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CVCO vs SKY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Cavco Industries (CVCO) vs. Champion Homes (SKY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both CVCO and SKY operate in the factory-built housing sector and have experienced similar year-to-date declines of approximately 22% amid broader housing market pressures.
- CVCO reported fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results on May 21, 2026, with revenue of $550 million (up 8% year-over-year) and EPS of $5.42, beating consensus estimates.
- SKY is scheduled to release its fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter and full-year results on May 26, 2026, following a pattern of revenue growth in prior quarters.
- Market capitalization for both companies is comparable, with CVCO around $3.6–3.9 billion and SKY near $3.9 billion as of late May 2026.
- Recent stock performance reflects sector-wide challenges, including interest rate sensitivity and housing affordability, resulting in negative momentum over the past month for both names.
- Relative positioning favors stability in earnings delivery for CVCO in the most recent reporting period versus SKY’s pending update.
Introduction
Factory-built housing companies CVCO (Cavco Industries, Inc.) and SKY (Champion Homes, Inc.) share exposure to the U.S. residential construction market and modular home demand. This comparison examines their recent financial results, stock price behavior, and operational developments to assist investors evaluating relative positioning within the sector. Professional traders and portfolio managers monitoring cyclical housing equities may find the analysis relevant for assessing momentum, earnings consistency, and competitive dynamics in the current environment.
CVCO Overview and Recent Performance
Cavco Industries, Inc. designs, produces, and retails factory-built homes in the United States through its factory-built housing and financial services segments. In recent weeks, CVCO shares have reflected broader sector weakness, with year-to-date declines near 22% and additional softening in the past month. The company released fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter and full-year results on May 21, 2026, reporting record home sales volume, revenue of $550 million (an 8% increase year-over-year), and earnings per share of $5.42 that exceeded analyst expectations. Full-year revenue rose 11.4% to $2.245 billion. Positive sentiment around the earnings beat and ongoing capacity expansion, including a new Arizona facility, has provided some support amid ongoing interest-rate and affordability headwinds affecting the housing market.
SKY Overview and Recent Performance
Champion Homes, Inc. manufactures and sells factory-built housing across North America, with operations segmented primarily into U.S. factory-built housing. SKY shares have mirrored sector trends, posting year-to-date declines of roughly 22% and further weakness over the past month. The company is set to report fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter and full-year results on May 26, 2026. Prior quarterly updates demonstrated consistent revenue growth, including double-digit gains in earlier periods of the fiscal year. Market activity has been influenced by anticipation of the upcoming release, with share prices responding to macroeconomic factors such as mortgage rates and overall housing demand rather than company-specific catalysts in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both companies pursue similar business models centered on factory-built and modular homes, exposing them to comparable growth drivers such as housing shortages and affordability trends, as well as risk factors including interest-rate sensitivity and supply-chain dynamics. CVCO has demonstrated slightly stronger recent earnings momentum with its May 2026 beat and record sales volume, while SKY maintains a comparable market capitalization and upcoming earnings catalyst. Sector exposure remains balanced, though CVCO benefits from a more immediate positive data point that could support relative sentiment in the short term. Trade-offs center on timing of information flow, with SKY’s pending results introducing uncertainty versus CVCO’s completed reporting cycle.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including recent earnings consistency, trend stability, and relative positioning within the sector, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable near-term momentum to CVCO. The completed earnings beat and record sales provide a clearer catalyst compared with SKY’s pending release, though both names remain subject to the same macroeconomic influences on housing demand.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVCO is a StrongBuy and SKY is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVCO’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSKY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CVCO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SKY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVCO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SKY’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVCO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SKY’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CVCO (@Homebuilding) experienced а -0.91% price change this week, while SKY (@Homebuilding) price change was +4.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -1.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.19%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.65%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVCO is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
SKY is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-1.34% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
| CVCO | SKY | CVCO / SKY | |
| Capitalization | 4.51B | 4.6B | 98% |
| EBITDA | 268M | 326M | 82% |
| Gain YTD | -0.618 | -3.018 | 20% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.49 | 22.39 | 109% |
| Revenue | 2.25B | 2.66B | 84% |
| Total Cash | 253M | 638M | 40% |
| Total Debt | 30.7M | 118M | 26% |
CVCO | SKY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 88 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 79 Overvalued | 58 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 55 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 50 | 63 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 31 | 32 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SKY's Valuation (58) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as CVCO (79). This means that SKY’s stock grew similarly to CVCO’s over the last 12 months.
CVCO's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as SKY (55). This means that CVCO’s stock grew similarly to SKY’s over the last 12 months.
CVCO's SMR Rating (50) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as SKY (63). This means that CVCO’s stock grew similarly to SKY’s over the last 12 months.
CVCO's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as SKY (42). This means that CVCO’s stock grew similarly to SKY’s over the last 12 months.
CVCO's P/E Growth Rating (31) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as SKY (32). This means that CVCO’s stock grew similarly to SKY’s over the last 12 months.
| CVCO | SKY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 73% | 16 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 67% | 9 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 69% |
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CVCO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVCO has been closely correlated with SKY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CVCO jumps, then SKY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CVCO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVCO | 100% | -2.40% | ||
| SKY - CVCO | 75% Closely correlated | -1.67% | ||
| LEGH - CVCO | 61% Loosely correlated | -2.42% | ||
| MTH - CVCO | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.86% | ||
| TOL - CVCO | 59% Loosely correlated | -2.41% | ||
| GRBK - CVCO | 59% Loosely correlated | -1.35% | ||
More | ||||
SKY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SKY has been closely correlated with CVCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SKY jumps, then CVCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SKY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKY | 100% | -1.67% | ||
| CVCO - SKY | 80% Closely correlated | -2.40% | ||
| MTH - SKY | 68% Closely correlated | -0.86% | ||
| TOL - SKY | 68% Closely correlated | -2.41% | ||
| MHO - SKY | 67% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| GRBK - SKY | 66% Closely correlated | -1.35% | ||
More | ||||