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CLF vs CRS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) vs. Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CRS has delivered robust year-to-date gains exceeding 35%, starkly contrasting CLF's decline of over 25%.
- Recent market activity shows CLF with one-month returns around 20%, but three-month performance lagging at negative 30%.
- CRS benefits from strong demand in aerospace and defense, driving consistent upward momentum and record highs.
- CLF posted Q1 revenue of $4.9 billion, beating estimates, though net losses persist amid automotive sector headwinds.
- Specialty metals exposure positions CRS favorably against broader steel cyclicality affecting CLF.
Introduction
Investors and traders navigating the basic materials sector often compare steel and specialty metals producers like Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) and Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS). This stock comparison highlights their relative performance, sector drivers, and market positioning in recent weeks. Value-oriented investors seeking cyclical recovery plays may eye CLF, while growth-focused traders favor CRS's momentum amid aerospace demand. Understanding these dynamics aids in assessing trade-offs in volatility, growth potential, and sentiment shifts for diversified portfolios or sector rotations.
CLF Overview and Recent Performance
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) is North America's largest flat-rolled steel producer and iron ore pellet supplier, primarily serving the automotive industry. In recent market activity, CLF shares have shown volatility, with one-month gains around 20% offset by steeper three-month declines near 30%. Year-to-date, the stock is down over 25%. Q1 results featured $4.9 billion in revenue, surpassing prior-year and sequential figures, alongside adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) of $95 million and steel shipments exceeding 4 million tons. Sentiment reflects pressures from automotive demand softness and elevated costs, though higher hot-rolled coil prices provided some support. Trading near $10, CLF faces cyclical steel market challenges.
CRS Overview and Recent Performance
Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) manufactures and distributes specialty alloys for aerospace, defense, and industrial applications. Recent weeks have seen CRS shares surge to all-time highs above $450 before consolidating around $427, with year-to-date returns surpassing 35%. The stock's strength stems from robust sector demand, evidenced by Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings where EPS reached $2.33, beating estimates, and operating income hit $155 million. Specialty Alloys Operations drove gains with elevated sales. Positive sentiment is bolstered by aerospace recovery and a recent quarterly dividend declaration. Trading at elevated multiples, CRS reflects premium positioning in high-growth end-markets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CLF operates an integrated steel model focused on flat-rolled products and iron ore, tying performance to automotive cycles and commodity pricing, while CRS specializes in premium alloys for aerospace and defense, benefiting from secular demand growth. Growth drivers diverge: CLF relies on volume recovery and cost discipline amid steel oversupply risks, versus CRS's tailwinds from aircraft production ramps. Recent momentum favors CRS with sustained highs and superior returns; CLF exhibits choppier relative performance. Risk factors include CLF's higher cyclicality and debt exposure versus CRS's balanced leverage and niche market stability. Sector sentiment tilts positive for specialty metals over broad steel amid infrastructure and defense spending.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors CRS over CLF, driven by superior trend consistency, earnings beats, and alignment with high-demand sectors like aerospace. CRS's relative stability and momentum suggest higher probability of outperformance in the near term, though CLF could rebound on steel pricing catalysts. Observable factors point to CRS as the stronger positioned pick probabilistically.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CLF is a Hold and CRS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CLF’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCRS’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CLF’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CRS’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CLF’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CRS’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CLF’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- CRS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CLF (@Steel) experienced а -12.77% price change this week, while CRS (@Metal Fabrication) price change was +4.29% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Steel industry was -6.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +144.49%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.91%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Metal Fabrication industry was -2.61%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +13.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.91%.
Reported Earning Dates
CLF is expected to report earnings on Jul 27, 2026.
CRS is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Steel (-6.08% weekly)The steel industry includes manufacturers of steel and steel-related products. Companies use iron ore and scrap steel to produce steel. The industry also includes companies involved in mining and marketing of steel products. Along with serving some of the domestic markets, U.S. steel output has, over the years, been used by international economies as well. Competition from imported steel has also increased over time. The industry could be susceptible to business cycles, since the element is an important input in industrial production. Some of the globally-renowned steel behemoths include Nucor Corporation, Vale, and ArcelorMittal SA.
@Metal Fabrication (-2.61% weekly)The industry is involved in value-added processes including creation of metal structures like machines and parts by cutting, bending and assembling, using various raw materials. A fabrication shop often bids on a project/job, and then builds the product if awarded the contract. Robotics and automation are making their way into the industry apparently to fill in skills gap[s19] . RBC Bearings Incorporated, Timken Company and Valmont Industries, Inc. are some of the largest metal fabrication companies in the U.S.
| CLF | CRS | CLF / CRS | |
| Capitalization | 6.78B | 29.2B | 23% |
| EBITDA | 138M | 785M | 18% |
| Gain YTD | -10.467 | 86.883 | -12% |
| P/E Ratio | 145.67 | 61.87 | 235% |
| Revenue | 18.9B | 3.03B | 624% |
| Total Cash | 45M | 295M | 15% |
| Total Debt | 7.76B | 699M | 1,111% |
CLF | CRS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 75 | 42 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 67 Overvalued | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 1 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 97 | 39 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 36 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CLF's Valuation (67) in the Steel industry is in the same range as CRS (82) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that CLF’s stock grew similarly to CRS’s over the last 12 months.
CRS's Profit vs Risk Rating (1) in the Metal Fabrication industry is significantly better than the same rating for CLF (100) in the Steel industry. This means that CRS’s stock grew significantly faster than CLF’s over the last 12 months.
CRS's SMR Rating (39) in the Metal Fabrication industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CLF (97) in the Steel industry. This means that CRS’s stock grew somewhat faster than CLF’s over the last 12 months.
CRS's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as CLF (39) in the Steel industry. This means that CRS’s stock grew similarly to CLF’s over the last 12 months.
CLF's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Steel industry is in the same range as CRS (14) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that CLF’s stock grew similarly to CRS’s over the last 12 months.
| CLF | CRS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 89% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | N/A |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 81% |
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CLF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CLF has been loosely correlated with NUE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CLF jumps, then NUE could also see price increases.
CRS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CRS has been closely correlated with ATI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CRS jumps, then ATI could also see price increases.