Advertisement
COP vs DVN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ConocoPhillips (COP) vs. Devon Energy (DVN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- COP is a globally diversified oil and gas producer with a stronger balance sheet, while DVN is a U.S.-focused shale operator that has delivered stronger recent price momentum.
- Both companies completed transformative mergers in the recent period, reshaping their portfolios and production profiles.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on trend consistency, diversification, and balance-sheet stability, the AI currently favors COP over DVN.
- Explore deeper coverage at COP Major News and COP Today's Price Move, as well as DVN Major News and DVN Today's Price Move.
- For automated, data-driven trade ideas across thousands of tickers, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Energy equities have been a focal point for traders and investors in recent market activity, as elevated crude prices and shifting global supply dynamics reshape relative performance across the sector. This stock comparison examines two prominent U.S. exploration and production (E&P) companies — ConocoPhillips (COP) and Devon Energy (DVN) — that occupy different niches within the same industry. ConocoPhillips is a large, globally diversified independent, while Devon Energy is a domestically focused shale producer. Investors weighing scale and geographic diversification against concentrated U.S. shale exposure may find this head-to-head comparison useful when evaluating market positioning and risk trade-offs.
COP Overview and Recent Performance
ConocoPhillips (COP) is one of the world's largest independent E&P companies, with a portfolio spanning the Permian, Eagle Ford, and Bakken basins in the Lower 48, long-life assets in Alaska, and international operations including liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects. In recent weeks, the company has benefited from elevated crude prices, which have more than offset softer production tied to regional disruptions and Canadian royalty adjustments. Its first-quarter results showed adjusted earnings that surpassed analyst expectations, supported by strong capital efficiency and cost discipline. The company completed its acquisition of Marathon Oil, adding low-cost supply inventory adjacent to its U.S. unconventional position, and has advanced its Alaska Willow project while maintaining a commitment to returning a substantial share of operating cash flow to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. A comparatively low debt-to-capitalization ratio has reinforced its reputation for balance-sheet resilience across commodity cycles.
DVN Overview and Recent Performance
Devon Energy (DVN) is an independent U.S. oil and natural gas producer focused on key shale basins, with a leading position in the Delaware Basin portion of the Permian. Recent market activity has centered on its combination with Coterra Energy, a merger that created one of the largest independent U.S. oil producers and meaningfully expanded its scale. Management has guided toward meaningful annual cost synergies and has prioritized free cash flow generation, raising its quarterly dividend and initiating a sizable share repurchase program. In a further step to sharpen its portfolio, Devon agreed to sell its Eagle Ford assets in a multi-billion-dollar cash transaction, redirecting capital toward its core Permian operations. The stock has posted robust gains over the trailing year, reflecting stronger realized prices, production growth, and investor enthusiasm for its post-merger efficiency story.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of automated trading bots drawn from a larger universe of hundreds of AI-powered systems that collectively trade thousands of different tickers. Because market conditions change continuously, only the strategies best suited to the current environment earn a place in this featured section. The available bots span a wide range of trading styles, timeframes, performance profiles, and statistical characteristics, each tailored to a distinct set of tickers and risk parameters. This variety allows traders to evaluate approaches ranging from shorter-term momentum to more measured, trend-following strategies. For those interested in automating their research process, exploring the Trending AI Robots page offers a practical starting point.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between the two names is scope. COP offers global diversification, with international LNG exposure and long-life conventional assets that can cushion localized disruptions, whereas DVN is concentrated in U.S. onshore shale, making it more directly sensitive to domestic basin economics and Permian gas takeaway conditions. On momentum, DVN has outperformed over the past year, driven by its merger-driven scale gains and a sharpened portfolio, while COP has advanced at a steadier clip supported by a more defensive financial profile. Risk factors differ as well: COP carries moderate geopolitical exposure through its Qatar LNG operations, whereas DVN faces integration and execution risk following a large merger. From a market positioning standpoint, both reward investors for commodity-price strength, but their divergent operating footprints create meaningfully different risk-reward profiles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing trend consistency, diversification, and balance-sheet stability, Tickeron's AI currently leans toward COP over DVN. ConocoPhillips' global asset base, lower leverage, and disciplined capital-return framework tend to support more consistent trends across market cycles, even as Devon Energy's stronger recent momentum and post-merger efficiency narrative remain compelling. The preference is probabilistic rather than definitive: DVN may appeal to investors seeking higher-beta exposure to U.S. shale and near-term catalysts, while COP offers a comparatively steadier relative performance profile in volatile energy markets.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is COP is a Hold and DVN is a Hold.
COP in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on October 08, 2026
COP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 25 of the 36 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for COP moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 29 of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 64%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 44 of 67 cases where COP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on COP as a result. In 54 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for COP turned negative on November 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 61%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
COP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for COP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +3.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COP advanced for three days, in 231 of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 204 of 309 cases where COP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. COP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.655) is normal, around the industry mean (3.719). P/E Ratio (19.101) is within average values for comparable stocks, (4.017). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.066) is also within normal values, averaging (1.958). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.573) is also within normal values, averaging (5.980).
DVN saw its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from the overbought zone
The Stochastic Oscillator for DVN moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 59 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In 43 of the 59 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DVN as a result. In 55 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DVN turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.
DVN moved below its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DVN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +5.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DVN advanced for three days, in 229 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
DVN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 148 of 214 cases where DVN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DVN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DVN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.255) is normal, around the industry mean (3.719). P/E Ratio (10.330) is within average values for comparable stocks, (4.017). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.925) is also within normal values, averaging (1.958). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.730) is also within normal values, averaging (5.980).
COP | DVN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 83 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 81 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 71 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 65 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 27 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 12 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DVN's Valuation (81) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as COP (83). This means that DVN’s stock grew similarly to COP’s over the last 12 months.
COP's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DVN (71). This means that COP’s stock grew somewhat faster than DVN’s over the last 12 months.
COP's SMR Rating (59) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (65). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
COP's Price Growth Rating (5) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (27). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
COP's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (12). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
| COP | DVN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 67% | 10 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 69% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COP’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while DVN’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- COP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- DVN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DVN’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- DVN’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
COP (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -2.41% price change this week, while DVN (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -7.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -12.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.98%.
Reported Earning Dates
COP is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
DVN is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-12.68% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
Advertisement
COP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, COP has been closely correlated with EOG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if COP jumps, then EOG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To COP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COP | 100% | -1.66% | ||
| EOG - COP | 86% Closely correlated | -1.72% | ||
| DVN - COP | 82% Closely correlated | -2.08% | ||
| CHRD - COP | 82% Closely correlated | -2.42% | ||
| OXY - COP | 82% Closely correlated | -0.48% | ||
| MTDR - COP | 80% Closely correlated | -2.60% | ||
More | ||||