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CMC vs GPGI
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMC is a Hold and GPGI is a Hold.
CMC sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
On October 02, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for CMC moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 43 of the 52 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CMC as a result. In 63 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CMC just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where CMC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Following a +1.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMC advanced for three days, in 215 of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
CMC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
CMC moved below its 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CMC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator for CMC entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 19 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.574) is normal, around the industry mean (3.121). P/E Ratio (12.191) is within average values for comparable stocks, (33.749). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.320) is also within normal values, averaging (0.744). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.840) is also within normal values, averaging (5901.087).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CMC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Momentum Indicator for GPGI turns positive, indicating new upward trend
GPGI saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 02, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 73 of the 88 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GPGI just turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where GPGI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Following a +0.95% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GPGI advanced for three days, in 210 of 270 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 54 cases where GPGI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GPGI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
GPGI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for GPGI entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. GPGI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GPGI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.063) is normal, around the industry mean (3.121). P/E Ratio (13.712) is within average values for comparable stocks, (33.749). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.744). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. GPGI's P/S Ratio (106190.133) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (5901.087).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
CMC | GPGI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 36 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 19 Undervalued | 95 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 86 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 96 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 75 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 6 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 5 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CMC's Valuation (19) in the Metal Fabrication industry is significantly better than the same rating for GPGI (95) in the null industry. This means that CMC’s stock grew significantly faster than GPGI’s over the last 12 months.
CMC's Profit vs Risk Rating (33) in the Metal Fabrication industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GPGI (86) in the null industry. This means that CMC’s stock grew somewhat faster than GPGI’s over the last 12 months.
CMC's SMR Rating (59) in the Metal Fabrication industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GPGI (96) in the null industry. This means that CMC’s stock grew somewhat faster than GPGI’s over the last 12 months.
CMC's Price Growth Rating (55) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as GPGI (75) in the null industry. This means that CMC’s stock grew similarly to GPGI’s over the last 12 months.
GPGI's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for CMC (100) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that GPGI’s stock grew significantly faster than CMC’s over the last 12 months.
| CMC | GPGI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 83% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 63% | 7 days ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 83% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while GPGI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CMC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- GPGI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GPGI’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- GPGI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CMC (@Metal Fabrication) experienced а -0.22% price change this week, while GPGI (@Metal Fabrication) price change was -3.42% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Metal Fabrication industry was -3.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.88%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMC is expected to report earnings on Oct 15, 2026.
GPGI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Metal Fabrication (-3.27% weekly)The industry is involved in value-added processes including creation of metal structures like machines and parts by cutting, bending and assembling, using various raw materials. A fabrication shop often bids on a project/job, and then builds the product if awarded the contract. Robotics and automation are making their way into the industry apparently to fill in skills gap[s19] . RBC Bearings Incorporated, Timken Company and Valmont Industries, Inc. are some of the largest metal fabrication companies in the U.S.
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CMC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMC has been closely correlated with STLD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CMC jumps, then STLD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CMC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMC | 100% | +1.08% | ||
| STLD - CMC | 73% Closely correlated | +0.62% | ||
| RS - CMC | 68% Closely correlated | +0.73% | ||
| NUE - CMC | 66% Loosely correlated | +0.78% | ||
| MTUS - CMC | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.73% | ||
| WS - CMC | 63% Loosely correlated | +3.19% | ||
More | ||||
GPGI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GPGI has been loosely correlated with ESAB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 39% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GPGI jumps, then ESAB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GPGI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPGI | 100% | +0.32% | ||
| ESAB - GPGI | 39% Loosely correlated | +0.71% | ||
| WOR - GPGI | 33% Poorly correlated | +1.77% | ||
| PRLB - GPGI | 32% Poorly correlated | +0.24% | ||
| CRS - GPGI | 31% Poorly correlated | +0.84% | ||
| CMC - GPGI | 30% Poorly correlated | +1.08% | ||
More | ||||