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COP vs FANG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ConocoPhillips (COP) vs. Diamondback Energy (FANG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- COP and FANG are both independent oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) companies, with COP offering broader global operations and FANG concentrating on the Permian Basin.
- Year-to-date through July 31, 2026, FANG delivered a 36.56% total return compared to COP’s 30.67%, outpacing the S&P 500’s 9.41% gain.
- FANG reported a strong Q1 2026 earnings beat with adjusted EPS of $4.23 versus consensus estimates around $3.75, raised production guidance, and increased its base dividend.
- COP maintains a larger market capitalization of approximately $146.8 billion versus FANG’s $57.1 billion, supporting greater scale and diversification.
- Upcoming Q2 2026 earnings for FANG (August 3) and COP (August 6) represent near-term catalysts that could influence relative sentiment.
- Sector exposure to crude oil prices and operational execution remains a shared risk factor, with FANG exhibiting higher beta and recent price volatility.
Introduction
ConocoPhillips (COP) and Diamondback Energy (FANG) represent two prominent independent exploration and production companies in the energy sector. Both firms generate cash flow from oil and natural gas assets, yet differ in scale, geographic reach, and asset concentration. This comparison appeals to traders monitoring energy equities, investors seeking exposure to commodity price movements, and those evaluating relative performance within the oil and gas E&P industry amid fluctuating crude prices and evolving production outlooks.
COP Overview and Recent Performance
ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, natural gas, and related products across multiple regions, including Alaska, the Lower 48, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia Pacific. The company’s diversified portfolio supports resilience through varying market conditions. In recent market activity, COP shares traded near $120.48 as of July 31, 2026, contributing to a year-to-date total return of 30.67%. Performance reflected broader energy sector dynamics and company-specific developments, including upcoming Q2 2026 earnings scheduled for August 6. Sentiment has been shaped by stable dividend yields around 2.79% and analyst price targets averaging $141, indicating measured optimism tied to operational execution and commodity prices.
FANG Overview and Recent Performance
Diamondback Energy focuses on acquiring, developing, and exploiting unconventional oil and natural gas reserves primarily in the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico. The company’s concentrated asset base enables efficient scaling in a high-productivity region. In recent market activity, FANG shares closed at $202.95 on July 31, 2026, delivering a year-to-date total return of 36.56%. Key influences included a Q1 2026 earnings beat, upward revisions to production guidance, and a dividend increase, alongside a recovery from earlier July volatility linked to oil price movements. Upcoming Q2 2026 results, expected August 3, continue to draw attention from market participants tracking Permian-focused operators.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
COP operates with greater scale and geographic diversification, reducing concentration risk relative to FANG’s Permian-centric model, which offers higher potential growth but increased sensitivity to regional factors. Recent momentum has favored FANG, evidenced by superior year-to-date returns and earnings beats, while COP provides steadier dividend support and a lower trailing price-to-earnings ratio. Risk profiles differ: FANG carries higher beta (0.42) compared to COP’s lower volatility (beta 0.12), reflecting trade-offs between growth orientation and stability. Market sentiment in recent weeks has highlighted both firms’ exposure to oil prices, with FANG attracting attention for production expansion and COP for broader portfolio resilience.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including stronger recent momentum, earnings consistency, and relative positioning within the energy sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to FANG for trend-following or growth-oriented strategies, while acknowledging COP’s advantages in scale and stability for more conservative approaches. Outcomes remain contingent on upcoming earnings results and commodity price trends.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is COP is a Buy and FANG is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COP’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileFANG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- COP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- FANG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COP’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FANG’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COP’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- FANG’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
COP (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +7.80% price change this week, while FANG (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was +8.27% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was +4.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.11%.
Reported Earning Dates
COP is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
FANG is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (+4.91% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| COP | FANG | COP / FANG | |
| Capitalization | 152B | 56.7B | 268% |
| EBITDA | 24.6B | 7.38B | 333% |
| Gain YTD | 37.503 | 36.984 | 101% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.77 | 38.57 | 43% |
| Revenue | 58.2B | 17B | 342% |
| Total Cash | 6.36B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 23.3B | 13.9B | 168% |
COP | FANG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 36 | 78 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 61 Fair valued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 30 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 67 | 93 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 29 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 24 | 4 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
COP's Valuation (61) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FANG (98). This means that COP’s stock grew somewhat faster than FANG’s over the last 12 months.
COP's Profit vs Risk Rating (27) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as FANG (30). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to FANG’s over the last 12 months.
COP's SMR Rating (67) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as FANG (93). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to FANG’s over the last 12 months.
COP's Price Growth Rating (29) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as FANG (45). This means that COP’s stock grew similarly to FANG’s over the last 12 months.
FANG's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as COP (24). This means that FANG’s stock grew similarly to COP’s over the last 12 months.
| COP | FANG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 5 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 73% |
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COP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, COP has been closely correlated with EOG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if COP jumps, then EOG could also see price increases.
FANG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FANG has been closely correlated with CHRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FANG jumps, then CHRD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FANG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FANG | 100% | +1.48% | ||
| CHRD - FANG | 83% Closely correlated | +2.13% | ||
| OVV - FANG | 81% Closely correlated | +1.14% | ||
| DVN - FANG | 81% Closely correlated | +3.29% | ||
| APA - FANG | 79% Closely correlated | +1.18% | ||
| SM - FANG | 79% Closely correlated | +4.10% | ||
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