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DVN vs MGY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) vs. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both DVN and MGY have posted year-to-date (YTD) gains near 38%, highlighting shared strength in the upstream oil and gas sector amid favorable commodity prices.
- DVN trades at a lower trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.12 compared to MGY's 17.39, offering potential value in recent market activity.
- Merger discussions involving DVN and Coterra have driven positive sentiment, while MGY stands out with higher profit margins (24.79%) and lower debt-to-equity (20.99%).
- Both stocks approach Q1 earnings releases, with analysts raising estimates for DVN and MGY citing operational resilience.
- Tickeron's analysis suggests MGY as a stronger long-term pick, but DVN holds near-term edge from catalysts.
Introduction
Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) and Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) represent key players in the upstream oil and natural gas exploration and production (E&P) segment. Both companies have exhibited parallel strength in recent market conditions, with shares advancing amid steady oil prices and sector tailwinds. This comparison suits energy sector investors and traders evaluating relative performance, valuation trade-offs, and positioning ahead of earnings. By examining business models, momentum, and risk profiles, readers gain insights into potential opportunities in a cyclical industry dominated by commodity dynamics.
DVN Overview and Recent Performance
Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) is an independent energy producer focused on oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas, with core assets in the Delaware Basin, Eagle Ford, and Williston Basin. In recent months, DVN shares have climbed significantly, up over 38% YTD and nearly 67% over the past year, supported by robust production and favorable oil prices. Speculation around a potential merger with Coterra has fueled optimism, alongside analyst upgrades tied to earnings outlook. Despite occasional dips amid broader market volatility, sentiment remains positive with a market cap of $31.42 billion and beta of 0.48 indicating relative stability. Upcoming Q1 earnings are anticipated to reflect steady operations.
MGY Overview and Recent Performance
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) concentrates on high-return oil and gas assets in the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk plays in South Texas. Shares have mirrored sector peers, gaining about 38% YTD with a 52-week range from $20.45 to $32.76. Recent performance reflects operational efficiency, including Q4 earnings beats and quarterly dividend announcements, bolstering investor confidence. Trading at a $5.75 billion market cap with a beta of 0.83, MGY has shown resilience despite monthly fluctuations, driven by strong profitability margins and production growth. Q1 results, due soon, are expected to highlight continued cost discipline.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both DVN and MGY operate in upstream E&P, but DVN's diversified basins provide broader exposure versus MGY's Texas-centric focus. Growth drivers hinge on oil prices for both, though MGY edges in profit margins (24.79% vs. 16.47%) and return on equity (ROE) balance with lower debt/equity (21% vs. 56%). Recent momentum is comparable YTD, but DVN benefits from M&A (mergers and acquisitions) buzz, while MGY emphasizes dividends. Risk profiles differ: DVN's lower beta (0.48) signals less volatility, contrasted by MGY's higher leverage efficiency. Market sentiment favors DVN on analyst targets (17% upside vs. 12%).
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors DVN over MGY, citing superior trend consistency from merger catalysts, attractive forward P/E (9.55), and higher analyst upside potential. While MGY offers balance sheet strength, DVN's scale and stability position it probabilistically better amid energy volatility and earnings catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DVN is a Hold and MGY is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DVN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMGY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- DVN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MGY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DVN’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MGY’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DVN’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MGY’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DVN (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +2.33% price change this week, while MGY (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was +0.40% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was +0.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.88%.
Reported Earning Dates
DVN is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
MGY is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (+0.22% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| DVN | MGY | DVN / MGY | |
| Capitalization | 52.3B | 5.11B | 1,024% |
| EBITDA | 7.06B | 875M | 807% |
| Gain YTD | 24.343 | 27.691 | 88% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.62 | 15.97 | 79% |
| Revenue | 16.5B | 1.32B | 1,250% |
| Total Cash | 1.82B | 124M | 1,464% |
| Total Debt | 8.59B | 413M | 2,080% |
DVN | MGY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 28 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 69 Overvalued | 39 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 65 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 57 | 55 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 17 | 25 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MGY's Valuation (39) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (69). This means that MGY’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
MGY's Profit vs Risk Rating (32) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DVN (65). This means that MGY’s stock grew somewhat faster than DVN’s over the last 12 months.
MGY's SMR Rating (55) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (57). This means that MGY’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
DVN's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MGY (52). This means that DVN’s stock grew similarly to MGY’s over the last 12 months.
DVN's P/E Growth Rating (17) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MGY (25). This means that DVN’s stock grew similarly to MGY’s over the last 12 months.
| DVN | MGY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 69% | 10 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 68% | 18 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | N/A |
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DVN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DVN has been closely correlated with CHRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DVN jumps, then CHRD could also see price increases.