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CMC vs GPGI
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMC is a Buy and GPGI is a Hold.
CMC in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on September 29, 2026
CMC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 22 of 30 cases where CMC's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CMC as a result. In 59 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CMC just turned positive on October 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where CMC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
CMC moved above its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMC advanced for three days, in 216 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator for CMC entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 53 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.620) is normal, around the industry mean (3.080). P/E Ratio (12.431) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.016). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.320) is also within normal values, averaging (0.744). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.840) is also within normal values, averaging (6248.204).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CMC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
GPGI in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026
GPGI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 39 of 45 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GPGI as a result. In 67 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GPGI turned negative on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 73%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GPGI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
The Aroon Indicator for GPGI entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GPGI's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 44 of 57 cases where GPGI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +8.82% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GPGI advanced for three days, in 212 of 269 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
GPGI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. GPGI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GPGI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.072) is normal, around the industry mean (3.080). P/E Ratio (-6.375) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.016). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.744). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. GPGI's P/S Ratio (106190.133) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (6248.204).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
CMC | GPGI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 75 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 53 Fair valued | 95 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 91 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 96 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 77 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 24 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 26 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CMC's Valuation (53) in the Metal Fabrication industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GPGI (95) in the null industry. This means that CMC’s stock grew somewhat faster than GPGI’s over the last 12 months.
CMC's Profit vs Risk Rating (29) in the Metal Fabrication industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GPGI (91) in the null industry. This means that CMC’s stock grew somewhat faster than GPGI’s over the last 12 months.
CMC's SMR Rating (59) in the Metal Fabrication industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GPGI (96) in the null industry. This means that CMC’s stock grew somewhat faster than GPGI’s over the last 12 months.
CMC's Price Growth Rating (55) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as GPGI (77) in the null industry. This means that CMC’s stock grew similarly to GPGI’s over the last 12 months.
GPGI's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for CMC (96) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that GPGI’s stock grew significantly faster than CMC’s over the last 12 months.
| CMC | GPGI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 6 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 64% | 8 days ago 82% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 73% | 1 day ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 81% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while GPGI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CMC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- GPGI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GPGI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- GPGI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CMC (@Metal Fabrication) experienced а +4.68% price change this week, while GPGI (@Metal Fabrication) price change was +9.57% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Metal Fabrication industry was +0.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.64%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMC is expected to report earnings on Jan 11, 2027.
GPGI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Metal Fabrication (+0.18% weekly)The industry is involved in value-added processes including creation of metal structures like machines and parts by cutting, bending and assembling, using various raw materials. A fabrication shop often bids on a project/job, and then builds the product if awarded the contract. Robotics and automation are making their way into the industry apparently to fill in skills gap[s19] . RBC Bearings Incorporated, Timken Company and Valmont Industries, Inc. are some of the largest metal fabrication companies in the U.S.
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GPGI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GPGI has been loosely correlated with ESAB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 39% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GPGI jumps, then ESAB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GPGI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPGI | 100% | -0.43% | ||
| ESAB - GPGI | 39% Loosely correlated | -0.33% | ||
| PRLB - GPGI | 32% Poorly correlated | +2.78% | ||
| WOR - GPGI | 32% Poorly correlated | -1.57% | ||
| CMC - GPGI | 30% Poorly correlated | +0.79% | ||
| RYZ - GPGI | 28% Poorly correlated | -3.76% | ||
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