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CNQ vs COP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) vs. ConocoPhillips (COP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) has delivered stronger year-to-date returns compared with ConocoPhillips (COP), with notable recovery momentum in recent market activity.
- Both companies operate in the oil and gas production sector and maintain solid balance sheets, supporting consistent shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks.
- CNQ is scheduled to report second-quarter earnings on August 6, 2026, with consensus expectations reflecting substantial year-over-year EPS growth.
- Relative performance data indicate CNQ has outperformed COP over the past year on a total-return basis.
- Sector exposure for both remains tied to commodity prices, with CNQ exhibiting a Canadian-focused asset base and COP benefiting from broader geographic diversification.
- Technical assessments from available models currently assign a modestly higher near-term consistency probability to CNQ versus COP.
Introduction
Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) and ConocoPhillips (COP) represent two prominent large-cap players in the energy sector, each with established production profiles and shareholder-return programs. Investors and traders focused on oil and gas equities often evaluate these names together when assessing relative value, momentum, and exposure to commodity-price movements. The comparison is particularly relevant for those constructing diversified energy portfolios, monitoring sector rotation, or seeking stocks with differing geographic footprints and operational emphases within the same industry.
CNQ Overview and Recent Performance
Canadian Natural Resources Limited is a major Canadian energy producer with a diversified portfolio spanning conventional oil, natural gas, and oil sands assets. In recent market activity, the stock has demonstrated notable resilience, posting year-to-date total returns exceeding 43 percent through late July 2026 and outperforming broader Canadian benchmarks. A recovery of approximately 17.6 percent over the prior 30-day period helped push shares above key moving averages, supported by operational execution and shareholder-return initiatives including dividends and share repurchases. Upcoming second-quarter results, expected August 6, carry consensus estimates for strong year-over-year earnings-per-share growth.
COP Overview and Recent Performance
ConocoPhillips is a leading independent exploration and production company with global operations focused on conventional and unconventional oil and natural gas assets. The stock has recorded solid but comparatively moderated gains in recent market activity, with year-to-date performance trailing that of certain peers amid broader energy-sector dynamics. The company continues to emphasize capital discipline, dividend growth, and share repurchases, maintaining a balance sheet that supports consistent returns to shareholders. Relative positioning reflects steady operational visibility, though recent momentum has been less pronounced than select Canadian counterparts.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CNQ and COP generate revenue primarily through upstream oil and gas production, yet they differ in geographic concentration and scale. CNQ maintains a heavier weighting toward Canadian assets, which can introduce currency and regulatory considerations, while COP benefits from a more diversified international footprint. Recent momentum has favored CNQ on a relative basis, though both names carry exposure to oil-price volatility and capital-expenditure cycles. Risk factors include commodity-price swings and operational execution, with CNQ offering a higher dividend yield in recent periods and COP providing greater earnings visibility through its global portfolio. Market sentiment remains constructive for the sector overall, tempered by macroeconomic influences on demand.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable technical trends, relative momentum, and sector positioning, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable near-term consistency to CNQ, reflecting stronger recent performance metrics and operational catalysts within the energy complex. COP remains competitive given its diversification and earnings visibility. This assessment draws from pattern recognition rather than forward projections and should be viewed as one data point among many for market participants.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CNQ is a Hold and COP is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CNQ’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCOP’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CNQ’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- COP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CNQ’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while COP’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CNQ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- COP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CNQ (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -4.55% price change this week, while COP (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -2.38% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -1.94%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.03%.
Reported Earning Dates
CNQ is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
COP is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-1.94% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| CNQ | COP | CNQ / COP | |
| Capitalization | 93.3B | 141B | 66% |
| EBITDA | 17.5B | 24.6B | 71% |
| Gain YTD | 34.446 | 27.557 | 125% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.35 | 15.56 | 73% |
| Revenue | 44.5B | 58.2B | 76% |
| Total Cash | 113M | 6.36B | 2% |
| Total Debt | 17.3B | 23.3B | 74% |
CNQ | COP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 21 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 56 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 53 | 67 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 28 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
COP's Valuation (56) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as CNQ (75). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to CNQ’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as COP (34). This means that CNQ’s stock grew similarly to COP’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's SMR Rating (53) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as COP (67). This means that CNQ’s stock grew similarly to COP’s over the last 12 months.
COP's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as CNQ (44). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to CNQ’s over the last 12 months.
COP's P/E Growth Rating (28) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as CNQ (56). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to CNQ’s over the last 12 months.
| CNQ | COP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 70% | 5 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 69% |
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CNQ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNQ has been closely correlated with VET. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNQ jumps, then VET could also see price increases.