CCL jumps, then NCLH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CCL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCL | 100% | +0.41% | ||
| NCLH - CCL | 81% Closely correlated | -0.76% | ||
| RCL - CCL | 78% Closely correlated | -0.94% | ||
| VIK - CCL | 77% Closely correlated | -2.05% | ||
| LIND - CCL | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.45% | ||
| TNL - CCL | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.41% | ||
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RCL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RCL has been closely correlated with CCL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RCL jumps, then CCL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RCL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCL | 100% | +2.54% | ||
| CCL - RCL | 79% Closely correlated | +4.21% | ||
| NCLH - RCL | 73% Closely correlated | +6.98% | ||
| VIK - RCL | 70% Closely correlated | +3.31% | ||
| LIND - RCL | 57% Loosely correlated | +2.11% | ||
| TNL - RCL | 47% Loosely correlated | +1.72% | ||
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