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CDE vs PAAS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Coeur Mining (CDE) vs. Pan American Silver (PAAS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CDE (Coeur Mining) has transformed into a seven-mine, all-North America precious metals producer after completing its New Gold acquisition, shifting toward a gold-heavy revenue mix.
- PAAS (Pan American Silver) remains a premier silver producer with a low-cost portfolio, record cash balances, and a newly expanded shareholder-return framework.
- Both companies have benefited from elevated gold and silver prices, but CDE carries more integration and cost-structure risk following recent M&A activity.
- PAAS reports a much lower silver all-in sustaining cost, while CDE operates several higher-cost gold assets sensitive to price normalization.
- Relative momentum has cooled for both names in recent weeks as precious metals prices pulled back from highs, pressuring sentiment across the sector.
Introduction
Investors evaluating precious metals exposure often face a choice between a silver-leveraged producer and a diversified gold-and-silver miner. This stock comparison examines CDE, Coeur Mining, and PAAS, Pan American Silver, two prominent North American-listed miners with meaningfully different business profiles. Both companies generate cash from gold and silver, yet their cost structures, growth drivers, and capital-return strategies differ in ways that affect relative performance and market positioning. This comparison is relevant for traders seeking sector momentum, as well as long-term investors weighing balance-sheet strength, production growth, and commodity-price sensitivity.
CDE Overview and Recent Performance
Coeur Mining (CDE) has recently reshaped its portfolio through two acquisitions, including the completion of the New Gold transaction that added the New Afton and Rainy River mines in Canada. The company now operates seven mines concentrated in North America and ranks among the top five global silver producers, while gold accounts for a majority of its revenue.
Recent market activity has been mixed. Coeur reported record first-quarter revenue, adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization), and free cash flow, supported by sharply higher realized gold and silver prices. The company also initiated its first dividend in decades and expanded a share-repurchase program. However, the stock has pulled back in recent weeks alongside rising Treasury yields and a cooler precious metals tape, with analysts noting that much of its earnings power depends on gold prices staying elevated. Integration of the acquired Canadian mines and higher all-in sustaining costs (AISC), the full cost of producing an ounce of metal, remain key watch points.
PAAS Overview and Recent Performance
Pan American Silver (PAAS) is one of the world's largest primary silver producers, with a diversified portfolio of operations across the Americas. Its asset base includes low-cost silver mines plus meaningful gold production, and it holds a long-life growth option in the La Colorada Skarn project in Mexico.
In recent quarters, Pan American has delivered strong free cash flow and finished with a record cash and short-term investment balance, driven by higher silver output and prices. Management introduced a new shareholder-return framework targeting distribution of roughly 35% to 40% of annual attributable free cash flow through dividends and buybacks. Sentiment has been influenced by silver's pullback from recent highs, and one brokerage recently trimmed its price target on softer near-term earnings expectations. Broader analyst consensus nonetheless remains constructive, with the stock still seen as carrying meaningful upside relative to its price. The suspended Escobal mine in Guatemala, which lacks a defined restart timeline, remains an outstanding uncertainty.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The most important contrast between these two miners is commodity mix and cost structure. CDE has become increasingly gold-weighted, with silver and a small copper contribution providing diversification. This gives it leverage to gold prices but also exposes it to higher-cost assets, particularly Rainy River, where profitability is sensitive to gold-price normalization. PAAS, by contrast, anchors its economics to low-cost silver production, reporting silver-segment AISC well below current market prices, which supports wider margins and steadier free cash flow.
On growth drivers, CDE's near-term story hinges on integrating newly acquired mines and ramping production, creating upside potential alongside execution risk. PAAS's growth is more organic, centered on La Colorada Skarn and optimization projects, which spread risk across a longer horizon. Both companies have strengthened capital returns recently, but PAAS carries a larger cash cushion and a more established dividend history. In terms of relative performance and sentiment, both stocks have retreated from recent peaks as precious metals cooled, though PAAS has generally screened at a lower forward earnings multiple than CDE in recent months.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely tilt toward PAAS for its combination of lower-cost silver production, stronger free-cash-flow consistency, larger cash reserves, and a clearer, more diversified growth pipeline. The broader margin cushion provided by sub-market silver AISC suggests a more stable earnings profile in the event commodity prices consolidate. CDE, however, may present stronger momentum-style catalysts if gold prices remain elevated and its acquisition integration proceeds smoothly. The outcome is inherently probabilistic: a trend-following AI model could favor CDE during commodity upswings, while a stability-weighted model would more likely assign a higher ranking to PAAS in the current environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CDE is a Hold and PAAS is a Hold.
CDE's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for CDE moved out of oversold territory on November 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 23 of the 24 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 55 of 61 cases where CDE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CDE just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where CDE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 45 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
Following a +9.46% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CDE advanced for three days, in 236 of 277 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
CDE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for CDE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CDE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator for CDE entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 55 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.440) is normal, around the industry mean (1.934). P/E Ratio (12.050) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-13.500). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.240) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.333) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.531) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CDE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
PAAS's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for PAAS entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 140 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 104 of the 140 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 74%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAAS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PAAS's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 24 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 48 of 59 cases where PAAS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Following a +4.04% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAAS advanced for three days, in 241 of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
PAAS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 44 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.338) is normal, around the industry mean (1.934). P/E Ratio (12.275) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-13.500). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.030) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.333) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.533) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PAAS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
CDE | PAAS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 21 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 55 Fair valued | 44 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 59 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 78 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 87 | 91 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAAS's Valuation (44) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as CDE (55). This means that PAAS’s stock grew similarly to CDE’s over the last 12 months.
PAAS's Profit vs Risk Rating (59) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as CDE (62). This means that PAAS’s stock grew similarly to CDE’s over the last 12 months.
PAAS's SMR Rating (43) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as CDE (62). This means that PAAS’s stock grew similarly to CDE’s over the last 12 months.
PAAS's Price Growth Rating (64) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as CDE (78). This means that PAAS’s stock grew similarly to CDE’s over the last 12 months.
CDE's P/E Growth Rating (87) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (91). This means that CDE’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
| CDE | PAAS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 86% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 8 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 84% | 6 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 74% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CDE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while PAAS’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CDE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- PAAS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CDE’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAAS’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CDE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- PAAS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
CDE (@Precious Metals) experienced а +1.11% price change this week, while PAAS (@Precious Metals) price change was -1.10% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -1.61%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.46%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.09%.
Reported Earning Dates
CDE is expected to report earnings on Feb 24, 2027.
PAAS is expected to report earnings on Feb 24, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-1.61% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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