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CFG vs PNC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Citizens Financial Group (CFG) vs. The PNC Financial Services Group (PNC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CFG and PNC are both U.S. regional banking leaders, but they occupy different tiers by scale: PNC holds roughly $550 billion in assets, while Citizens is closer to $235 billion.
- Both banks beat earnings estimates in their most recent quarter, yet market reactions diverged sharply — CFG's shares outperformed the S&P 500, while PNC slid as investors focused on margin pressure.
- CFG's net interest margin (NIM) is expanding, while PNC's NIM compressed on a heavier mix of higher-cost commercial deposits.
- PNC is pursuing growth through acquisition (its pending FirstBank deal), whereas Citizens is emphasizing organic growth, capital markets, and its private bank.
- Both companies maintain strong capital ratios and shareholder returns, but their recent relative performance and momentum profiles differ meaningfully.
Introduction
Investors evaluating U.S. financials frequently weigh CFG against PNC, two well-known regional banking franchises with overlapping commercial and consumer businesses but very different scale, growth strategies, and market positioning. This stock comparison is especially relevant for traders and investors seeking exposure to the banking sector's recovery from rising rates, shifting deposit costs, and renewed dealmaking. Because the two names have moved in different directions in recent weeks despite broadly similar fundamental trends, examining their relative performance, momentum, and catalysts can help clarify which profile may better suit a given strategy.
CFG Overview and Recent Performance
Citizens Financial Group, Inc. is a Providence, Rhode Island–based super-regional bank serving retail, commercial, and wealth clients across roughly 1,000 branches. In its most recent quarter, CFG reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.05, up sharply year over year, alongside an 11% rise in total revenue. Net interest income (NII, the spread between what a bank earns on loans and pays on deposits) climbed 9%, while the net interest margin expanded 23 basis points to 3.0%, aided by non-core portfolio runoff, terminated swaps, and fixed-rate asset repricing. Fee income also grew, led by capital markets and wealth. The company raised its quarterly dividend by 9.5% and continued modest buybacks. In recent weeks, sentiment has improved as credit quality firmed and management highlighted momentum in its private bank and capital markets businesses, helping CFG's shares outpace the broader market.
PNC Overview and Recent Performance
The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. is a Pittsburgh-based diversified financial institution and one of the largest U.S. regional banks by assets. Its most recent quarterly results were strong on the surface: adjusted EPS of $4.35 beat consensus, revenue rose nearly 9%, and credit quality improved, with net charge-offs falling sharply. However, the market focused on a narrower concern — the net interest margin slipped to 2.79%, below expectations, as rapid growth in higher-cost commercial deposits compressed spreads and raised questions about management's margin targets. This margin pressure drove PNC shares lower following the report, and the stock has underperformed both the S&P 500 and the KBW Bank index on a year-to-date basis. Meanwhile, PNC's pending $4.1 billion acquisition of FirstBank signals a strategic push to expand its national franchise in Colorado and Arizona, reinforcing a scale-and-acquisition growth model.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
While both companies are diversified U.S. banks, the contrasts between them are substantial. PNC is the larger, more geographically diversified institution, with a national footprint and a growth strategy increasingly built on acquisitions. Citizens is smaller and more concentrated, with management emphasizing organic expansion, a recently built private bank, and fee-based businesses such as capital markets and wealth. On profitability, CFG's margin is higher and improving, reflecting disciplined deposit repricing and non-core balance-sheet runoff; PNC's margin is lower and under temporary pressure from deposit mix. Growth drivers also differ: PNC's fee income is broad and record-setting in some categories, while CFG's capital markets revenues have reached multi-year highs. Risk factors are similarly distinct — CFG carries exposure to commercial real estate runoff and integration of its private bank, while PNC faces acquisition-integration risk and funding-cost pressure. In terms of relative performance, CFG has shown stronger recent momentum, whereas PNC has lagged despite solid fundamentals.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, margin trajectory, relative momentum, and near-term catalysts, Tickeron's AI would likely favor CFG at present. Citizens' expanding net interest margin, improving credit trends, and strengthening relative price momentum present a more consistent trend profile, while PNC's margin compression and recent underperformance introduce near-term uncertainty despite its larger scale and acquisition-driven growth path. That said, this assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive — PNC's diversified franchise and capital strength could reassert leadership if margin pressures ease. Investors should weigh these dynamics against their own objectives and risk tolerance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CFG is a Buy and PNC is a Buy.
CFG in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 13, 2026
CFG moved above its 50-day moving average on November 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 34 of 43 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CFG's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 15 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 44 of 56 cases where CFG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CFG as a result. In 64 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CFG just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where CFG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Following a +1.59% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CFG advanced for three days, in 192 of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 190 of 322 cases where CFG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 59%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CFG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CFG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 59 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.106) is normal, around the industry mean (1.262). P/E Ratio (13.600) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.479). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.647) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.033) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.304) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
PNC in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026
The 10-day moving average for PNC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 35 of 51 cases where PNC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PNC as a result. In 50 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PNC just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where PNC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 19 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 42%.
PNC moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.88% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PNC advanced for three days, in 179 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 122 of 281 cases where PNC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 43%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for PNC moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 63%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PNC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
PNC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PNC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.405) is normal, around the industry mean (1.262). P/E Ratio (12.397) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.479). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.569) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.762) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
CFG | PNC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 35 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 59 Fair valued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 43 | 55 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 6 | 4 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 41 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CFG's Valuation (59) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as PNC (71) in the Major Banks industry. This means that CFG’s stock grew similarly to PNC’s over the last 12 months.
CFG's Profit vs Risk Rating (43) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as PNC (55) in the Major Banks industry. This means that CFG’s stock grew similarly to PNC’s over the last 12 months.
PNC's SMR Rating (4) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as CFG (6) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that PNC’s stock grew similarly to CFG’s over the last 12 months.
PNC's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as CFG (48) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that PNC’s stock grew similarly to CFG’s over the last 12 months.
PNC's P/E Growth Rating (41) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as CFG (55) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that PNC’s stock grew similarly to CFG’s over the last 12 months.
| CFG | PNC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 71% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 42% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 24 days ago 65% | 17 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 61% | 9 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 43% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CFG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while PNC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CFG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PNC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CFG’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PNC’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CFG’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 1 bearish.
- PNC’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CFG (@Regional Banks) experienced а +3.19% price change this week, while PNC (@Regional Banks) price change was +3.07% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +1.00%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.77%.
Reported Earning Dates
CFG is expected to report earnings on Jan 20, 2027.
PNC is expected to report earnings on Jan 15, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Regional Banks (+1.00% weekly)Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
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PNC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PNC has been closely correlated with USB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PNC jumps, then USB could also see price increases.