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FANG vs MTDR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Diamondback Energy (FANG) vs. Matador Resources (MTDR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Diamondback Energy (FANG) boasts a larger market capitalization of approximately $57.5 billion, offering greater scale in the Permian Basin compared to Matador Resources (MTDR)'s $7.7 billion.
- MTDR has delivered a stronger year-to-date return of 46.56%, outpacing FANG's 36.79% amid recent oil market resilience.
- Both stocks exhibit attractive forward P/E ratios around 10-11, signaling undervaluation relative to earnings growth in exploration and production (E&P).
- FANG shows lower volatility with a beta of 0.49 versus MTDR's 0.91, appealing to stability-focused investors.
- Analyst consensus rates both as "Buy" or "Strong Buy," with recent target price increases for MTDR and positive earnings anticipation for FANG.
- Dividend yields are competitive, at 2.04% for FANG and 2.36% for MTDR, supporting income strategies.
Introduction
Diamondback Energy (FANG) and Matador Resources (MTDR) are prominent players in the oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) sector, primarily operating in the prolific Permian Basin. This comparison evaluates their recent market performance, financial metrics, and positioning amid fluctuating energy prices and geopolitical shifts. Traders seeking momentum in upstream energy and long-term investors eyeing value in shale plays will find insights into relative strengths, such as scale versus growth potential, stock comparison dynamics, and market positioning.
FANG Overview and Recent Performance
Diamondback Energy (FANG), an independent E&P company, focuses on acquiring, developing, and producing oil in the Permian Basin. In recent market activity, its stock has climbed toward 52-week highs around $207, with shares trading near $204 and a year-to-date gain of 36.79%. This momentum reflects resilience in oil prices and anticipation for Q1 earnings, bolstered by strategic moves like the Endeavor deal enhancing acreage exposure. Sentiment has improved on analyst upgrades and favorable oil forecasts from firms like Goldman Sachs, despite broader sector volatility. Key metrics include a trailing P/E of 35.61, forward P/E of 10.72, and EPS of $5.74, underscoring robust profitability.
MTDR Overview and Recent Performance
Matador Resources (MTDR) is an independent E&P firm targeting the Delaware Basin within the Permian, with operations in oil and natural gas. Recent weeks have seen its shares hover around $62, delivering a standout year-to-date return of 46.56% and approaching 52-week highs near $67. Performance drivers include a Q4 earnings beat, quarterly dividend declaration, and leadership promotions signaling operational continuity. Positive analyst actions, such as target price hikes to $64, have fueled sentiment amid Permian production growth. Fundamentals feature a trailing P/E of 10.14, forward P/E of 9.99, and EPS of $6.09, highlighting value appeal.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both FANG and MTDR share a core business model of upstream E&P in the Permian Basin, driving growth through drilling efficiency and reserves expansion. However, FANG’s larger scale provides diversified exposure and lower beta for reduced risk, contrasting MTDR’s higher momentum and YTD outperformance suited to growth-oriented trades. Recent catalysts differ: FANG benefits from acquisition integration and earnings hype, while MTDR emphasizes dividends and management stability. Risk factors include oil price sensitivity, with FANG’s size mitigating volatility better than MTDR’s. Market sentiment favors both amid Permian strength, but MTDR trades at a discount on trailing multiples, balancing FANG’s stability premium.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward FANG with higher probability due to its trend consistency, lower volatility (beta 0.49), larger market positioning, and catalysts like earnings and Permian expansion. While MTDR offers compelling relative performance and value, FANG’s scale provides a more stable edge in recent energy trends.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FANG is a StrongBuy and MTDR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FANG’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMTDR’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FANG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MTDR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FANG’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTDR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FANG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MTDR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FANG (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -0.25% price change this week, while MTDR (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was +0.90% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was +0.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.88%.
Reported Earning Dates
FANG is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
MTDR is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (+0.22% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| FANG | MTDR | FANG / MTDR | |
| Capitalization | 54B | 6.71B | 805% |
| EBITDA | 5.68B | 2.09B | 272% |
| Gain YTD | 29.277 | 29.198 | 100% |
| P/E Ratio | 196.05 | 13.93 | 1,407% |
| Revenue | 15.1B | 3.59B | 420% |
| Total Cash | 174M | 30.5M | 570% |
| Total Debt | 13.9B | 3.57B | 390% |
FANG | MTDR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 74 | 71 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 99 Overvalued | 36 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 57 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 76 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTDR's Valuation (36) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FANG (99). This means that MTDR’s stock grew somewhat faster than FANG’s over the last 12 months.
FANG's Profit vs Risk Rating (33) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MTDR (57). This means that FANG’s stock grew similarly to MTDR’s over the last 12 months.
MTDR's SMR Rating (76) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as FANG (91). This means that MTDR’s stock grew similarly to FANG’s over the last 12 months.
FANG's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MTDR (53). This means that FANG’s stock grew similarly to MTDR’s over the last 12 months.
FANG's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MTDR (10). This means that FANG’s stock grew similarly to MTDR’s over the last 12 months.
| FANG | MTDR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 71% | 27 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 59% | 10 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 7 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 65% |
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