CUT
Price
$28.43Alerts
Change
+$0.07 (+0.25%)
Updated
Nov 13 closing price
Net Assets
29.9M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SETM
Price
$23.70Alerts
Change
-$0.44 (-1.82%)
Updated
Nov 13 closing price
Net Assets
429.94M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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CUT vs SETM

CUT vs SETM Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF (CUT) vs. Sprott Critical Materials ETF (SETM)

Key Takeaways

  • CUT provides targeted exposure to global timber and forest products companies through a passive index strategy, while SETM offers broader access to critical materials essential for energy transition technologies.
  • CUT maintains a higher expense ratio of 0.76% compared to SETM’s 0.65%, reflecting differences in index complexity and liquidity profiles.
  • CUT concentrates on approximately 50-65 holdings primarily in paper, packaging, and timber REITs, whereas SETM diversifies across 150+ holdings spanning uranium, copper, lithium, rare earths, and related minerals.
  • Both ETFs track passive, market-cap-weighted indices with quarterly rebalancing and focus on the materials sector, but they address distinct thematic drivers: housing and wood demand for CUT versus electrification and clean energy supply chains for SETM.
  • SETM exhibits greater diversification and exposure to geopolitical and commodity price volatility, while CUT offers more stable, cyclical ties to construction and consumer packaging markets.
  • Structural differences position the ETFs as complementary rather than direct competitors within broader materials and thematic investing strategies.

Introduction

Investors seeking materials sector exposure often evaluate specialized ETFs that capture distinct supply-chain themes. The Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF (CUT) and the Sprott Critical Materials ETF (SETM) represent alternative approaches within the materials space. CUT targets timber-related equities tied to forestry and wood products, while SETM emphasizes critical minerals supporting energy transition and technology applications. These funds do not compete directly but provide differentiated strategies for investors pursuing sector rotation or thematic allocation in a market environment shaped by infrastructure spending, sustainability mandates, and commodity demand cycles.

Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF (CUT) Overview

The Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF (CUT) seeks to track the MSCI ACWI IMI Timber Select Capped Index. This passive ETF holds 50-65 equity securities of companies engaged in timberland ownership, forest management, and production of wood-based products. Top holdings typically include International Paper Co., Smurfit Westrock PLC, Amcor PLC, Weyerhaeuser Co., and Avery Dennison Corp., with the top 10 positions accounting for roughly 50% of assets. Sector allocation centers on materials, particularly containers, packaging, and paper & forest products. The fund charges an expense ratio of 0.76% and employs physical replication with quarterly index rebalancing. Its non-diversified structure and focus on developed and emerging market timber equities distinguish it as a pure-play vehicle for wood-product demand linked to housing and consumer goods cycles.

Sprott Critical Materials ETF (SETM) Overview

The Sprott Critical Materials ETF (SETM) tracks the Nasdaq Sprott Critical Materials Index and provides passive exposure to companies deriving significant revenue from mining, processing, or recycling of energy transition materials. The ETF holds approximately 150-158 securities, with top positions including Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX), Cameco Corp. (CCJ), National Atomic Co. Kazatomprom JSC, Lynas Rare Earths Ltd., and Pilbara Minerals Ltd. The top 10 holdings represent about 40% of assets. Sector weights concentrate in basic materials and energy, with allocations to copper, uranium, lithium, rare earths, and nickel. SETM maintains an expense ratio of 0.65% and follows quarterly rebalancing. Its pure-play mandate across multiple critical minerals offers broader diversification than single-commodity peers within the thematic materials category.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both ETFs operate within the materials sector amid evolving macro drivers. Timber demand remains supported by housing starts, infrastructure projects, and packaging needs, though subject to interest-rate sensitivity and supply-chain constraints. Critical materials face accelerating demand from electrification, renewable energy deployment, electric-vehicle production, and data-center expansion, tempered by mining permitting delays, geopolitical supply risks, and price volatility. Regulatory developments around sustainable forestry and critical-mineral sourcing continue to influence capital allocation. Broader commodity trends, global manufacturing cycles, and policy support for domestic supply chains shape the operating environment for both themes without reliance on short-term price fluctuations.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, CUT has reflected cyclical patterns tied to construction activity and packaging volumes, exhibiting moderate volatility consistent with mature materials businesses. SETM has shown sensitivity to commodity price swings and energy-transition investment flows, resulting in higher relative volatility during periods of metal-price appreciation or contraction. Sector rotation toward electrification themes has periodically favored SETM’s critical-materials basket, while interest-rate stabilization and housing-market recovery have supported CUT holdings. Relative positioning highlights SETM’s greater exposure to growth-oriented supply chains versus CUT’s more defensive, steady-state timber and paper exposure. Both funds demonstrate the impact of broader macroeconomic shifts on thematic materials strategies over multi-month horizons.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors comparing thematic ETFs such as CUT and SETM can leverage the platform to refine searches by sector exposure and quantitative criteria.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic preference to SETM due to its lower expense ratio, greater number of holdings, and alignment with sustained secular demand for critical materials in energy-transition applications. CUT offers competitive diversification within timber but carries a higher cost structure and narrower thematic scope. Final selection remains dependent on individual risk tolerance, time horizon, and portfolio objectives.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
CUT vs. SETM commentary
Nov 15, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CUT is a Hold and SETM is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for CUT with price predictions
Nov 13, 2026

CUT in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026

CUT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 32 of the 34 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CUT moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 27 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 84%.

The 50-day moving average for CUT moved below the 200-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CUT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CUT as a result. In 61 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CUT just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where CUT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

CUT moved above its 50-day moving average on November 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CUT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 17 of 23 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Following a +0.42% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CUT advanced for three days, in 244 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 158 of 216 cases where CUT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SETM with price predictions
Nov 13, 2026

Momentum Indicator for SETM turns negative, indicating new downward trend

SETM saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 10, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 46 of the 53 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 87%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SETM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

The Aroon Indicator for SETM entered a downward trend on November 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SETM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SETM just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where SETM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 39 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +8.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SETM advanced for three days, in 215 of 237 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SETM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
CUTSETM
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
84%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
77%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
89%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
76%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
87%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
81%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
83%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
86%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
70%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
89%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 27 days ago
79%
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
82%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
74%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
73%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
86%
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SETM and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SETM has been closely correlated with LAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SETM jumps, then LAC could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SETM
1D Price
Change %
SETM100%
-1.82%
LAC - SETM
75%
Closely correlated
-8.59%
LAR - SETM
71%
Closely correlated
-1.34%
NB - SETM
70%
Closely correlated
-1.42%
MP - SETM
69%
Closely correlated
+3.50%
ABAT - SETM
67%
Closely correlated
-8.87%
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