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COP vs DVN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ConocoPhillips (COP) vs. Devon Energy (DVN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- COP reported strong Q2 2026 results with adjusted EPS of $3.24, raised production guidance, and announced a leadership transition effective September 2026.
- DVN completed its merger with Coterra Energy in May 2026, targeting $1 billion in annual synergies while delivering Q2 production and free cash flow above guidance.
- Both companies operate in the oil and gas exploration and production sector, with COP maintaining a larger market capitalization and broader international exposure compared to DVN's U.S.-focused portfolio.
- Recent market activity shows COP with year-to-date gains exceeding 40% amid favorable oil prices and operational execution, while DVN posted solid returns supported by post-merger integration.
- COP has emphasized shareholder distributions through increased share repurchases and dividends, while DVN has prioritized debt reduction alongside buybacks and a raised dividend.
- Relative positioning favors COP for scale and stability, whereas DVN offers potential upside from merger synergies and asset optimization in the current environment.
Introduction
ConocoPhillips (COP) and Devon Energy (DVN) represent two prominent players in the oil and gas exploration and production sector. This comparison examines their business models, recent operational results, and relative performance to assist traders and investors evaluating exposure within the energy space. Portfolio managers, sector-focused traders, and long-term investors monitoring commodity price cycles and corporate developments may find this analysis relevant for assessing positioning and risk-return profiles in the current market environment.
COP Overview and Recent Performance
ConocoPhillips is a major independent exploration and production company with operations spanning multiple basins and international regions. In recent weeks, the stock has reflected positive sentiment driven by robust second-quarter 2026 earnings that exceeded expectations, including adjusted earnings per share of $3.24 and strong cash flow generation. The company raised production guidance, doubled share repurchases, and announced a planned leadership succession with Andy O'Brien succeeding as CEO effective September 1, 2026. Additional catalysts include agreements supporting redevelopment in Iraq and re-entry into Syria. Market activity in recent periods has shown resilience amid fluctuating oil prices, with year-to-date gains supported by operational execution and favorable realized prices.
DVN Overview and Recent Performance
Devon Energy focuses on U.S. onshore assets, particularly in the Permian and other shale plays. Recent performance has been influenced by the May 2026 all-stock merger with Coterra Energy, which closed rapidly and initiated integration efforts targeting $1 billion in annual pre-tax synergies by year-end 2027. Second-quarter results beat guidance on production volumes and costs, generating substantial adjusted free cash flow. The company completed its 2026 debt reduction target, raised its quarterly dividend, and executed share repurchases. Portfolio optimization, including a significant Delaware Basin lease acquisition, has contributed to tightened production outlook and positive sentiment in recent market activity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ConocoPhillips operates at a larger scale with greater geographic diversification, including international assets that provide broader exposure to global supply dynamics. Devon Energy, post-merger, benefits from enhanced U.S. shale concentration and identified cost synergies that could improve margins over time. Growth drivers differ: COP emphasizes production growth and international redevelopment projects, while DVN focuses on integration efficiencies and domestic inventory expansion. Recent momentum has favored COP through consistent earnings beats and capital return initiatives, whereas DVN has highlighted debt reduction and raised shareholder distributions. Risk factors include commodity price volatility for both, with COP carrying geopolitical considerations from overseas operations and DVN facing integration execution risks. Market sentiment remains constructive for the sector, though relative valuations reflect COP's premium positioning versus DVN's potential for re-rating on synergy realization.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to COP. Its larger scale, international diversification, and recent operational catalysts support more consistent performance signals compared to DVN's post-merger adjustments. This assessment remains probabilistic and tied to prevailing data rather than forward projections.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is COP is a StrongBuy and DVN is a Hold.
COP | DVN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 87 | 83 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 56 Fair valued | 70 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 64 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 65 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 17 | 17 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
COP's Valuation (56) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (70). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
COP's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DVN (64). This means that COP’s stock grew somewhat faster than DVN’s over the last 12 months.
COP's SMR Rating (59) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (65). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
COP's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (42). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
COP's P/E Growth Rating (17) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (17). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
| COP | DVN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 56% | 5 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 70% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while DVN’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- COP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- DVN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DVN’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- DVN’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
COP (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -3.44% price change this week, while DVN (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -3.21% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was +0.46%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.53%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.12%.
Reported Earning Dates
COP is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
DVN is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (+0.46% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
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COP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, COP has been closely correlated with EOG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if COP jumps, then EOG could also see price increases.
DVN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DVN has been closely correlated with CHRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DVN jumps, then CHRD could also see price increases.