CUT
Price
$28.08
Change
-$0.14 (-0.50%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
29.47M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SETM
Price
$24.57
Change
-$0.19 (-0.77%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
447.49M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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CUT vs SETM

CUT vs SETM Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF (CUT) vs. Sprott Critical Materials ETF (SETM)

Key Takeaways

  • CUT provides targeted exposure to global timber and forest products companies through a passive index strategy, while SETM offers broader access to critical materials essential for energy transition technologies.
  • CUT maintains a higher expense ratio of 0.76% compared to SETM’s 0.65%, reflecting differences in index complexity and liquidity profiles.
  • CUT concentrates on approximately 50-65 holdings primarily in paper, packaging, and timber REITs, whereas SETM diversifies across 150+ holdings spanning uranium, copper, lithium, rare earths, and related minerals.
  • Both ETFs track passive, market-cap-weighted indices with quarterly rebalancing and focus on the materials sector, but they address distinct thematic drivers: housing and wood demand for CUT versus electrification and clean energy supply chains for SETM.
  • SETM exhibits greater diversification and exposure to geopolitical and commodity price volatility, while CUT offers more stable, cyclical ties to construction and consumer packaging markets.
  • Structural differences position the ETFs as complementary rather than direct competitors within broader materials and thematic investing strategies.

Introduction

Investors seeking materials sector exposure often evaluate specialized ETFs that capture distinct supply-chain themes. The Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF (CUT) and the Sprott Critical Materials ETF (SETM) represent alternative approaches within the materials space. CUT targets timber-related equities tied to forestry and wood products, while SETM emphasizes critical minerals supporting energy transition and technology applications. These funds do not compete directly but provide differentiated strategies for investors pursuing sector rotation or thematic allocation in a market environment shaped by infrastructure spending, sustainability mandates, and commodity demand cycles.

Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF (CUT) Overview

The Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF (CUT) seeks to track the MSCI ACWI IMI Timber Select Capped Index. This passive ETF holds 50-65 equity securities of companies engaged in timberland ownership, forest management, and production of wood-based products. Top holdings typically include International Paper Co., Smurfit Westrock PLC, Amcor PLC, Weyerhaeuser Co., and Avery Dennison Corp., with the top 10 positions accounting for roughly 50% of assets. Sector allocation centers on materials, particularly containers, packaging, and paper & forest products. The fund charges an expense ratio of 0.76% and employs physical replication with quarterly index rebalancing. Its non-diversified structure and focus on developed and emerging market timber equities distinguish it as a pure-play vehicle for wood-product demand linked to housing and consumer goods cycles.

Sprott Critical Materials ETF (SETM) Overview

The Sprott Critical Materials ETF (SETM) tracks the Nasdaq Sprott Critical Materials Index and provides passive exposure to companies deriving significant revenue from mining, processing, or recycling of energy transition materials. The ETF holds approximately 150-158 securities, with top positions including Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX), Cameco Corp. (CCJ), National Atomic Co. Kazatomprom JSC, Lynas Rare Earths Ltd., and Pilbara Minerals Ltd. The top 10 holdings represent about 40% of assets. Sector weights concentrate in basic materials and energy, with allocations to copper, uranium, lithium, rare earths, and nickel. SETM maintains an expense ratio of 0.65% and follows quarterly rebalancing. Its pure-play mandate across multiple critical minerals offers broader diversification than single-commodity peers within the thematic materials category.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both ETFs operate within the materials sector amid evolving macro drivers. Timber demand remains supported by housing starts, infrastructure projects, and packaging needs, though subject to interest-rate sensitivity and supply-chain constraints. Critical materials face accelerating demand from electrification, renewable energy deployment, electric-vehicle production, and data-center expansion, tempered by mining permitting delays, geopolitical supply risks, and price volatility. Regulatory developments around sustainable forestry and critical-mineral sourcing continue to influence capital allocation. Broader commodity trends, global manufacturing cycles, and policy support for domestic supply chains shape the operating environment for both themes without reliance on short-term price fluctuations.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, CUT has reflected cyclical patterns tied to construction activity and packaging volumes, exhibiting moderate volatility consistent with mature materials businesses. SETM has shown sensitivity to commodity price swings and energy-transition investment flows, resulting in higher relative volatility during periods of metal-price appreciation or contraction. Sector rotation toward electrification themes has periodically favored SETM’s critical-materials basket, while interest-rate stabilization and housing-market recovery have supported CUT holdings. Relative positioning highlights SETM’s greater exposure to growth-oriented supply chains versus CUT’s more defensive, steady-state timber and paper exposure. Both funds demonstrate the impact of broader macroeconomic shifts on thematic materials strategies over multi-month horizons.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors comparing thematic ETFs such as CUT and SETM can leverage the platform to refine searches by sector exposure and quantitative criteria.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic preference to SETM due to its lower expense ratio, greater number of holdings, and alignment with sustained secular demand for critical materials in energy-transition applications. CUT offers competitive diversification within timber but carries a higher cost structure and narrower thematic scope. Final selection remains dependent on individual risk tolerance, time horizon, and portfolio objectives.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
CUT vs. SETM commentary
Oct 24, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CUT is a Hold and SETM is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for CUT with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

CUT in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 01, 2026

CUT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 41 of 44 cases where CUT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CUT's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 30 of 36 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CUT as a result. In 64 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CUT just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where CUT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 43 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

Following a +0.42% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CUT advanced for three days, in 244 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

CUT moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for CUT moved below the 200-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CUT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.

The Aroon Indicator for CUT entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SETM with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

SETM's Stochastic Oscillator is sitting in oversold zone for 20 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

Following a +0.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SETM advanced for three days, in 214 of 234 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SETM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

SETM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SETM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SETM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

The Aroon Indicator for SETM entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
CUTSETM
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
79%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
78%
N/A
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
88%
N/A
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
75%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
79%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 26 days ago
83%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
81%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
87%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
84%
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CUT
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SETM
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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CUT and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that CUT and SLVM have been poorly correlated (+15% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that CUT and SLVM's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To CUT
1D Price
Change %
CUT100%
-0.50%
SLVM - CUT
15%
Poorly correlated
+0.31%
WFG - CUT
11%
Poorly correlated
+0.09%
GPK - CUT
9%
Poorly correlated
-2.99%
SON - CUT
9%
Poorly correlated
-0.30%
AVY - CUT
7%
Poorly correlated
-1.53%
More

SETM and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SETM has been closely correlated with NB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SETM jumps, then NB could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SETM
1D Price
Change %
SETM100%
-0.77%
NB - SETM
71%
Closely correlated
-0.67%
ATLX - SETM
65%
Loosely correlated
+1.58%
ABAT - SETM
65%
Loosely correlated
-2.88%
CRML - SETM
56%
Loosely correlated
+2.75%
NAK - SETM
55%
Loosely correlated
-3.77%
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