Energy investors weighing two prominent U.S. shale producers often land on CHRD and DVN — two names that, despite operating in the same sector, offer sharply different risk-and-reward profiles. Chord Energy (CHRD) is a concentrated, Williston Basin pure-play, while Devon Energy (DVN) is a diversified large-cap that just absorbed Coterra Energy to become one of the largest independent producers in the country. This stock comparison examines their recent relative performance, market positioning, and catalysts, providing a practical framework for traders and long-term investors evaluating where value and momentum currently align.
CHRD (Chord Energy) is an independent exploration and production company focused almost entirely on the oil-rich Williston Basin of North Dakota and Montana, targeting the Middle Bakken and Three Forks formations. The company has emphasized capital discipline, long-lateral development, and shareholder returns, recently repurchasing $205 million of stock in the third quarter of 2026 and announcing a $550 million divestiture of its non-operated Marcellus assets.
Recent market activity has rewarded that focus. The stock has climbed more than 60% year to date, driven by production volumes that exceeded the top end of guidance and a leadership transition that named long-time executive Michael Lou as CEO. Analysts have broadly maintained Buy ratings, with several firms raising price targets in recent weeks. Chord's relatively low leverage and commitment to returning at least 75% of adjusted free cash flow have reinforced investor confidence, even as commodity-price sensitivity remains a key risk.
DVN (Devon Energy) is a large, diversified independent producer anchored in the Delaware Basin of the Permian. In May 2026, Devon completed its all-stock, $58 billion merger with Coterra Energy, creating one of the largest shale operators in the world, with 2026 production targeted at roughly 1.38 million barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) per day. The company has since moved to streamline its portfolio, agreeing in October to sell its Eagle Ford assets to Crescent Energy for $4.2 billion in cash.
Devon's shares have also advanced strongly over the past year, returning more than 60% through late October 2026, supported by firmer oil prices and the merger's expected $1 billion in annual pre-tax synergies by year-end 2027. Management is targeting $8 billion in share buybacks alongside a fixed quarterly dividend. However, the integration of Coterra, a larger debt load, and post-merger fluctuations in reported free cash flow introduce execution considerations that investors continue to weigh against the stock's scale and diversification.
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The clearest contrast between these two names is scale and focus. CHRD is a mid-cap Williston pure-play with a roughly $8–9 billion market capitalization, concentrated geographic exposure, and a comparatively modest balance sheet. DVN is a roughly $57 billion large-cap with multi-basin diversification across the Permian and beyond, giving it broader resource depth but also greater integration complexity.
On momentum, CHRD has shown the stronger relative strength profile in recent weeks, with a higher year-to-date gain and improving technical ratings, while DVN's advance has been substantial but somewhat more uneven amid post-merger transition. Growth drivers also differ: CHRD's story centers on long-lateral efficiency gains and disciplined capital returns, whereas DVN's hinges on merger synergies, asset rationalization, and deleveraging. Risk factors are likewise distinct — CHRD carries concentrated commodity and basin risk, while DVN faces integration execution and a larger debt burden. Both carry elevated sensitivity to oil and natural gas prices, a common sector exposure that amplifies volatility across the group.
Weighing trend consistency, balance-sheet positioning, and observable execution, Tickeron's AI currently leans toward CHRD over DVN. Chord's cleaner capital structure, steady operational beats, and sustained upward momentum present a more stable, trend-aligned profile, while Devon's larger scale and synergies are partly offset by post-merger integration risk and a heavier debt load. This assessment reflects relative market positioning and probabilistic signal strength rather than a forecast, and it could shift as earnings, commodity prices, and integration milestones evolve.
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The 10-day moving average for CHRD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 16 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CHRD as a result. In 77 of 100 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CHRD just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where CHRD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
CHRD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +5.73% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHRD advanced for three days, in 256 of 355 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 176 of 255 cases where CHRD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CHRD moved out of overbought territory on October 26, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 68%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 49 of 71 cases where CHRD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHRD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
CHRD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 35 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.027) is normal, around the industry mean (3.876). P/E Ratio (10.607) is within average values for comparable stocks, (4.118). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.010) is also within normal values, averaging (1.958). Dividend Yield (0.033) settles around the average of (0.045) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.327) is also within normal values, averaging (5.980).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CHRD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DVN turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where DVN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DVN as a result. In 58 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
DVN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +5.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DVN advanced for three days, in 229 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 148 of 214 cases where DVN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DVN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
DVN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DVN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.374) is normal, around the industry mean (3.876). P/E Ratio (11.312) is within average values for comparable stocks, (4.118). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.925) is also within normal values, averaging (1.958). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.045) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.730) is also within normal values, averaging (5.980).
CHRD | DVN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 35 Fair valued | 83 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 64 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 69 | 65 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 13 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 89 | 8 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CHRD's Valuation (35) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DVN (83). This means that CHRD’s stock grew somewhat faster than DVN’s over the last 12 months.
CHRD's Profit vs Risk Rating (44) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (64). This means that CHRD’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
DVN's SMR Rating (65) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as CHRD (69). This means that DVN’s stock grew similarly to CHRD’s over the last 12 months.
DVN's Price Growth Rating (13) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as CHRD (37). This means that DVN’s stock grew similarly to CHRD’s over the last 12 months.
DVN's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is significantly better than the same rating for CHRD (89). This means that DVN’s stock grew significantly faster than CHRD’s over the last 12 months.
| CHRD | DVN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 72% | 8 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 64% | 12 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 69% |
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CHRD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while DVN’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CHRD’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DVN’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
CHRD (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -0.72% price change this week, while DVN (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was +1.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -5.65%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.04%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.98%.
CHRD is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
DVN is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CHRD has been closely correlated with PR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CHRD jumps, then PR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CHRD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHRD | 100% | +2.19% | ||
| PR - CHRD | 86% Closely correlated | +1.76% | ||
| OVV - CHRD | 86% Closely correlated | +1.47% | ||
| DVN - CHRD | 86% Closely correlated | +1.92% | ||
| SM - CHRD | 85% Closely correlated | +2.02% | ||
| MGY - CHRD | 85% Closely correlated | +1.07% | ||
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| HYDW | 46.20 | 0.08 | +0.18% |
| Xtrackers Low Beta High Yield Bond ETF (HYDW) | |||
| FTHB | 24.52 | -0.04 | -0.18% |
| FIS Faith Income ETF (FTHB) | |||
| MEGI | 14.37 | -0.03 | -0.21% |
| NYLI CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Term Fund | |||
| PJFV | 100.98 | -1.43 | -1.40% |
| PGIM Jennison Focused Value ETF (PJFV) | |||
| BBJP | 75.07 | -1.59 | -2.07% |
| JPMorgan BetaBuilders Japan ETF (BBJP) | |||