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COIN vs TOST
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Coinbase Global (COIN) vs. Toast (TOST) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- COIN has delivered a year-to-date return of approximately 15.43%, outperforming broader markets amid cryptocurrency surges, while TOST has faced year-to-date declines of around 19%.
- Recent 30-day performance shows TOST with gains around 11.66%, reflecting resilience in restaurant technology demand, compared to COIN's mixed results trailing the finance sector slightly.
- Both stocks reported Q4 2025 earnings with revenue growth—TOST beating estimates at 22% year-over-year, while COIN missed but highlighted strong trading volume.
- COIN benefits from Bitcoin's momentum above $75,000, driving recent gains, whereas TOST gains from product launches like drive-thru solutions.
- Volatility remains higher for COIN (52-week range $139-$445) versus TOST ($24-$50), highlighting differing risk profiles in fintech exposure.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines COIN and TOST, two fintech innovators navigating distinct market dynamics. Coinbase Global operates as a leading cryptocurrency exchange, while Toast provides cloud-based point-of-sale and management solutions for restaurants. Traders seeking exposure to high-growth tech with varying volatility, and investors evaluating relative performance in payments and digital assets, will find value in analyzing their recent trajectories, sector influences, and head-to-head metrics amid evolving market conditions.
COIN Overview and Recent Performance
Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) is the premier U.S. cryptocurrency platform, generating revenue primarily from trading fees and custody services. In recent market activity, COIN shares have traded around $190-$197, reflecting gains tied to Bitcoin surpassing $75,000 and broader crypto momentum. Despite a Q4 2025 earnings miss on estimates, the company doubled trading volume market share, bolstering balance sheet strength and driving post-earnings rallies up to 16%. Sentiment has shifted positively with regulatory progress and crypto adoption, though volatility persists, with year-to-date returns at 15.43% amid sector swings.
TOST Overview and Recent Performance
Toast, Inc. (TOST) delivers an all-in-one platform for restaurant operations, including payments, payroll, and analytics. Shares have hovered near $29, with a recent 30-day gain of 11.66% signaling steady demand in the restaurant tech sector. Q4 2025 results beat revenue expectations with 22% year-over-year growth to $1.63 billion, alongside expanding adjusted EBITDA margins to 34%. Key developments like the unified drive-thru solution and AI expansions have supported performance, though broader 2026 declines reflect competitive pressures and economic sensitivity in hospitality.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
COIN’s trading-fee model thrives on crypto volume spikes but exposes it to regulatory and market risks, contrasting TOST’s recurring SaaS revenue from restaurant subscriptions and payments. Growth drivers differ: COIN leverages crypto catalysts like Bitcoin rallies, while TOST benefits from operational efficiencies in hospitality tech. Recent momentum favors COIN with stronger YTD gains, but TOST shows stability in 30-day returns. Risk factors include COIN’s high volatility versus TOST’s competition in fintech. Sector exposure pits crypto enthusiasm against resilient restaurant recovery, with market sentiment tilting toward COIN on recent trends.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors COIN due to consistent upward trend alignment, crypto catalysts, and superior relative year-to-date positioning amid recent Bitcoin strength. While TOST offers stability and earnings beats, COIN’s momentum suggests higher probability of near-term outperformance in volatile conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is COIN is a Hold and TOST is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COIN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTOST’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- COIN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TOST’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COIN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TOST’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COIN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TOST’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
COIN (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а +7.11% price change this week, while TOST (@Computer Communications) price change was +0.45% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -3.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.16%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Communications industry was +1.76%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.97%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.96%.
Reported Earning Dates
COIN is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
TOST is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-3.32% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
@Computer Communications (+1.76% weekly)Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.
| COIN | TOST | COIN / TOST | |
| Capitalization | 43.4B | 14.3B | 303% |
| EBITDA | 1.29B | 419M | 307% |
| Gain YTD | -27.074 | -31.259 | 87% |
| P/E Ratio | 60.02 | 36.81 | 163% |
| Revenue | 6.56B | 6.45B | 102% |
| Total Cash | 10.7B | 1.77B | 605% |
| Total Debt | 7.96B | 17M | 46,847% |
| COIN | TOST | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 11 days ago 82% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | N/A |
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TOST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TOST has been loosely correlated with PAR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TOST jumps, then PAR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TOST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOST | 100% | -2.63% | ||
| PAR - TOST | 61% Loosely correlated | -4.13% | ||
| COIN - TOST | 60% Loosely correlated | -2.57% | ||
| CLSK - TOST | 59% Loosely correlated | -2.78% | ||
| RIOT - TOST | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.09% | ||
| WEAV - TOST | 54% Loosely correlated | -3.29% | ||
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