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COP vs DVN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ConocoPhillips (COP) vs. Devon Energy (DVN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ConocoPhillips (COP) maintains a significantly larger market capitalization and greater geographic diversification compared to Devon Energy (DVN), which operates primarily in U.S. shale plays.
- Both stocks have delivered strong year-to-date performance, with COP showing slightly higher returns amid recent market activity.
- COP recently announced an acquisition of a 42% stake in a BP venture in Iraq’s Kirkuk region, adding international exposure, while DVN is exploring a potential multi-billion-dollar divestiture of Eagle Ford and Powder River assets.
- COP trades at a higher valuation multiple, reflecting its scale and diversified asset base, whereas DVN offers a leaner cost structure and potentially higher sensitivity to operational improvements.
- Sentiment remains constructive for both names, supported by analyst coverage and positioning ahead of upcoming quarterly earnings reports in early August 2026.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between stability and growth catalysts versus valuation discounts and asset optimization opportunities.
Introduction
ConocoPhillips (COP) and Devon Energy (DVN) represent two prominent players in the energy sector, offering investors exposure to oil and natural gas production. This comparison examines their business models, recent stock behavior, and relative positioning in the current market environment. Traders and investors focused on the energy space, including those evaluating large-cap integrated producers versus mid-cap independents, may find this analysis relevant for assessing diversification benefits, valuation differentials, and sector-specific momentum. The review draws on observable market data and developments from recent weeks to provide a balanced perspective on how the two stocks have performed amid fluctuating commodity prices and macroeconomic conditions.
COP Overview and Recent Performance
ConocoPhillips (COP) is a major independent exploration and production company with operations spanning multiple continents and a diversified portfolio that includes conventional and unconventional assets. In recent market activity, the stock has exhibited steady upward momentum, closing near $120.26 on July 24, 2026, after seven consecutive sessions of gains and delivering approximately 28-30% year-to-date returns. Recent developments include the announcement of an agreement to acquire a 42% interest in BP’s Kirkuk venture in northern Iraq, which could enhance long-term production capacity. Analyst sentiment has remained supportive, with multiple firms issuing Buy ratings and price target adjustments. Broader influences on performance include stable production guidance updates from earlier in the year and positioning ahead of second-quarter earnings expected in early August 2026.
DVN Overview and Recent Performance
Devon Energy (DVN) is a U.S.-focused independent oil and natural gas producer with key operations in shale basins such as the Permian and Eagle Ford. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $45.04, reflecting modest fluctuations and delivering approximately 24% year-to-date returns. Notable developments include reports that the company is evaluating the potential sale of its Eagle Ford and Powder River assets, which could generate proceeds exceeding $4 billion. The firm is scheduled to report second-quarter results in early August 2026. Market positioning reflects a lean operational profile and ongoing focus on capital discipline, with analyst coverage showing a mix of Buy and Hold ratings alongside periodic target revisions. Performance has been influenced by commodity price movements and portfolio optimization efforts in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ConocoPhillips (COP) and Devon Energy (DVN) differ markedly in scale and business model. COP operates as a globally diversified producer with exposure across 16 countries and a market capitalization several times larger than DVN’s, providing resilience through international assets and major projects such as LNG developments. DVN maintains a more concentrated U.S. shale focus, enabling potentially faster operational adjustments and a leaner cost base. Recent momentum has favored COP’s steadier gains and acquisition-driven catalysts, while DVN’s valuation discount offers a trade-off for investors seeking higher-beta exposure to domestic production improvements or asset monetization. Sector exposure overlaps in energy commodities, yet risk factors vary: COP faces complexity from long-cycle international ventures, whereas DVN contends with greater sensitivity to North American price differentials and divestiture outcomes. Market sentiment reflects broader analyst support for both, tempered by commodity volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, breadth of growth catalysts, institutional positioning, and relative financial stability, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a moderate probabilistic preference to ConocoPhillips (COP) over Devon Energy (DVN) in the prevailing environment. COP’s diversified asset base and visible project pipeline appear to align more closely with conditions favoring stability and multi-year visibility, though DVN’s discounted valuation and optimization initiatives could appeal in scenarios emphasizing near-term self-help measures. This assessment remains probabilistic and reflects relative positioning rather than absolute outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is COP is a Hold and DVN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileDVN’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- COP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- DVN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DVN’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DVN’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
COP (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +4.84% price change this week, while DVN (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was +2.76% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -1.57%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.85%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.48%.
Reported Earning Dates
COP is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
DVN is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-1.57% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| COP | DVN | COP / DVN | |
| Capitalization | 147B | 49.8B | 295% |
| EBITDA | 24.6B | 7.06B | 348% |
| Gain YTD | 30.431 | 24.481 | 124% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.38 | 12.02 | 170% |
| Revenue | 58.2B | 16.5B | 353% |
| Total Cash | 6.36B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 23.3B | 8.59B | 271% |
COP | DVN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 6 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 55 Fair valued | 77 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 68 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 67 | 57 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 15 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
COP's Valuation (55) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (77). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
COP's Profit vs Risk Rating (33) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DVN (68). This means that COP’s stock grew somewhat faster than DVN’s over the last 12 months.
DVN's SMR Rating (57) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as COP (67). This means that DVN’s stock grew similarly to COP’s over the last 12 months.
COP's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (45). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
COP's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (15). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
| COP | DVN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 5 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 57% | 13 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 64% |
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COP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, COP has been closely correlated with EOG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if COP jumps, then EOG could also see price increases.