Two names that often capture the attention of materials-sector investors are CMC (Commercial Metals Company) and WS (Worthington Steel). Although both operate within the steel value chain, they occupy meaningfully different roles — one as a vertically integrated manufacturer and recycler, the other as a specialty processor serving downstream industrial customers. This comparison is especially relevant for traders and investors attempting to navigate shifting interest rate expectations, evolving construction demand, and ongoing tariff dynamics. By examining relative performance, business models, and actionable data points, this article offers a structured, side-by-side view of how these two stocks are positioned in the current market environment.
CMC (Commercial Metals Company), headquartered in Irving, Texas, is a manufacturer, recycler, and fabricator of steel and metal products with operations spanning North America, Europe, and select international markets. The company operates through three segments: North America Steel Group, Europe Steel Group, and Emerging Businesses Group (EBG), the latter of which includes high-margin offerings such as Tensar geogrid solutions and performance reinforcing steel. With a market capitalization of approximately $7.6 billion and trailing-twelve-month revenue exceeding $8.9 billion, CMC is among the larger and more diversified players in the steel space.
In recent months, CMC stock has demonstrated notable resilience following a volatile stretch. After dipping toward the $60 level in early July 2026, shares rebounded to approximately $69 by late July, recovering much of the ground lost during a broader market pullback. The company's TAG (Transform, Advance, and Grow) operational excellence program has continued to exceed internal targets, contributing to margin expansion. Additionally, management has pursued a strategic expansion into precast concrete products via pending acquisitions of Foley Products Company and Concrete Pipe & Precast (CP&P), signaling an ambition to build a complementary growth platform beyond traditional steel. Notably, CEO Peter Matt purchased roughly $500,000 worth of CMC shares in mid-July 2026 — a transaction that drew attention from the investment community as a signal of executive confidence.
WS (Worthington Steel), based in Columbus, Ohio, is a value-added metals processing company that transforms flat-rolled carbon steel, aluminum, and electrical steel into components for automotive, construction, heavy truck, agriculture, and energy customers. Unlike integrated steel producers, WS does not manufacture raw steel; instead, it processes steel purchased from mills through slitting, blanking, pickling, annealing, and other specialized techniques. The company became a standalone public entity in December 2023 following its separation from Worthington Enterprises. With a market capitalization near $1.8 billion and trailing-twelve-month revenue of roughly $3.4 billion, WS is considerably smaller than CMC but holds a distinct niche in downstream processing.
Recent market activity has been more challenging for WS. After reaching a 52-week high near $49 in February 2026, the stock declined steadily, falling below $32 in early July before stabilizing around the $36 level. The company's fiscal 2026 second-quarter results (reported in December 2025) showed an 18% year-over-year revenue increase to $872 million, driven partly by the Sitem Group acquisition, yet operating income remained modest at $21.7 million. On a trailing-twelve-month basis, net income has contracted sharply to approximately $8.5 million, reflecting margin pressure in the processing business and integration-related costs. The company maintains a quarterly dividend of $0.16 per share and continues to invest in electrical steel capacity expansions in Mexico and Canada, positioning for longer-term demand in electric vehicle and energy infrastructure markets.
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The most fundamental contrast between these two stocks lies in their business models. CMC is a vertically integrated operator that controls scrap recycling, steel melt shops, rolling mills, and downstream fabrication — giving it more direct exposure to steel pricing dynamics and scrap metal spreads. WS, by contrast, operates as an intermediary processor, purchasing steel from mills and adding value through precision processing. This makes WS more sensitive to volume trends in end markets like automotive and heavy truck, while CMC's earnings are more closely tied to construction cycles and infrastructure spending.
From a valuation standpoint, the divergence is stark. CMC trades at a trailing P/E of roughly 13 and a forward P/E near 11, while WS carries a trailing P/E above 105 — reflecting its heavily compressed recent earnings — but a forward P/E of approximately 14, suggesting analysts expect a significant earnings recovery. On the dividend front, WS offers a higher yield at roughly 1.8% compared to CMC's 1.2%, though CMC's payout is backed by 244 consecutive quarterly dividends and a far larger cash reserve.
