CTA
Price
$28.44
Change
+$0.05 (+0.18%)
Updated
Sep 4 closing price
Net Assets
1.58B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
DBMF
Price
$31.44
Change
+$0.03 (+0.10%)
Updated
Sep 4 closing price
Net Assets
4.09B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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CTA vs DBMF

CTA vs DBMF Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Sep 03, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) vs. iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF (DBMF)

Key Takeaways

  • Both CTA and DBMF are actively managed ETFs pursuing managed futures strategies with long and short positions across equities, fixed income, currencies, and commodities via futures contracts.
  • CTA employs systematic trend-following models from Altis Partners, while DBMF uses a Dynamic Beta Engine to replicate the asset allocation of leading commodity trading advisor (CTA) hedge funds.
  • Expense ratios favor CTA at 0.75% compared with 0.85% for DBMF, potentially enhancing net returns over time in a cost-sensitive allocation.
  • Both funds maintain low correlation to traditional equity and bond markets, positioning them as portfolio diversifiers during periods of market volatility or directional uncertainty.
  • Structural features include Cayman Islands subsidiaries for futures exposure and holdings concentrated in short-term Treasury instruments for cash management and collateral.
  • DBMF offers a longer track record since 2019, while CTA launched in 2022 with a more streamlined quantitative approach.

Introduction

Managed futures strategies have gained attention among investors seeking uncorrelated returns amid shifting macroeconomic conditions. CTA and DBMF do not compete directly with equity or fixed-income ETFs but instead provide alternative exposure within the systematic trend category. They target similar investor goals of diversification and potential resilience across market cycles through active futures-based positioning rather than traditional long-only benchmarks.

Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) Overview

The Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) seeks long-term capital appreciation through systematic trend-following across global futures markets. It maintains an active strategy with no underlying index, utilizing models developed by Altis Partners. Holdings typically center on short-term U.S. Treasury instruments and a money market ETF for collateral and liquidity, with futures exposure implemented via a Cayman subsidiary. The expense ratio stands at 0.75%. The fund emphasizes price trends in equities, fixed income, currencies, and commodities while remaining agnostic to market direction.

iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF (DBMF) Overview

The iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF (DBMF) pursues long-term capital appreciation by replicating the pre-fee performance of leading commodity trading advisor hedge funds. It employs an active, non-diversified approach with a proprietary Dynamic Beta Engine that approximates allocations across equities, fixed income, currencies, and commodities. Exposure occurs primarily through futures and forward contracts, supported by a Cayman subsidiary and Treasury bill holdings. The expense ratio is 0.85%. Launched in 2019, the fund focuses on hedge-fund replication without direct hedge-fund investments.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The managed futures sector benefits from environments featuring elevated volatility, commodity price swings, currency fluctuations, and uncertain interest-rate paths. Macro drivers include central-bank policy shifts, geopolitical tensions, and inflation dynamics that can create sustained trends across asset classes. Regulatory stability around derivatives usage supports ETF structures, while investor demand for low-correlation diversifiers has influenced capital flows into systematic trend products. Risks encompass model underperformance in choppy, range-bound markets and potential liquidity constraints during extreme stress events.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, both ETFs have demonstrated the capacity to deliver returns during equity drawdowns or commodity rallies through their long-short futures positioning. CTA’s trend-following models may capture momentum more responsively in trending environments, while DBMF’s replication approach can provide smoother exposure aligned with broader CTA hedge-fund performance. Volatility differences arise from allocation methodologies, with both funds exhibiting lower correlation to equities and bonds over multi-month periods. Relative positioning depends on prevailing trends in interest rates, energy prices, and currency movements rather than isolated short-term fluctuations.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to uncover additional opportunities aligned with your strategy.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a modest preference to CTA at present due to its lower expense ratio, focused systematic models, and competitive diversification profile within the managed futures space. DBMF remains a strong alternative given its longer history and established replication methodology. Selection ultimately depends on an investor’s emphasis on cost efficiency versus track-record length and specific trend-capture preferences.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the group is 2.84B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.58B to 4.09B. DBMF holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.09B. The lowest valued company is CTA at 1.58B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was 2%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0%. CTA experienced the highest price growth at 3%, while DBMF experienced the biggest fall at 0%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was 103%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was 13% and the average quarterly volume growth was 7,327,228%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating:
P/E Growth Rating:
Price Growth Rating:
SMR Rating:
Profit Risk Rating:
Seasonality Score: (-100 ... +100)
VS
CTA vs. DBMF commentary
Sep 06, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CTA is a Buy and DBMF is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
DBMF has more net assets: 4.09B vs. CTA (1.58B). DBMF has a higher annual dividend yield than CTA: DBMF (13.058) vs CTA (8.394). CTA was incepted earlier than DBMF: CTA (5 years) vs DBMF (7 years). CTA (0.75) has a lower expense ratio than DBMF (0.85). CTA (0.00) and DBMF (0.00) have matching turnover.
CTADBMFCTA / DBMF
Gain YTD8.39413.05864%
Net Assets1.58B4.09B39%
Total Expense Ratio0.750.8588%
Turnover0.000.00-
Yield5.265.03105%
Fund Existence5 years7 years-
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
CTADBMF
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
65%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
78%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
77%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
79%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
87%
Bullish Trend 9 days ago
79%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
70%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
63%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
N/A
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
86%
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