CONY
Price
$15.21
Change
+$0.69 (+4.75%)
Updated
Nov 3, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
335.38M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
MSTY
Price
$13.35
Change
+$0.43 (+3.33%)
Updated
Nov 3, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
1.04B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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CONY vs MSTY

CONY vs MSTY Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? YieldMax COIN Option Income Strategy ETF (CONY) vs. YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY)

Key Takeaways

  • Both CONY and MSTY are actively managed, single-stock "derivative income" ETFs from YieldMax that use a synthetic covered call strategy to pursue current income with capped upside.
  • CONY is tied to the share price of COIN (Coinbase Global), while MSTY is tied to MSTR (MicroStrategy, now operating as "Strategy"), giving them different crypto-adjacent exposure profiles.
  • Both funds are non-diversified and highly concentrated, with the bulk of assets held in U.S. Treasury securities used as options collateral rather than in the underlying stocks themselves.
  • Expense ratios are nearly identical, at 1.04% for CONY and 1.03% for MSTY, and both funds are structurally geared toward income rather than capital appreciation.
  • MSTY carries materially higher volatility risk because MSTR operates as a leveraged proxy for Bitcoin, whereas CONY's exposure reflects a crypto exchange operator.

Introduction

CONY and MSTY are frequently compared because they belong to the same fast-growing product family: YieldMax's suite of option-income ETFs. The two funds do not directly compete for identical exposure, but they serve a similar investor goal — generating high current income from the volatility of a single, crypto-linked stock while accepting a cap on upside gains. For income-oriented investors deciding between the two, the structural differences matter: CONY derives its strategy from Coinbase Global, a cryptocurrency exchange platform, while MSTY is built around MicroStrategy, a company whose balance sheet is dominated by Bitcoin holdings. This ETF comparison clarifies how sector exposure, fund performance, and relative positioning diverge despite a shared engine.

YieldMax COIN Option Income Strategy ETF (CONY) Overview

CONY seeks current income with a secondary objective of gaining exposure to the share price of Coinbase Global (COIN), subject to a limit on potential gains. Launched in August 2023, it is an actively managed, non-diversified fund that employs a synthetic covered call strategy — meaning it does not hold COIN shares directly but instead buys call options and sells put options to replicate exposure, then sells short-term call options against that synthetic position to generate premium income.

The portfolio is typically concentrated in roughly 25 holdings. Its top positions are overwhelmingly U.S. Treasury bills and notes, which serve as collateral for the options overlay, alongside COIN call options and a government money-market fund. Net expense ratio is 1.04%, which is elevated relative to conventional index ETFs but typical for this specialized derivative-income category. Distributions are generally declared on a monthly basis and can fluctuate significantly with options premium levels.

YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) Overview

MSTY pursues the same objective as CONY but is tied to the share price of MicroStrategy (MSTR), now operating as "Strategy," subject to a cap on gains. Launched in February 2024, it is also an actively managed, non-diversified fund using an identical synthetic covered call framework: synthetic long exposure to MSTR, short call options sold for income, and U.S. Treasuries held as collateral.

MSTY holds roughly 20 positions, with U.S. Treasury bills and notes again dominating the top of the list, followed by MSTR call options and a government money-market fund. Its net expense ratio is 1.03%, marginally below CONY. Like CONY, MSTY distributes income regularly and is designed for investors prioritizing current income over full participation in the underlying stock's upside. The key differentiator is the nature of the underlying company: MSTR's equity behaves more like a leveraged Bitcoin vehicle than a conventional operating business.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds sit at the intersection of the crypto/digital-asset theme and the options-income segment. Recent market cycles have been shaped by Bitcoin's price action, the growth of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded products, evolving U.S. regulatory posture toward digital assets, and shifts in interest-rate expectations. Higher short-term Treasury yields have supported the collateral income component of these strategies, while crypto volatility has boosted options premiums. At the same time, this environment has produced sharp drawdowns: because covered call strategies retain most of the downside of the underlying stock while capping upside, both funds can decline substantially during crypto selloffs even as they distribute income.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and across recent market cycles, MSTY has exhibited greater volatility than CONY, reflecting MSTR's status as a high-beta, Bitcoin-linked treasury company versus COIN's role as an exchange operator with more diversified revenue lines. Both funds have generated elevated distribution yields, but both have also experienced significant price depreciation on a total-return basis in the recent period, consistent with the asymmetric payoff of synthetic covered call strategies during market downturns. Fund performance here is best understood as a function of each underlying stock's earnings cycle and crypto exposure: COIN's results track trading volumes and platform activity, while MSTR's value hinges heavily on Bitcoin prices and its accumulation strategy. Investors weighing relative positioning should recognize that MSTY offers more amplified crypto sensitivity, whereas CONY provides comparatively broader, though still concentrated, exposure to the digital-asset economy.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities far more efficiently than manual screening. To apply these capabilities to your own ETF comparison and uncover actionable candidates, explore the AI Screener today.

Tickeron AI Verdict

On a forward-looking, probabilistic basis, Tickeron's AI would likely favor CONY for investors seeking comparatively less extreme volatility within the options-income crypto theme. While MSTY has historically delivered higher income and stronger momentum during Bitcoin rallies, its underlying (MSTR) behaves as a leveraged Bitcoin proxy, exposing shareholders to outsized drawdown risk that can erode total return even when distributions are high. CONY's underlying (COIN) is still volatile but has a more diversified operating business, and its expense ratio difference (1.04% versus 1.03%) is negligible. The AI's preference therefore hinges on risk-adjusted structural strength rather than yield alone, favoring CONY's comparatively balanced risk profile in the current market environment.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
CONY vs. MSTY commentary
Nov 04, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CONY is a Hold and MSTY is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for CONY with price predictions
Nov 03, 2026

Momentum Indicator for CONY turns negative, indicating new downward trend

CONY saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 48 of the 52 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CONY turned negative on September 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 26 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

CONY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CONY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 7 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CONY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for CONY entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CONY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 28 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CONY advanced for three days, in 179 of 194 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

CONY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for MSTY with price predictions
Nov 03, 2026

MSTY in +3.73% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on November 03, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where MSTY advanced for three days, in 138 of 152 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

MSTY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MSTY as a result. In 43 of 49 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MSTY turned negative on September 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 20 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 18 of the 20 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

MSTY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MSTY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 7 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSTY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for MSTY entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
CONYMSTY
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
89%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
90%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
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Daily Signal:
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