Risk profiles also differ meaningfully. WS carries a beta of 2.32, making it substantially more volatile than CMC (beta of 1.53). Meanwhile, CMC faces ongoing legal overhang from the Pacific Steel Group litigation, which resulted in a significant after-tax charge in fiscal 2025, although the company is pursuing appeals. WS's key risk is execution around the Sitem Group integration and the pace of recovery in automotive and industrial end markets.
Based on observable trend consistency, relative earnings momentum, and balance sheet quality, Tickeron's AI-driven analytical framework would likely favor CMC in the current market environment. The stock's stronger 1-year return trajectory, coupled with recovering steel product margins and CEO insider buying, points to a more established positive trend. CMC's diversified segment structure — spanning North American steel, European operations, and a growing emerging businesses portfolio — provides multiple avenues for earnings growth, while its nearly $1.9 billion liquidity position offers substantial downside cushion. WS presents a more uncertain near-term picture: while its forward valuation appears attractive and the Sitem acquisition expands its global footprint, the sharp contraction in trailing earnings and elevated volatility introduce greater probabilistic risk. The AI verdict is not a definitive prediction but rather a probabilistic read: CMC currently exhibits a more favorable combination of trend stability, catalyst visibility, and financial resilience.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileWS’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMC’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WS’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
CMC (@Metal Fabrication) experienced а -2.12% price change this week, while WS (@Steel) price change was +2.70% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Metal Fabrication industry was +0.30%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.31%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Steel industry was +4.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.77%.
CMC is expected to report earnings on Oct 15, 2026.
WS is expected to report earnings on Sep 30, 2026.
The industry is involved in value-added processes including creation of metal structures like machines and parts by cutting, bending and assembling, using various raw materials. A fabrication shop often bids on a project/job, and then builds the product if awarded the contract. Robotics and automation are making their way into the industry apparently to fill in skills gap[s19] . RBC Bearings Incorporated, Timken Company and Valmont Industries, Inc. are some of the largest metal fabrication companies in the U.S.
@Steel (+4.29% weekly)The steel industry includes manufacturers of steel and steel-related products. Companies use iron ore and scrap steel to produce steel. The industry also includes companies involved in mining and marketing of steel products. Along with serving some of the domestic markets, U.S. steel output has, over the years, been used by international economies as well. Competition from imported steel has also increased over time. The industry could be susceptible to business cycles, since the element is an important input in industrial production. Some of the globally-renowned steel behemoths include Nucor Corporation, Vale, and ArcelorMittal SA.
| CMC | WS | CMC / WS | |
| Capitalization | 7.98B | 1.94B | 412% |
| EBITDA | 1.15B | 120M | 957% |
| Gain YTD | 5.132 | 10.827 | 47% |
| P/E Ratio | 13.64 | 223.76 | 6% |
| Revenue | 8.85B | 3.44B | 257% |
| Total Cash | 560M | 84.6M | 662% |
| Total Debt | 3.4B | 354M | 960% |
CMC | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 20 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 61 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| CMC | WS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 4 days ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 70% | 10 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 70% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| ISVL | 54.03 | 0.47 | +0.89% |
| iShares Intl Dev Sm Cp Val Fctr ETF | |||
| YFFI | 9.91 | 0.05 | +0.46% |
| Indexperts Yield Focused Fxd Inc ETF | |||
| IGOV | 41.29 | 0.10 | +0.24% |
| iShares International Treasury Bond ETF | |||
| GCV | 4.73 | N/A | N/A |
| Gabelli Convertible and Income Securities Fund (The) | |||
| BTCC | 12.79 | -0.29 | -2.20% |
| Grayscale Bitcoin Covered Call ETF | |||
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMC has been closely correlated with STLD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CMC jumps, then STLD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CMC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMC | 100% | -0.29% | ||
| STLD - CMC | 73% Closely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| RS - CMC | 68% Closely correlated | -0.46% | ||
| NUE - CMC | 66% Loosely correlated | +0.18% | ||
| MTUS - CMC | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.97% | ||
| WS - CMC | 63% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
More | ||||
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WS has been loosely correlated with CMC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WS jumps, then CMC could also see price increases.