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COP vs DVN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ConocoPhillips (COP) vs. Devon Energy (DVN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Devon Energy (DVN) outperforms year-to-date with +38.75% gains compared to ConocoPhillips' (COP) +32.62%, driven by strong sector momentum.
- COP holds a larger market cap ($150B vs. $31B) and lower debt-to-equity ratio (36% vs. 56%), signaling greater financial stability.
- DVN trades at a cheaper forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio (9.55 vs. 13.26) and boasts higher return on equity (ROE) at 17.74%.
- Recent oil price surges have supported both, but DVN benefits from merger speculation with Coterra, boosting sentiment.
- Both face commodity volatility, with COP showing earnings resilience amid production challenges in recent quarters.
Introduction
ConocoPhillips (COP) and Devon Energy (DVN) are prominent independent oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) companies, heavily exposed to crude oil and natural gas price fluctuations. This comparison is timely amid recent geopolitical tensions and oil price rallies, which have lifted energy stocks. Traders seeking momentum plays and long-term investors eyeing valuation trade-offs in the upstream sector will find value here. Both operate primarily in U.S. shale plays but differ in scale and portfolio focus, offering insights into relative performance, risk profiles, and market positioning in the evolving energy landscape.
COP Overview and Recent Performance
ConocoPhillips (COP) is a global E&P giant with assets spanning North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific, emphasizing low-cost shale production and liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects like Willow. In recent market activity, its shares have traded within a 52-week range of $84.28 to $135.87, reflecting volatility tied to oil benchmarks. Year-to-date gains stand at +32.62%, supported by higher crude prices amid supply concerns. Recent quarterly earnings revealed a 21% profit dip to $2.2 billion due to lower output, yet cash flows remained robust, with management highlighting disciplined capital returns and project milestones. Sentiment has been influenced by Brent crude spikes and geopolitical risks, positioning COP as a stable large-cap option despite short-term pullbacks.
DVN Overview and Recent Performance
Devon Energy (DVN) focuses on high-margin U.S. onshore assets, particularly the Permian Basin, prioritizing free cash flow generation and variable dividends. Shares have ranged from $29.70 to $52.71 over 52 weeks, with year-to-date returns of +38.75% outpacing peers amid favorable commodity dynamics. Recent weeks have seen modest declines, but analyst earnings estimates have risen significantly, fueled by potential merger talks with Coterra Energy. Profitability metrics shine with a 16.47% net margin, and upcoming quarterly results are anticipated positively. Oil price strength and basin efficiency have driven sentiment, though leverage remains a watchpoint.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both COP and DVN are pure-play upstream E&P firms, but COP's global diversification contrasts DVN's U.S.-centric focus, reducing COP's basin-specific risks. Growth drivers include Permian efficiencies for both, though DVN edges on ROE (17.74% vs. 11.28%) and margins (16% vs. 12%). Recent momentum favors DVN's YTD lead, but COP offers lower beta-like stability. Risks encompass oil volatility and energy transition pressures, with DVN higher debt (56% vs. 36% debt/equity). Valuation tilts to DVN (forward P/E 9.55 vs. 13.26), while sentiment reflects DVN's M&A buzz versus COP's scale advantages (M&A: mergers and acquisitions).
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward DVN based on superior YTD momentum, attractive forward valuation, elevated profitability, and merger catalysts, which enhance its relative positioning in a commodity-up cycle. COP trails slightly due to recent earnings softness but remains competitive for stability seekers. This probabilistic edge favors DVN amid observable trends, though energy sector dynamics warrant monitoring.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is COP is a Hold and DVN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileDVN’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- COP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- DVN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DVN’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DVN’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
COP (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -0.14% price change this week, while DVN (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was +2.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was +0.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.88%.
Reported Earning Dates
COP is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
DVN is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (+0.22% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| COP | DVN | COP / DVN | |
| Capitalization | 143B | 52.3B | 273% |
| EBITDA | 24.6B | 7.06B | 348% |
| Gain YTD | 26.874 | 24.343 | 110% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.83 | 12.62 | 157% |
| Revenue | 58.2B | 16.5B | 353% |
| Total Cash | 6.36B | 1.82B | 351% |
| Total Debt | 23.3B | 8.59B | 271% |
COP | DVN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 80 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 43 Fair valued | 69 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 65 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 68 | 57 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 17 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
COP's Valuation (43) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (69). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
COP's Profit vs Risk Rating (33) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (65). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
DVN's SMR Rating (57) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as COP (68). This means that DVN’s stock grew similarly to COP’s over the last 12 months.
COP's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (49). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
COP's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (17). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
| COP | DVN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 67% | 14 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 57% | 10 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 41% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 64% |
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COP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, COP has been closely correlated with EOG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if COP jumps, then EOG could also see price increases.
DVN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DVN has been closely correlated with CHRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DVN jumps, then CHRD could also see price increases.